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Logan Thunder vs South West Metro Pirates Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 82-92
26-20 21-28 10-24 25-20
Position#10
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#6
Record6-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game91.5
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Logan Thunder v South West Metro Pirates
26 Jul 2025
LOGA82
SOUT92
06 Jul 2024
LOGA95
SOUT93
24 Mar 2023
LOGA95
SOUT77
06 Aug 2022
LOGA125
SOUT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South West Metro Pirates winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
127-116 OT
127
116
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
93-108
93
108
-15
H05/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A11/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A12/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
100-109
100
109
-9
A18/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
25-31
21-13
16-21
22-32
20-14
21-20
21-20
25-28
21-24
32-25
26-27
22-28
32-19
34-20
22-31
25-26
19-20
27-22
19-19
32-21
19-20
14-17
28-26
30-36
19-31
17-22
27-19
24-34
26-27
21-23
26-21
22-20
27-23
17-26
15-24
34-33
24-20
27-26
15-30
193.5Avg total
96.1Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.896.2191.9-0.438%
Season at home (6)101.3101.2202.5+0.233%
Season away (7)91.091.9182.9-0.943%
Last 10 (10)96.197.4193.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)92.899.8192.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)94.098.7192.7-4.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.094.0184.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (12)91.183.2174.3+7.883%
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
85-115
85
115
-30
H24/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H07/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
106-100
106
100
+6
A15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H27/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
102-78
102
78
+24
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H12/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
93-96
93
96
-3
H19/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
20-25
27-24
20-31
22-14
20-29
33-25
16-28
22-18
19-27
26-24
22-26
23-30
28-28
24-23
31-19
24-29
22-25
28-29
19-26
20-15
27-22
17-22
22-17
20-18
23-17
21-18
24-19
29-16
29-22
17-18
27-22
27-22
27-23
19-19
19-13
24-24
19-19
26-29
24-24
183.9Avg total
92.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.591.5183.0-0.146%
Season at home (7)89.391.9181.1-2.643%
Season away (6)94.091.2185.2+2.850%
Last 10 (10)92.591.4183.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)92.279.8172.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.1101.2188.3-14.110%
vs Similar ◀ (17)93.492.6186.0+0.847%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.3164.3+7.767%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
Logan ThunderSouth West Metro Pirates
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H05/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A11/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A18/07
NBL1 North
100.2Avg total
49.2Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.793.0+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.245.392.5+1.964%-
Last 30 away (16)47.246.193.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)49.251.0100.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)51.453.0104.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.852.7102.5-2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.246.591.8-1.242%-
vs Weaker (12)47.941.589.4+6.475%-
This opponent (South West Metro Pirates) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South West Metro PiratesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H24/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A14/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A15/06
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A21/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A06/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H12/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/07
NBL1 North
92.1Avg total
46.3Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.146.891.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.943.888.7+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)45.250.295.4-5.014%-
Last 10 (10)46.345.892.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.039.688.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.251.394.5-8.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.545.291.7+1.435%-
vs Weaker (3)43.040.783.7+2.367%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25ABrisbane Capitals100-109
12/07/25ARockhampton Rockets81-93
11/07/25AMackay Meteors97-105
05/07/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix93-108
28/06/25ANorthside Wizards93-84
14/06/25AIpswich Force90-87
07/06/25HGold Coast Rollers110-98
31/05/25HIpswich Force127-116 OT
23/05/25HTownsville Heat84-86
17/05/25AGold Coast Rollers86-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HGold Coast Rollers93-96
12/07/25HCairns Marlins92-77
06/07/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix102-78
28/06/25ASouthern District88-72
27/06/25HTownsville Heat86-76
21/06/25AGold Coast Rollers93-109
15/06/25ARockhampton Rockets106-100
14/06/25AMackay Meteors89-95
07/06/25HIpswich Force91-96
24/05/25HBrisbane Capitals85-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game95.8101.391.0
Allowed / game96.2101.291.9
Point differential-0.4+0.2-0.9
Avg total191.9202.5182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
South West Metro Pirates
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game91.589.394.0
Allowed / game91.591.991.2
Point differential-0.1-2.6+2.8
Avg total183.0181.1185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sunshine Coast Phoenix139469%91.486.7+4.7
2 Brisbane Capitals149564%99.892.6+7.2
3 Gold Coast Rollers149564%96.592.5+4.0
4 Mackay Meteors148657%96.995.2+1.6
5 Southern District137654%94.897.0-2.2
6 Rockhampton Rockets147750%93.594.2-0.7
7 Ipswich Force147750%95.897.3-1.5
8 South West Metro Pirates136746%91.591.5-0.1
9 Northside Wizards146843%87.488.4-1.1
10 Logan Thunder135838%95.896.2-0.4
11 Townsville Heat145936%90.392.4-2.1
12 Cairns Marlins1441029%90.199.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Logan Thunder2621102582
South West Metro Pirates2028242092
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