Liverpool and Sheffield Sharks face off in the SLB on 15 November 2026, a contest that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear edge. Liverpool's season record of 4-5 shows a team that averages 84.2 points while conceding 84.3, and they are seventh in the league; at home they are 2-2 with 97.2 points for and 93.8 against. Their last five games included a 119-93 win over Caledonia Gladiators, an 85-91 loss to Manchester Basketball, and a 108-117 defeat by Cheshire Phoenix. Sheffield, meanwhile, sits third with a 4-3 record, scoring 83.7 and allowing 81.4, and on the road they are 1-2, averaging 78.7 points and 82.7 allowed. Their recent outings feature a 86-84 home win over Cheshire Phoenix, an 81-76 road victory against Surrey 89ers, and a 76-85 loss to London Lions. Pythia rates Liverpool as the slight favourite with a 52% chance of winning versus Sheffield's 48%, projecting a 84-84 draw and a total of 167.6 points; the home team must win by 2 or more to cover the -1.5 line, with a 49% probability of covering, and the over on the 165.75 line has a 54% chance, while a 5% chance of overtime looms. The game will hinge on whether Liverpool can maintain its offensive output against Sheffield's disciplined defence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 84.2 | 84.3 | 168.6 | -0.1 | 44% |
| Season at home (4) | 97.2 | 93.8 | 191.0 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 73.8 | 76.8 | 150.6 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 10 (9) | 84.2 | 84.3 | 168.6 | -0.1 | 44% |
| Last 5 (5) | 95.6 | 93.0 | 188.6 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 63.0 | 76.0 | 139.0 | -13.0 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 88.0 | 87.2 | 175.2 | +0.8 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 96.0 | 85.5 | 181.5 | +10.5 | 50% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 83.7 | 81.4 | 165.1 | +2.3 | 57% |
| Season at home (4) | 87.5 | 80.5 | 168.0 | +7.0 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 78.7 | 82.7 | 161.3 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.8 | 82.7 | 165.5 | +0.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.6 | 83.8 | 164.4 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 78.3 | 84.6 | 162.9 | -6.3 | 43% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 83.6 | 87.4 | 171.0 | -3.7 | 36% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 88.5 | 80.1 | 168.6 | +8.5 | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (9) | 43.6 | 43.9 | 87.4 | -0.3 | 56% | 56% |
| Last 30 at home (4) | 46.8 | 50.5 | 97.2 | -3.8 | 25% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (5) | 41.0 | 38.6 | 79.6 | +2.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 10 (9) | 43.6 | 43.9 | 87.4 | -0.3 | 56% | 56% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 49.0 | 96.2 | -1.8 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 28.0 | 39.5 | 67.5 | -11.5 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 46.8 | 46.2 | 93.0 | +0.6 | 60% | 80% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 51.0 | 42.5 | 93.5 | +8.5 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 44.0 | 85.9 | -2.1 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 43.4 | 43.1 | 86.4 | +0.3 | 47% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.0 | 45.2 | 85.2 | -5.2 | 31% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.7 | 42.4 | 83.1 | -1.7 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 44.4 | 85.0 | -3.8 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 40.0 | 44.7 | 84.7 | -4.7 | 29% | 57% |
| vs Similar ◀ (11) | 40.8 | 44.5 | 85.3 | -3.6 | 36% | 73% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 42.8 | 41.7 | 84.5 | +1.1 | 55% | 64% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Sharks over 75.5 | 77.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp |
| Sheffield Sharks over 73.5 | 83.3% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp |
| Sheffield Sharks +12.5 | 85.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp |
| Over 153.5 | 79.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp |
| Liverpool over 74.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.8 | 20.8 | 50.9% | 41.5 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.5 | 7.8 | 34.9% | 23.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.9 | 15.1 | 70.8% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.4 | 24.8 | 50.9% | 49.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.1 | 6.4 | 34.9% | 19.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 13.4 | 70.8% | 13.4 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Caledonia Gladiators | 119-93 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 85-91 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 108-117 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 77-74 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Bristol Flyers | 89-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 85-74 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Manchester Basketball | 73-64 |
| 27/09/26 | A | London Lions | 49-78 |
| 20/09/26 | A | Caledonia Gladiators | 73-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Cheshire Phoenix | 86-84 OT |
| 01/11/26 | A | Surrey 89ers | 81-76 |
| 30/10/26 | A | London Lions | 76-85 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Newcastle Eagles | 81-87 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Caledonia Gladiators | 79-87 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 85-75 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Caledonia Gladiators | 98-76 |
| 03/05/26 | H | Leicester Riders | 87-97 |
| 01/05/26 | A | Leicester Riders | 81-78 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 74-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLW | 44% |
| Home | WLLW | 50% |
| Away | LLWWL | 40% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Points / game | 84.2 | 97.2 | 73.8 |
| Allowed / game | 84.3 | 93.8 | 76.8 |
| Point differential | -0.1 | +3.5 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 168.6 | 191.0 | 150.6 |
| Over 164.75 | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Win by 10+ | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 57% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Points / game | 83.7 | 87.5 | 78.7 |
| Allowed / game | 81.4 | 80.5 | 82.7 |
| Point differential | +2.3 | +7.0 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 165.1 | 168.0 | 161.3 |
| Over 164.75 | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 81.4 | 75.9 | +5.5 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 84.7 | 76.6 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.7 | 81.4 | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 77.5 | 77.9 | -0.4 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 81.3 | 83.2 | -1.9 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 94.9 | 95.0 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.2 | 84.3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Caledonia Gladiators | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.9 | 93.0 | -9.1 |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 78.9 | 81.6 | -2.8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 84.2 | 89.4 | -5.1 |
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