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Limburg vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-57
26-14 17-15 17-15 15-13
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.7
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record9-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2024-25
Meetings · Limburg v LWD Basket
23 Dec 2025
LIMB129
LWD 78
10 Jan 2025
LIMB75
LWD 57
19 Apr 2023
LIMB96
LWD 77
29 Mar 2022
LIMB91
LWD 94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 71
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 71
A16/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 71
H29/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 71
A01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears B
#15
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A08/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
112-82
112
82
+30
113avg 71
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
73-85
73
85
-12
61avg 71
A17/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
55avg 71
A26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
no box
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
78-91 OT
78
91
-13
no box
A05/01
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
25-16
20-24
15-28
13-22
20-29
24-10
15-23
33-17
23-23
17-30
22-19
15-16
18-18
23-20
24-22
24-21
33-14
22-22
22-11
35-22
27-16
25-18
25-26
15-17
21-16
22-27
15-25
18-21
17-21
14-19
16-15
17-24
13-20
21-17
20-7
19-14
19-19
15-18
16-21
162.5Avg total
82.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.774.7156.5+7.067%
Season at home (7)87.968.4156.3+19.4100%
Season away (8)76.480.2156.6-3.938%
Last 10 (10)82.380.2162.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)79.880.4160.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.781.5153.2-9.718%
vs Similar (8)78.976.0154.9+2.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.673.4158.0+11.290%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 74
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
86avg 74
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 74
H09/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
97-81
97
81
+16
100avg 74
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 74
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
88avg 74
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
72avg 74
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
82-64
82
64
+18
77avg 74
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
72-101
72
101
-29
56avg 74
A20/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
22-24
29-20
12-13
26-9
20-23
14-24
22-10
16-27
25-19
20-11
18-16
31-29
26-15
17-22
23-15
13-21
21-20
17-16
21-14
20-11
18-21
22-21
21-28
16-25
21-27
22-27
26-22
23-10
19-19
29-19
10-19
17-23
21-4
25-22
19-15
19-22
18-24
17-31
18-24
163.5Avg total
83.1Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.582.0164.5+0.560%
Season at home (8)86.584.5171.0+2.050%
Season away (7)78.079.1157.1-1.171%
Last 10 (10)83.180.4163.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)82.485.6168.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.987.0166.9-7.138%
vs Similar (4)84.282.5166.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.873.2152.0+5.575%
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
LimburgLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A16/11
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H29/11
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears B
#15
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A08/12
Belgian Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H13/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A26/12
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H03/01
Belgian Cup
Antwerp Giants
#7
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A05/01
Belgian Cup
80.2Avg total
42.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.234.176.3+8.179%-
Last 30 away (16)37.041.378.3-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.180.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.140.476.5-4.336%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.478.0+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.436.076.4+4.460%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H27/10
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A03/11
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H16/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A29/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#12
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H01/12
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
BNXT League
Den Helder 2
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A11/12
DBL Cup
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A14/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
BNXT League
81.9Avg total
41.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.9-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.584.7-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.243.881.0-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.181.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.275.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.045.785.7-5.824%-
vs Similar (4)39.036.875.8+2.275%-
vs Weaker (4)38.839.578.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.7
56.5%
52.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.4
36.5%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
71.9%16.5
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.9
55.1%
52.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
71.9%16.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
LWLLWWWWLL
LWD Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#10
+6.8
Net rating
+4.9
112.5
Offensive rating
112.5
105.6
Defensive rating
107.7
55.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.5%
3-point %
37.3%
61.2%
Assist %
58.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 112.5Defence105.6 · 107.7Shooting55.9% · 55.5%3-point %36.5% · 37.3%Ball care17.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Limburg   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Limburg wins
1
LWD Basket wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Limburg v LWD Basket96-77
29/03/23LWD Basket v Limburg75-88
29/03/22Limburg v LWD Basket91-94
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AAntwerp Giants78-91 OT
03/01/25HAntwerp Giants71-68
26/12/24AMechelen65-76
17/12/24ASpirou Charleroi73-85
13/12/24HQSTA Utd112-82
08/12/24ALeuven Bears B101-68
01/12/24AOkapi Aalst80-76
29/11/24HCircus Brussels95-89
16/11/24AOostende72-84
12/11/24HFC Porto76-83
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ABelfius Mons72-101
14/12/24AOkapi Aalst82-64
11/12/24ADen Helder 281-67
07/12/24HSpirou Charleroi85-101
01/12/24HLeiden92-95 OT
29/11/24ADonar Groningen72-71
16/11/24HLeuven Bears97-81
09/11/24HBAL Weert79-73
03/11/24ACircus Brussels82-66
27/10/24HMechelen89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%100%38%
Points / game81.787.976.4
Allowed / game74.768.480.2
Point differential+7.0+19.4-3.9
Avg total156.5156.3156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game82.586.578.0
Allowed / game82.084.579.1
Point differential+0.5+2.0-1.1
Avg total164.5171.0157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1614288%90.377.0+13.3
2 Kortrijk1612475%96.080.0+16.0
3 Mechelen1611569%80.975.4+5.6
4 Limburg1510567%81.774.7+7.0
5 Circus Brussels1610662%75.875.2+0.5
6 LWD Basket159660%82.582.0+0.5
7 Antwerp Giants148657%79.279.1+0.1
8 Spirou Charleroi169756%80.474.2+6.2
9 Leuven Bears169756%78.273.5+4.8
10 Belfius Mons158753%80.678.3+2.3
11 Okapi Aalst168850%79.177.8+1.4
12 Leiden178947%76.880.6-3.8
13 Zwolle167944%82.686.4-3.8
14 Den Bosch156940%80.183.9-3.7
15 Donar Groningen145936%74.879.1-4.4
16 Feyenoord1551033%82.389.9-7.5
17 Den Helder1651131%71.782.8-11.1
18 QSTA Utd1621412%78.187.5-9.4
19 BAL Weert1621412%69.984.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg2617171575
LWD Basket1415151357
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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