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Litomerice vs Radotin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 86-77
Projected total 162.6
Final 89-83
25-9 19-22 21-20 24-32
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.6
Vs
78%
22%
■ LITO 78%■ RADO 22%
Pythia win probability
Position#18
Record2-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game85.7
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 8· Hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Litomerice v Radotin
06 Nov 2026
LITO89
RADO83
26 Sep 2025
LITO91
RADO78
29 Nov 2024
LITO59
RADO82
22 Sep 2023
LITO95
RADO53
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Litomerice host Radotin in the 1. Liga on 6 November 2026, with the Pythia model favouring the home side at 78% versus 22% for the visitors; the model rates Litomerice highly because they have a 1-4 record and average 79.0 points per game, while Radotin sits 2-5 with 71.7 points per game. Litomerice have struggled at home, 0-3 with 74.0 points per game and 81.7 allowed, and their last five games include a 93-82 away win over Sokol Prazsky but three losses at home to Valecnici Decin and USK Prague B. Radotin have gone 0-4 on the road, scoring 64.5 points per game and conceding 87.8, yet they have managed two wins in their last five, including a 83-74 home victory over Slavia Prague Tygri. Their head-to-head record is even, 3-3, with the most recent meeting ending 107-96 for Litomerice in November 2025. Pythia projects a 86-77 score for the match, 162.6 total points, and a 58% chance that Litomerice will cover the home line of -6.5; the over on the 158.5 total has a 59% probability. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and Litomerice's recent 93-82 win over Sokol Prazsky suggests they can still pull away.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Litomerice winWon
77.9%fair 1.28
Best odds1.25
Implied77.1%
Edge+0.8pp
Radotin winLost
22.1%fair 4.53
Best odds4.33
Implied22.9%
Edge-0.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 71
A08/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 71
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
64avg 71
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
49avg 71
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
64-75
64
75
-11
59avg 71
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
50avg 71
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
80-96
80
96
-16
65avg 71
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
81avg 71
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
56avg 71
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H23/10
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
14-23
27-22
25-12
13-31
24-12
17-15
23-22
22-29
21-15
20-30
13-15
13-18
27-30
7-18
15-22
22-26
7-14
19-18
16-17
21-17
15-17
17-20
17-22
20-24
22-20
20-29
18-23
24-21
19-18
27-21
23-22
22-16
18-23
17-14
13-17
13-17
27-25
18-23
20-23
158.8Avg total
75.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.084.6163.6-5.620%
Season at home (3)74.081.7155.7-7.70%
Season away (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.783.1158.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)79.084.6163.6-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.284.8162.0-7.525%
vs Similar (13)83.582.4165.8+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.682.0171.6+7.680%
This opponent (Radotin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadotinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRadotin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 70
A12/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 70
H15/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
88-79
88
79
+9
78avg 70
H20/03
1. Liga
Liberecko
#14
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 70
A18/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
63-81
63
81
-18
40avg 70
A27/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
90avg 70
H04/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
55avg 70
A11/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 70
H18/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#7
L
55-102
55
102
-47
39avg 70
A23/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H01/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
22-23
22-17
21-22
14-17
28-31
29-21
20-9
26-18
25-13
18-24
19-24
27-21
14-26
23-21
13-13
16-20
16-23
19-18
12-20
20-18
19-23
32-16
27-36
23-17
12-15
11-26
17-29
23-13
19-23
24-15
17-23
7-29
16-22
15-30
17-21
15-10
13-21
15-23
20-28
160.5Avg total
76.1Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.785.7157.4-14.029%
Season at home (3)81.383.0164.3-1.767%
