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Litomerice vs Svitavy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-73
27-25 14-14 14-19 25-15
Position#4
Record21-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#3
Record20-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game75.8
Czech Republic1. Liga1. Liga - Final· Hala
Other2023-24
Meetings · Litomerice v Svitavy
24 Apr 2024
LITO62
SVIT69
19 Apr 2024
LITO80
SVIT73
08 Mar 2024
LITO92
SVIT79
17 Feb 2023
LITO68
SVIT70
18 Mar 2022
LITO60
SVIT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Litomerice winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svitavy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LitomericeCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLitomerice
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
53avg 72
A18/02
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
98-66
98
66
+32
93avg 72
H23/02
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
60avg 72
A03/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#3
W
92-79
92
79
+13
81avg 72
H08/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 72
A15/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 72
H22/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 72
A24/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 72
A05/04
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 72
H07/04
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
W
78-67
78
67
+11
76avg 72
A10/04
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
13-12
24-20
14-17
25-11
32-16
19-16
22-23
20-26
9-31
20-19
15-16
18-19
23-17
25-28
26-15
31-24
24-21
23-19
19-21
19-22
27-21
14-15
17-13
14-14
15-17
21-22
21-10
28-26
20-15
16-18
18-18
26-24
15-22
15-29
8-17
23-13
16-19
17-20
22-15
154.4Avg total
78.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.675.3155.9+5.372%
Season at home (14)85.173.8158.9+11.386%
Season away (15)76.476.7153.1-0.360%
Last 10 (10)78.875.6154.4+3.280%
Last 5 (5)74.474.0148.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.279.2156.4-2.067%
vs Similar (7)78.777.0155.7+1.771%
vs Weaker (14)82.572.8155.3+9.771%
This opponent (Svitavy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvitavyCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvitavy
Date
Competition
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
70avg 85
A09/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
51avg 85
H18/02
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
97-101
97
101
-4
94avg 85
A23/02
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H03/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
75avg 85
A08/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
77-88
77
88
-11
74avg 85
H17/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
76-64
76
64
+12
67avg 85
H22/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
93-66
93
66
+27
90avg 85
A24/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 85
A05/04
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
79avg 85
H07/04
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-29
14-22
24-19
15-14
12-13
20-24
17-14
18-19
32-18
25-33
22-31
–
–
–
–
19-18
17-23
28-25
15-26
20-24
22-29
12-24
23-11
16-10
15-12
21-24
24-18
30-16
20-19
32-11
11-20
24-27
29-19
17-22
26-23
21-19
22-27
20-10
20-20
150.6Avg total
76.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.775.8161.5+9.971%
Season at home (14)81.668.2149.9+13.471%
Season away (14)89.883.4173.2+6.471%
Last 10 (10)76.973.7150.6+3.250%
Last 5 (5)85.077.0162.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.788.7177.3+0.050%
vs Similar (2)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.872.5157.3+12.373%
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
LitomericeSvitavy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LitomericeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#3
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A18/02
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H23/02
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A03/03
1. Liga
Svitavy
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A15/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/03
1. Liga
Opava 2
#11
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A24/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A05/04
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/04
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/04
1. Liga
79.7Avg total
41.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.681.1+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.937.682.5+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.679.8+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.579.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.040.779.7-1.744%-
vs Similar (7)43.138.081.1+5.157%-
vs Weaker (14)44.537.682.1+6.964%-
This opponent (Svitavy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvitavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sokol Prazsky
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A09/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H18/02
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A08/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H17/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H22/03
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A24/03
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A05/04
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H07/04
1. Liga
82.0Avg total
42.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.139.084.0+6.172%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.537.081.5+7.571%-
Last 30 away (15)45.640.886.4+4.873%-
Last 10 (9)42.040.082.0+2.044%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.848.596.3-0.750%-
vs Similar (2)38.540.579.0-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.936.181.0+8.881%-
This opponent (Litomerice) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Litomericetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Litomerice: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.5
49.1%
50.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
29.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
64.9%12.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svitavytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svitavy: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.7
57.0%
50.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
29.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.0
72.6%
64.9%13.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Litomerice
WLWWWWWLWW
Svitavy
WWWWLLWLLL
#4
League position
#3
+3.7
Net rating
+4.9
99.4
Offensive rating
101.1
95.7
Defensive rating
96.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.6%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
20.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
28.8%
53.7%
Assist %
64.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 101.1Defence95.7 · 96.2Shooting48.8% · 50.6%3-point %32.2% · 28.8%Ball care20.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Litomerice   ■ Svitavy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Litomerice wins
4
Svitavy wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24Litomerice v Svitavy92-79
18/02/24Svitavy v Litomerice64-65
12/03/23Svitavy v Litomerice100-66
17/02/23Litomerice v Svitavy68-70
18/03/22Litomerice v Svitavy60-77
26/02/22Svitavy v Litomerice84-67
Litomericelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AHradec Kralove78-67
07/04/24HHradec Kralove64-92
05/04/24AHradec Kralove82-77
24/03/24AOpava 271-63
22/03/24HOpava 277-71
15/03/24AOpava 297-85
08/03/24HSvitavy92-79
03/03/24AHradec Kralove64-92
23/02/24HOpava 298-66
18/02/24ASvitavy65-64
Svitavylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HJindrichuv Hradec83-76
05/04/24AJindrichuv Hradec96-91
24/03/24ASokol Prazsky93-66
22/03/24HSokol Prazsky76-64
17/03/24HJindrichuv Hradec77-88
08/03/24ALitomerice79-92
03/03/24HSokol Prazsky20-0
23/02/24AJindrichuv Hradec97-101
18/02/24HLitomerice64-65
09/02/24ASokol Prazsky84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Litomerice
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %72%86%60%
Points / game80.685.176.4
Allowed / game75.373.876.7
Point differential+5.3+11.3-0.3
Avg total155.9158.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svitavy
1. Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game85.781.689.8
Allowed / game75.868.283.4
Point differential+9.9+13.4+6.4
Avg total161.5149.9173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hradec Kralove2922776%92.775.9+16.8
2 Jindrichuv Hradec2922776%91.376.2+15.1
3 Litomerice2921872%80.675.3+5.3
4 Svitavy2820871%85.775.8+9.9
5 Brno U232617965%82.471.2+11.2
6 Sokol Prazsky26151158%79.380.9-1.6
7 Pardubice 227141352%77.079.0-2.0
8 Plzen24121250%75.572.6+2.9
9 Novy Jicin24121250%82.880.2+2.7
10 Liberecko24121250%77.877.7+0.1
11 Opava 226131350%78.580.0-1.5
12 Radotin24121250%71.177.4-6.3
13 USK Prague B26121446%75.875.5+0.3
14 Polabi26101638%90.787.3+3.4
15 Chomutov2691735%79.884.1-4.3
16 Zlin2691735%83.690.5-6.9
17 SP Basket2681831%71.578.1-6.6
18 Snakes Ostrava2681831%74.788.8-14.0
19 Prostejov2671927%74.187.3-13.2
20 Basketbal Olomouc2671927%77.794.1-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Litomerice2714142580
Svitavy2514191573
← all games of the day
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