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Lithuania vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-69
23-19 23-26 16-6 26-18
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game61.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeOlympic GamesOlympic Games - Semi-finals
Other2020
Meetings · Lithuania v Poland
22 Feb 2024
LITH83
POLA64
03 Jul 2021
LITH88
POLA69
26 Nov 2017
LITH75
POLA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#8
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H25/07
Friendly International
Denmark
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H27/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H29/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A20/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A22/02
EuroBasket
Dominican Republic
#29
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H18/06
Friendly International
Russia
#21
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H22/06
Friendly International
Dominican Republic
#29
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H24/06
Friendly International
Venezuela
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H29/06
Olympic Games
South Korea
#28
W
96-57
96
57
+39
A01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
26-15
10-19
23-13
22-21
24-17
13-22
17-20
20-15
29-21
18-15
17-20
31-15
18-18
16-22
29-19
25-19
16-18
17-23
19-16
28-20
22-21
23-9
22-12
20-16
17-19
21-11
20-15
25-22
20-13
28-17
22-17
11-10
25-18
19-16
21-21
28-16
21-18
27-9
20-14
152.7Avg total
85.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.061.0147.0+25.0100%
Season at home (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)96.057.0153.0+39.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.367.4152.7+17.990%
Last 5 (5)88.062.8150.8+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.5100.0177.5-22.50%
vs Similar (6)79.378.2157.5+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.167.9153.0+17.286%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H19/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H21/02
EuroBasket
Mexico
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H12/06
Friendly International
Russia
#21
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H13/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H16/06
Friendly International
Latvia
#19
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
H18/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H22/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H23/06
Friendly International
Angola
#30
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H29/06
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
77-112
77
112
-35
A01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
16-17
22-27
23-19
34-26
16-21
25-16
13-18
27-19
10-24
24-15
19-17
14-8
19-22
19-28
11-20
20-18
30-11
25-17
14-20
17-16
21-11
14-19
16-22
5-18
21-20
19-17
20-13
27-17
17-25
22-15
13-28
24-19
19-12
19-14
21-19
26-29
20-34
14-20
17-29
157.8Avg total
78.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.088.0168.0-8.050%
Season at home (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)77.0112.0189.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)78.779.1157.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)75.880.4156.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.284.4162.6-6.238%
vs Similar (11)81.475.1156.5+6.364%
vs Weaker (6)85.269.7154.8+15.5100%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.8-3.8
LithuaniaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#8
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H25/07
Friendly International
Denmark
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H29/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A20/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Dominican Republic
#29
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H18/06
Friendly International
Russia
#21
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H22/06
Friendly International
Dominican Republic
#29
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/06
Friendly International
Venezuela
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H29/06
Olympic Games
South Korea
#28
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A01/07
Olympic Games
79.5Avg total
45.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.278.4+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.536.980.4+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.735.476.1+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.134.479.5+10.7100%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.678.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.546.086.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (6)40.739.880.5+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.834.377.1+8.577%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/02
EuroBasket
Mexico
#34
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/06
Friendly International
Russia
#21
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H13/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H16/06
Friendly International
Latvia
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H18/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#9
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H22/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/06
Friendly International
Angola
#30
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/06
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A01/07
Olympic Games
80.3Avg total
41.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.779.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.537.777.2+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)42.840.082.8+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.380.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.279.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.643.183.7-2.538%-
vs Similar (11)40.935.676.5+5.382%-
vs Weaker (6)41.734.876.5+6.850%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lithuania wins
0
Poland wins
DateGameScore
28/06/18Poland v Lithuania61-79
26/11/17Lithuania v Poland75-55
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21ASouth Korea96-57
29/06/21HVenezuela76-65
24/06/21HDominican Republic95-69
22/06/21HRussia78-61
18/06/21HDominican Republic95-62
22/02/21ADenmark77-76
20/02/21ACzech Republic94-74
29/11/20HBelgium84-71
27/11/20HDenmark76-80
25/07/20HLatvia82-59
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21ASlovenia77-112
29/06/21HAngola83-64
23/06/21HBrazil79-85
22/06/21HBrazil65-68
18/06/21HLatvia75-73 OT
16/06/21HTunisia89-66
13/06/21HRussia63-78
12/06/21HMexico80-75
21/02/21HRomania88-81
19/02/21HSpain88-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.076.096.0
Allowed / game61.065.057.0
Point differential+25.0+11.0+39.0
Avg total147.0141.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.083.077.0
Allowed / game88.064.0112.0
Point differential-8.0+19.0-35.0
Avg total168.0147.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia330100%109.371.7+37.7
2 Brazil330100%93.066.0+27.0
3 Lithuania220100%86.061.0+25.0
4 Canada220100%103.085.0+18.0
5 Serbia330100%93.078.7+14.3
6 Italy220100%84.571.0+13.5
7 Turkey220100%91.078.0+13.0
8 Germany330100%79.073.0+6.0
9 Greece21150%98.088.5+9.5
10 Czech Republic21150%75.083.0-8.0
11 Poland21150%80.088.0-8.0
12 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
13 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
14 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
15 Croatia31233%72.783.3-10.7
16 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
17 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
18 Puerto Rico2020%83.596.0-12.5
19 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
20 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
21 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
22 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
23 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania2323162688
Poland192661869
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