Season away (4)64.587.8152.2-23.20%
Last 10 (10)76.184.4160.5-8.340%
Last 5 (5)72.487.6160.0-15.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.583.1153.6-12.638%
vs Similar (11)80.885.6166.5-4.827%
vs Weaker (11)86.479.7166.1+6.664%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5Actual: Over 153.5
Over 153.5
70.6%
Under 153.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5 · main lineActual: Over 158.5
Over 158.5
59.2%
@ 1.85+9.4pp
Under 158.5
40.8%
@ 1.85-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 163.5Actual: Over 163.5
Over 163.5
47.1%
Under 163.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Litomerice total 78.5Actual: Litomerice over 78.5
Over 78.5
76.2%
@ 1.31+8.7pp
Under 78.5
23.8%
@ 2.72-8.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Under
1xBet
2.72
Litomerice total 82.5 · main lineActual: Litomerice over 82.5
Over 82.5
62.4%
@ 1.80+10.9pp
Under 82.5
37.6%
@ 1.91-10.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.59
Under
BetVictor
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.85
Litomerice total 86.5Actual: Litomerice over 86.5
Over 86.5
46.6%
@ 2.14+6.1pp
Under 86.5
53.4%
@ 1.46-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.46
Radotin total 71.5Actual: Radotin over 71.5
Over 71.5
69.8%
@ 1.44+9.2pp
Under 71.5
30.2%
@ 2.21-9.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.21
Radotin total 75.5 · main lineActual: Radotin over 75.5
Over 75.5
54.9%
@ 1.84+4.8pp
Under 75.5
45.1%
@ 1.88-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.62
Radotin total 79.5Actual: Radotin over 79.5
Over 79.5
39.5%
@ 2.61+5.8pp
Under 79.5
60.5%
@ 1.33-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.61
Under
1xBet
1.33

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Litomerice -12.5Actual: Radotin +12.5
LITO -12.5
36.7%
@ 2.32-1.5pp
RADO +12.5
63.3%
@ 1.43+1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
LITO
1xBet
2.32
RADO
1xBet
1.43
Spread Litomerice -9.5 · main lineActual: Radotin +9.5
LITO -9.5
47.3%
@ 1.85-2.7pp
RADO +9.5
52.7%
@ 1.85+2.7pp
Best 5 market prices
LITO
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
RADO
BetVictor
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.75
Spread Litomerice -6.5Actual: Radotin +6.5
LITO -6.5
58.4%
@ 1.78+3.1pp
RADO +6.5
41.6%
@ 2.17-3.1pp
Best 5 market prices
LITO
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.49
RADO
1xBet
2.17
Betano
1.87

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
LitomericeRadotin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novy Jicin
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A27/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H16/10
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/10
1. Liga
79.6Avg total
38.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)41.341.082.3+0.347%60%
Last 30 at home (16)40.239.880.1+0.450%50%
Last 30 away (14)42.542.484.9+0.143%71%
Last 10 (10)38.141.579.6-3.430%60%
Last 5 (5)40.239.679.8+0.660%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.841.881.5-2.042%58%
vs Similar (13)42.541.283.6+1.346%62%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%60%
This opponent (Radotin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadotinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno U23
#14
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H20/03
1. Liga
Liberecko
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A27/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#7
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A23/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H01/11
1. Liga
77.8Avg total
37.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 79.5
Last 30 (30)39.638.678.1+1.043%43%
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.179.6+5.550%57%
Last 30 away (16)36.939.976.8-2.938%31%
Last 10 (10)37.040.877.8-3.830%50%
Last 5 (5)33.438.271.6-4.840%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.238.973.1-4.638%25%
vs Similar (11)38.141.379.4-3.227%36%
vs Weaker (11)44.935.680.5+9.364%64%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Litomerice win
LITO win
no forecast
@ 1.36
RADO win
no forecast
@ 3.39
1st half Spread Litomerice -4.5 · main lineActual: Litomerice -4.5
LITO -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
RADO +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
Litomerice 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Litomerice over 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.78
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Radotin 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Radotin under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Litomerice -5.5Actual: Litomerice -5.5
