Liverpool hosts Caledonia Gladiators on 8 November 2026 in the SLB, with the model designating Liverpool as the favourite and forecasting a decisive win; the projected score is 88-83, giving Liverpool a 68% chance of victory and a 32% chance for Caledonia, while the 7-point spread carries a 44% probability of covering. Liverpool's season record of 3-5 shows 79.9 points scored and 83.2 allowed per game, with a 1-2 home record of 90.0 points for and 94.0 against; their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 77-74 home victory over Newcastle Eagles. Caledonia, 3-3 overall, averages 82.3 points scored and 88.7 allowed, and on the road they are 1-2 with 79.0 points for and 93.7 against; their recent five games also feature two wins and three losses, including a 94-92 away win over Manchester Basketball. In the sole prior encounter, Caledonia defeated Liverpool 78-73 on 20 September 2026, a result that adds intrigue to this matchup. The model projects a total of 170.5 points with a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 79.9 | 83.2 | 163.1 | -3.4 | 38% |
| Season at home (3) | 90.0 | 94.0 | 184.0 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season away (5) | 73.8 | 76.8 | 150.6 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 10 (8) | 79.9 | 83.2 | 163.1 | -3.4 | 38% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.8 | 89.2 | 178.0 | -0.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 63.0 | 76.0 | 139.0 | -13.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar (5) | 88.0 | 87.2 | 175.2 | +0.8 | 40% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 73.0 | 78.0 | 151.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 82.3 | 88.7 | 171.0 | -6.3 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 85.7 | 83.7 | 169.3 | +2.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 79.0 | 93.7 | 172.7 | -14.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.0 | 94.6 | 183.6 | -5.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 91.8 | 175.0 | -8.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 82.0 | 93.1 | 175.1 | -11.1 | 28% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (8) | 41.4 | 43.2 | 84.6 | -1.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (3) | 42.0 | 51.0 | 93.0 | -9.0 | 0% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (5) | 41.0 | 38.6 | 79.6 | +2.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 10 (8) | 41.4 | 43.2 | 84.6 | -1.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.8 | 47.6 | 91.4 | -3.8 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 28.0 | 39.5 | 67.5 | -11.5 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 46.8 | 46.2 | 93.0 | +0.6 | 60% | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 41.0 | 36.0 | 77.0 | +5.0 | 100% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 46.7 | 86.3 | -7.1 | 20% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.7 | 44.4 | 83.1 | -5.6 | 14% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.4 | 48.7 | 89.1 | -8.3 | 25% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.4 | 45.6 | 89.0 | -2.2 | 30% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 43.6 | 85.6 | -1.6 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (29) | 39.6 | 46.3 | 85.9 | -6.8 | 21% | 41% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool +6.5 | 84.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +13.7pp | Won |
| Liverpool +1.5 | 70.4% | 1.44 | 1.61 | 1.38 | 1.33 | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Liverpool +5.5 | 81.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 80.5 | 76.3% | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +14.5 | 79.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators +16.5 | 83.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 69.5 | 89.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 79.5 | 79.2% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 70.5 | 87.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 72.5 | 83.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 75.5 | 88.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 76.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 81.5 | 73.2% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.28 | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 71.5 | 85.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +13.5 | 76.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 75.5 | 74.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Liverpool +2.5 | 74.0% | 1.34 | 1.41 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 77.5 | 84.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 76.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.35 | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators over 74.5 | 77.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +12.5 | 73.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| Liverpool over 71.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 73.5 | 91.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +21.5 | 91.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Lost |
| Over 152.5 | 85.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Over 160.5 | 71.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 70.5 | 95.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +11.5 | 71.0% | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.42 | 1.31 | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Liverpool over 74.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Over 157.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Liverpool over 72.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Liverpool +4.5 | 79.2% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Liverpool +14.5 | 95.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Liverpool +19.5 | 97.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +15.5 | 81.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Over 142.5 | 95.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Liverpool +18.5 | 97.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators +20.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Over 147.5 | 91.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Liverpool +13.5 | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| Liverpool +9.5 | 89.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.2% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +3.6pp | - |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 98.5 | 93.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Liverpool +3.5 | 76.5% | 1.26 | 1.30 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Liverpool +8.5 | 87.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Liverpool under 97.5 | 82.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Liverpool under 99.5 | 87.4% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 96.5 | 90.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Liverpool under 96.5 | 80.3% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Lost |
| Liverpool under 95.5 | 77.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| Under 192.5 | 90.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Lost |
| Liverpool under 93.5 | 71.2% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 94.5 | 87.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 91.5 | 80.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 92.5 | 83.0% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 90.5 | 78.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Lost |
| Under 187.5 | 84.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Lost |
| Caledonia Gladiators under 88.5 | 72.0% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Lost |
| Under 182.5 | 77.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Lost |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.6 | 20.7 | 50.9% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.9 | 7.4 | 35.0% | 22.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.9 | 15.4 | 70.4% | 15.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.1 | 23.7 | 50.9% | 47.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.4 | 9.7 | 35.0% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.6 | 10.2 | 70.4% | 10.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 | Caledonia Gladiators v Liverpool | 78-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 85-91 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 108-117 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 77-74 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 89-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 85-74 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 73-64 |
| 27/09/26 | A | London Lions | 49-78 |
| 20/09/26 | A | Caledonia Gladiators | 73-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 92-99 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 94-92 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Sheffield Sharks | 87-79 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Newcastle Eagles | 67-91 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Sheffield Sharks | 76-98 |
| 20/09/26 | H | Liverpool | 78-73 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 82-91 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Cheshire Phoenix | 101-111 |
| 17/04/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 120-117 OT |
| 12/04/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 93-95 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 38% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LLWWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Points / game | 79.9 | 90.0 | 73.8 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 94.0 | 76.8 |
| Point differential | -3.4 | -4.0 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 163.1 | 184.0 | 150.6 |
| Over 168.75 | 38% | 67% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 12% | 0% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 50% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Points / game | 82.3 | 85.7 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 88.7 | 83.7 | 93.7 |
| Point differential | -6.3 | +2.0 | -14.7 |
| Avg total | 171.0 | 169.3 | 172.7 |
| Over 168.75 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 81.6 | 75.8 | +5.8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.3 | 81.0 | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 96.2 | 96.1 | +0.1 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 77.5 | 77.9 | -0.4 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 | |
| 7 | Caledonia Gladiators | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 82.3 | 88.7 | -6.3 |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.1 | 81.9 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | Liverpool | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 79.9 | 83.2 | -3.4 |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 38 | 23 | 27 | 31 | 119 |
| Caledonia Gladiators | 21 | 28 | 21 | 23 | 93 |
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