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Logan Thunder vs Darwin Salties Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-66
25-16 21-24 17-8 18-18
Position#2
Record15-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#10
Record10-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game94.2
AustraliaNBL1 NorthNBL1 North - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Logan Thunder v Darwin Salties
22 Jul 2023
LOGA81
DARW66
02 Jul 2023
LOGA97
DARW75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darwin Salties winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
A20/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
104-80
104
80
+24
A27/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A02/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A03/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
108-68
108
68
+40
H17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H24/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A07/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A14/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H15/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
21-17
18-20
24-15
27-20
24-18
22-15
31-27
24-23
36-25
28-22
20-27
24-16
33-20
27-22
12-25
23-22
36-14
24-16
25-16
23-27
18-19
11-26
27-21
22-19
26-16
30-18
19-22
21-21
13-18
25-32
23-18
21-19
23-19
22-22
22-30
19-15
13-20
25-19
30-24
176.5Avg total
94.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)95.782.7178.4+13.079%
Season at home (10)97.580.1177.6+17.490%
Season away (9)93.785.6179.2+8.167%
Last 10 (10)94.082.5176.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)86.685.0171.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.095.7192.7+1.333%
vs Similar (6)95.295.2190.3+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)96.882.2179.0+14.581%
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Darwin SaltiesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#9
W
113-101
113
101
+12
H27/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H03/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
93-110
93
110
-17
A09/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A10/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A11/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
94-92
94
92
+2
H24/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
117-93
117
93
+24
A30/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
105-106
105
106
-1
A01/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
75-97
75
97
-22
A02/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
107-87
107
87
+20
H08/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
23-29
30-16
29-32
36-22
20-25
31-21
15-16
20-22
26-29
32-23
15-36
28-16
22-31
25-31
21-24
18-33
21-23
19-17
24-25
29-25
24-21
20-30
21-16
29-22
31-24
27-15
30-32
22-25
21-25
30-26
32-30
19-22
16-26
18-30
22-19
27-24
30-16
29-24
21-23
195.4Avg total
98.4Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)97.294.2191.4+2.953%
Season at home (9)104.390.8195.1+13.689%
Season away (10)90.797.3188.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)98.497.0195.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)99.695.0194.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)92.892.8185.6+0.040%
vs Similar (15)97.194.5191.5+2.640%
vs Weaker (10)94.190.2184.3+3.960%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
Logan ThunderDarwin Salties
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A20/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A02/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
57-36
57
36
+21
A03/06
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#6
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H17/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H24/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/07
NBL1 North
86.3Avg total
47.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)48.142.690.7+5.568%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.443.892.1+4.664%-
Last 30 away (14)47.941.489.2+6.571%-
Last 10 (10)47.538.886.3+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.678.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.748.097.7+1.767%-
vs Similar (5)44.642.286.8+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.841.990.6+6.965%-
This opponent (Darwin Salties) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Darwin SaltiesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#9
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H27/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#14
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H03/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A10/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A11/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H24/06
NBL1 North
Red City Roar
#16
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A30/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A01/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#8
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H08/07
NBL1 North
97.7Avg total
49.3Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.245.694.8+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.443.897.2+9.692%-
Last 30 away (17)46.047.193.1-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)49.348.497.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.646.095.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)45.844.290.0+1.660%-
vs Similar (15)49.345.594.8+3.767%-
vs Weaker (10)50.846.597.3+4.370%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Logan Thunder wins
1
Darwin Salties wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23HSouthern District87-78
14/07/23AGold Coast Rollers88-90
07/07/23ASouth West Metro Pirates82-89
02/07/23HDarwin Salties97-75
24/06/23HIpswich Force79-93
17/06/23HCairns Marlins108-68
03/06/23AMackay Meteors96-83
02/06/23ARockhampton Rockets108-97
27/05/23AIpswich Force104-80
20/05/23ASunshine Coast Phoenix91-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/07/23HSunshine Coast Phoenix107-87
02/07/23ALogan Thunder75-97
01/07/23AIpswich Force105-106
30/06/23ARed City Roar117-93
24/06/23HNorthside Wizards94-92
11/06/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks82-98
10/06/23ASouth West Metro Pirates96-102
09/06/23AGold Coast Rollers93-110
03/06/23HTownsville Heat102-84
27/05/23HUSC Rip City113-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW79%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game95.797.593.7
Allowed / game82.780.185.6
Point differential+13.0+17.4+8.1
Avg total178.4177.6179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%70%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darwin Salties
NBL1 North 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %53%89%20%
Points / game97.2104.390.7
Allowed / game94.290.897.3
Point differential+2.9+13.6-6.6
Avg total191.4195.1188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%78%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gold Coast Rollers2018290%102.488.8+13.6
2 Logan Thunder1915479%95.782.7+13.0
3 Ipswich Force2014670%98.495.3+3.1
4 South West Metro Pirates2012860%90.288.5+1.6
5 Mackay Meteors2011955%91.387.8+3.5
6 Cairns Marlins2011955%88.591.3-2.8
7 Darwin Salties1910953%97.294.2+2.9
8 Southern District1910953%88.989.0-0.1
9 Sunshine Coast Phoenix1910953%88.789.4-0.7
10 USC Rip City20101050%96.193.3+2.8
11 Northside Wizards1991047%87.690.5-2.8
12 Brisbane Capitals1971237%95.195.4-0.3
13 North Gold Coast Seahawks1971237%86.192.5-6.4
14 Townsville Heat1951426%89.194.1-5.0
15 Rockhampton Rockets1941521%87.295.4-8.3
16 Red City Roar1921711%81.797.0-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Logan Thunder2521171881
Darwin Salties162481866
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