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Logan Thunder vs Townsville Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 84-86
22-32 20-14 21-20 21-20
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#11
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game83.8
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Logan Thunder v Townsville Heat
23 May 2025
LOGA84
TOWN86
23 Apr 2023
LOGA98
TOWN70
04 Jun 2021
LOGA82
TOWN67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Logan Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A22/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A29/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H30/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H06/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
H20/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
109-110
109
110
-1
H02/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A03/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A17/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
20-20
23-17
16-19
26-23
11-23
23-24
11-20
22-24
31-17
13-23
24-24
31-27
26-23
13-25
25-18
22-20
19-14
20-12
18-25
19-32
14-14
27-21
9-26
29-27
27-22
27-32
26-29
24-16
24-21
15-17
27-23
24-26
21-23
24-21
16-19
24-23
25-31
21-13
16-21
174.2Avg total
86.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.591.0183.5+1.525%
Season at home (2)97.099.5196.5-2.50%
Season away (2)88.082.5170.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)86.088.2174.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)87.891.4179.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.092.3179.3-5.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.192.4177.6-7.343%
vs Weaker (20)90.981.0171.9+9.975%
This opponent (Townsville Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville HeatAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H14/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
H22/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
79-106
79
106
-27
A29/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
113-85
113
85
+28
H13/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H03/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
A09/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
17-19
32-11
27-29
27-26
21-22
24-23
20-20
26-18
22-26
17-29
24-26
10-22
24-26
18-32
27-26
18-25
23-22
15-32
28-21
27-23
21-18
30-29
35-15
20-21
40-24
30-23
21-16
16-20
22-15
34-14
17-18
27-36
21-25
32-21
20-20
22-9
15-23
19-31
15-19
182.9Avg total
93.0Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.883.8176.5+9.050%
Season at home (2)91.083.0174.0+8.050%
Season away (2)94.584.5179.0+10.050%
Last 10 (10)93.089.9182.9+3.150%
Last 5 (5)96.884.0180.8+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)86.797.6184.2-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.887.4180.2+5.450%
vs Weaker (2)104.096.5200.5+7.550%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Logan ThunderTownsville Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H06/07
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H13/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H20/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H02/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A17/05
NBL1 North
90.0Avg total
45.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.088.1+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.140.587.6+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)44.843.988.7+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.590.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.247.093.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.049.795.7-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.643.987.4-0.357%-
vs Weaker (20)47.040.187.2+6.970%-
This opponent (Townsville Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/06
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H22/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/06
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H03/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A09/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/05
NBL1 North
88.9Avg total
44.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.845.789.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.244.690.9+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.147.088.1-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.488.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.889.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.946.189.1-3.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.845.188.9-1.242%-
vs Weaker (2)51.046.597.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Logan Thunder wins
0
Townsville Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AGold Coast Rollers86-88
10/05/25HCairns Marlins85-89
03/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates90-77
02/05/25HSouthern District109-110
20/07/24HSouthern District69-93
13/07/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix79-71
06/07/24HSouth West Metro Pirates95-93
30/06/24HRockhampton Rockets90-88
29/06/24AIpswich Force71-90
22/06/24ABrisbane Capitals86-83 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25HBrisbane Capitals71-82
10/05/25AMackay Meteors100-102
09/05/25ARockhampton Rockets89-67
03/05/25HCairns Marlins111-84
13/07/24HIpswich Force113-85
06/07/24ADarwin Salties84-100
29/06/24ABrisbane Capitals79-106
28/06/24ASouthern District89-99
22/06/24HSouth West Metro Pirates92-91
14/06/24HGold Coast Rollers102-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game92.597.088.0
Allowed / game91.099.582.5
Point differential+1.5-2.5+5.5
Avg total183.5196.5170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville Heat
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game92.891.094.5
Allowed / game83.883.084.5
Point differential+9.0+8.0+10.0
Avg total176.5174.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals43175%86.578.0+8.5
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix32167%96.383.3+13.0
3 Gold Coast Rollers32167%95.091.7+3.3
4 Ipswich Force32167%85.785.7+0.0
5 Townsville Heat42250%92.883.8+9.0
6 Northside Wizards42250%87.284.8+2.5
7 Mackay Meteors42250%96.598.5-2.0
8 Southern District42250%89.093.0-4.0
9 Cairns Marlins42250%87.2101.5-14.2
10 South West Metro Pirates31233%88.092.0-4.0
11 Logan Thunder41325%92.591.0+1.5
12 Rockhampton Rockets2020%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Logan Thunder2220212184
Townsville Heat3214202086
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