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Lliria vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-82
29-20 18-15 12-22 13-25
Position#15
Record15-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#2
Record22-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game75.5
SpainSegunda FEBSegunda FEB - Semi-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lliria v Castello
09 May 2026
LLIR72
CAST82
18 Apr 2026
LLIR80
CAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lliria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LliriaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sant Antoni
#1
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H21/02
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H14/03
Segunda FEB
Spanish Basketball Academy
#6
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H21/03
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#22
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H04/04
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A11/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H18/04
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H25/04
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A02/05
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
28-15
20-11
23-16
14-22
24-14
20-21
28-13
19-17
23-16
8-11
17-18
12-21
13-16
11-19
15-21
15-22
26-14
16-32
18-15
22-23
20-19
17-21
24-10
25-20
16-26
24-22
15-31
23-24
16-20
23-14
18-29
19-18
22-22
28-18
33-17
23-24
13-22
30-20
10-21
157.3Avg total
79.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.977.1156.0+1.854%
Season at home (14)79.671.1150.8+8.571%
Season away (14)78.283.1161.3-4.936%
Last 10 (10)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)84.284.2168.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.883.0168.8+2.850%
vs Similar (14)79.780.4160.1-0.643%
vs Weaker (12)74.370.7145.0+3.767%
This opponent (Castello) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salou
#26
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H22/02
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#20
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A07/03
Segunda FEB
Mataro
#25
W
101-80
101
80
+21
H15/03
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#16
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A21/03
Segunda FEB
Sant Antoni
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H29/03
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
W
73-45
73
45
+28
A04/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
75-105
75
105
-30
A25/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H03/05
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
26-11
25-26
18-24
18-22
19-21
16-18
20-12
27-21
22-21
24-20
28-18
20-18
27-26
23-19
25-14
15-21
21-19
20-19
20-13
17-17
21-14
15-12
20-2
27-22
23-19
33-17
25-11
24-23
20-16
14-23
29-18
27-24
12-30
14-30
22-21
22-17
20-20
21-13
20-9
161.2Avg total
86.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.675.5160.1+9.179%
Season at home (14)86.172.8158.9+13.386%
Season away (14)83.178.3161.4+4.971%
Last 10 (10)86.674.6161.2+12.090%
Last 5 (5)85.271.6156.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.587.0178.5+4.5100%
vs Similar (8)77.675.5153.1+2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.475.5162.9+11.990%
This opponent (Lliria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +8.5+8.5
LliriaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LliriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sant Antoni
#1
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H21/02
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A08/03
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/03
Segunda FEB
Spanish Basketball Academy
#6
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H21/03
Segunda FEB
Molina Basket
#22
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Gandia
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/04
Segunda FEB
CB Getafe
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/04
Segunda FEB
Castello
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/04
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/04
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/05
Segunda FEB
79.5Avg total
40.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.477.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.338.576.7-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.238.477.6+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.539.884.2+4.850%-
vs Similar (14)36.838.675.4-1.836%-
vs Weaker (12)39.137.876.9+1.258%-
This opponent (Castello) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salou
#26
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/02
Segunda FEB
Sol Girones Bisbal
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Segunda FEB
Mataro
#25
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/03
Segunda FEB
Huesca
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A21/03
Segunda FEB
Sant Antoni
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H29/03
Segunda FEB
Albacete
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/04
Segunda FEB
Benicarlo
#21
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H12/04
Segunda FEB
Lliria
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A25/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H03/05
Segunda FEB
82.3Avg total
42.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.080.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.637.080.6+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.180.6-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.982.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)37.439.576.9-2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.638.682.2+5.070%-
This opponent (Lliria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lliria wins
2
Castello wins
DateGameScore
18/04/26Lliria v Castello80-87
04/01/26Castello v Lliria93-72
Llirialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ACBC Valladolid76-87
25/04/26HCBC Valladolid102-75
18/04/26HCastello80-87
11/04/26ACB Getafe80-99
04/04/26HGandia83-73
28/03/26AMolina Basket75-83
21/03/26HSpanish Basketball Academy51-77
14/03/26HBenicarlo67-62
08/03/26AAlbacete86-70
21/02/26HSant Antoni98-62
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HCordoba83-59
25/04/26ACordoba75-105
18/04/26ALliria87-80
12/04/26HBenicarlo108-69
04/04/26AAlbacete73-45
29/03/26HSant Antoni76-72
21/03/26AHuesca95-77
15/03/26HMataro101-80
07/03/26ASol Girones Bisbal83-81 OT
22/02/26HSalou85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lliria
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game78.979.678.2
Allowed / game77.171.183.1
Point differential+1.8+8.5-4.9
Avg total156.0150.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Castello
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game84.686.183.1
Allowed / game75.572.878.3
Point differential+9.1+13.3+4.9
Avg total160.1158.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sant Antoni2923679%84.172.8+11.4
2 Castello2822679%84.675.5+9.1
3 Caja 872820871%80.772.5+8.2
4 Albacete2820871%81.377.9+3.4
5 Spanish Basketball Academy2819968%80.574.7+5.8
6 Cordoba2819968%75.672.0+3.6
7 Iraurgi SB28181064%81.275.9+5.4
8 CBC Valladolid28181064%85.180.3+4.8
9 Gandia28171161%82.377.2+5.1
10 Moron29171259%78.476.9+1.5
11 Clavijo28161257%76.273.7+2.6
12 Toledo26141254%79.075.4+3.6
13 Caceres28151354%81.078.2+2.8
14 Lliria28151354%78.977.1+1.8
15 Ponferrada28151354%77.877.4+0.4
16 Huesca28141450%82.683.2-0.6
17 CB Zaragoza28121643%81.681.0+0.6
18 CB Getafe26111542%80.681.2-0.6
19 Leonesa26111542%82.484.9-2.5
20 Sol Girones Bisbal26101638%73.278.0-4.8
21 Benicarlo2691735%74.480.5-6.1
22 Molina Basket2891932%74.082.1-8.1
23 Jaen2891932%74.282.8-8.5
24 Logrono2681831%73.076.8-3.8
25 Mataro2671927%74.783.1-8.5
26 Salou2652119%74.583.5-9.0
27 Gijon2652119%76.385.8-9.5
28 Valle de Egues2652119%74.586.9-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lliria2918121372
Castello2015222582
← all games of the day
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