LITO -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
RADO +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Litomerice -3.5Actual: Litomerice -3.5
LITO -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
RADO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Litomerice (regulation)
LITO
no forecast
@ 1.36
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
RADO
no forecast
@ 3.45

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LITO win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
RADO win + total 158.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LITO leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Radotin over 70.573.1%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+9.2ppWon
Radotin over 69.576.3%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+9.0ppWon
Litomerice over 79.573.0%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+8.7ppWon
Litomerice over 78.576.2%1.31
1xBet
1.31
----+8.7ppWon
Litomerice -2.572.1%1.38
1xBet
1.38
----+7.9ppWon
Litomerice (regulation)75.6%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+7.1ppWon
Overtime: no96.1%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.0pp-
Litomerice win77.9%1.20
WilliamHill
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Pinnacle
1.16
+0.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
51.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.56.6
22.4%
27.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.116.7
66.5%
61.5%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Radotintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Radotin: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.1
48.7%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.5
34.7%
27.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.613.0
60.2%
61.5%13.0
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Litomerice
LLWLLLLLLW
Radotin
LLWLWLLWWL
#12
League position
#18
-4.8
Net rating
-1.7
80.8
Offensive rating
84.5
85.6
Defensive rating
86.2
43.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
22.4%
3-point %
34.7%
43.9%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence80.8 · 84.5Defence85.6 · 86.2Shooting43.0% · 49.9%3-point %22.4% · 34.7%Ball care15.4% · 19.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Litomerice   ■ Radotin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Litomerice wins
3
Radotin wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Radotin v Litomerice96-107
26/09/25Litomerice v Radotin91-78
29/11/24Litomerice v Radotin59-82
29/09/24Radotin v Litomerice84-78
26/11/23Radotin v Litomerice84-64
22/09/23Litomerice v Radotin95-53
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HValecnici Decin78-88
16/10/26HUSK Prague B74-81 OT
09/10/26ASokol Prazsky93-82
25/09/26ASlavia Prague Tygri80-96
18/09/26HJindrichuv Hradec70-76
29/03/26HZlin64-75
27/03/26AZlin62-88
20/03/26AZlin76-89
12/03/26HPardubice 277-80
08/03/26ANovy Jicin83-76
Radotinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HSokol Prazsky63-82
23/10/26ACZ.ACADEMY55-102
18/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri83-74
11/10/26AJindrichuv Hradec63-87
04/10/26HPolabi98-93
27/09/26AUSK Prague B63-81
18/09/26ALiberecko77-81
20/03/26HBrno U2388-79
15/03/26HSvitavy91-78
12/03/26ABrno U2380-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Litomerice
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game79.074.086.5
Allowed / game84.681.789.0
Point differential-5.6-7.7-2.5
Avg total163.6155.7175.5
Over 158.560%33%100%
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%33%0%
Radotin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game71.781.364.5
Allowed / game85.783.087.8
Point differential-14.0-1.7-23.2
Avg total157.4164.3152.2
Over 158.514%33%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin550100%83.275.6+7.6
2 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
3 Novy Jicin76186%87.175.6+11.6
4 Zlin75271%82.167.9+14.3
5 Svitavy75271%92.386.1+6.1
6 USK Prague B64267%79.575.5+4.0
7 CZ.ACADEMY53260%85.077.2+7.8
8 Vysoka74357%73.473.1+0.3
9 SK Zabovresky74357%73.775.7-2.0
10 Liberecko42250%74.881.8-7.0
11 Brno U2373443%84.382.7+1.6
12 Sokol Prazsky73443%82.785.0-2.3
13 Pardubice 262433%73.379.7-6.3
14 Polabi72529%81.382.1-0.9
15 Opava 272529%74.978.3-3.4
16 MS Academy72529%77.382.4-5.1
17 Radotin72529%71.785.7-14.0
18 Litomerice51420%79.084.6-5.6
19 Slavia Prague Tygri61517%78.085.0-7.0
20 Basketbal Olomouc61517%65.586.3-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Litomerice2519212489
Radotin922203283
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