Lokomotiv Kuban host Parma Perm on 7 November 2026 in the VTB United League, with the model designating Lokomotiv Kuban as the favourite thanks to their 6-1 record, 89.3 points per game and 75.4 allowed, placing them second in the standings, while Parma Perm sit 5th with 4-3, 90.4 points per game and 84.0 allowed. Lokomotiv Kuban have gone 5-0 at home, averaging 89.8 points and conceding 75.8, and have won four of their last five games, including a 107-80 victory over Unics Kazan at home on 1 November 2026, a 92-62 win over Samara away on 25 October 2026 and a 73-72 win over Zenit Petersburg at home on 18 October 2026. Parma Perm have a 2-3 road record, averaging 83.2 points and allowing 86.0, and have won three of their last five games, highlighted by a 109-68 win over Samara at home on 3 November 2026, a 57-79 loss to CSKA Moscow away on 27 October 2026 and a 108-90 win over Dynamo Vladivostok at home on 17 October 2026. In their 10 meetings, Lokomotiv Kuban have won seven, most recently defeating Parma Perm 87-82 on 3 May 2026. Pythia projects a 78% chance for Lokomotiv Kuban to win, 22% for Parma Perm, with a 89-79 scoreline and 167.7 total points; the home team line is -10.0 with a 48% chance to cover, the total line is 173.0 with a 36% chance of the over, and there is a 4% probability of overtime. The game will likely see Lokomotiv Kuban extend their home dominance.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
76.1%fair 1.31
Best odds1.27
Implied72.5%
Edge+3.6pp
Parma Perm winLost
23.9%fair 4.18
Best odds4.46
Implied27.5%
Edge-3.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 14:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (13%). The market's main line is 172.5.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Over 167.5
Over 167.5
49.9%
@ 1.58-9.0pp
Under 167.5
50.1%
@ 2.20+9.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.58
Marathon Be
1.50
Under
Marathon Be
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Over/Under 172.5 · main lineActual: Over 172.5
Over 172.5
37.8%
@ 1.91-12.4pp
Under 172.5
62.2%
@ 1.93+12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Pinnacle
1.86
SBO
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 177.5Actual: Over 177.5
Over 177.5
27.0%
Under 177.5
73.0%
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Lokomotiv Kuban total 87.5Actual: Lokomotiv Kuban over 87.5
Over 87.5
52.7%
Under 87.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kuban total 91.5 · main lineActual: Lokomotiv Kuban over 91.5
Over 91.5
37.4%
@ 1.88-12.4pp
Under 91.5
62.6%
@ 1.87+12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Lokomotiv Kuban total 95.5Actual: Lokomotiv Kuban over 95.5
Over 95.5
23.9%
Under 95.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma Perm total 77Actual: Parma Perm over 77
Over 77
59.4%
Under 77
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma Perm total 81 · main lineActual: Parma Perm over 81
Over 81
43.6%
@ 1.85-7.1pp
Under 81
56.4%
@ 1.89+7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Parma Perm total 85Actual: Parma Perm under 85
Over 85
29.0%
Under 85
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Lokomotiv Kuban's side (positive = Lokomotiv Kuban win). Pythia's expected margin is +8.6; Lokomotiv Kuban win by 1+ in 69% of simulations.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 176
70.4%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Lost
Under 176.5
71.0%
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
-
-
-
+13.3pp
Lost
Lokomotiv Kuban -2.5
70.5%
1.34
1xBet
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.25
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban win
76.1%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.27
SBO
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+3.6pp
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban (regulation)
73.8%
1.23
1xBet
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.22
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban +3.5
82.6%
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban +3
82.3%
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.17
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban +2.5
80.7%
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban +2
80.1%
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 180.5
78.6%
1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 180
78.2%
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Lokomotiv Kuban +1.5
78.0%
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban +1
77.5%
1.18
Marathon Bet
1.18
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Lokomotiv Kuban or draw
77.3%
1.14
Marathon Bet
1.14
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 179.5
76.8%
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.43
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +17.5
76.7%
1.26
Marathon Bet
1.26
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 179
76.4%
1.44
Marathon Bet
1.44
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +17
76.1%
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 178.5
75.0%
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.47
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 178
74.5%
1.49
Marathon Bet
1.49
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +16.5
74.2%
1.31
Marathon Bet
1.31
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Lokomotiv Kuban -1.5
73.9%
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.23
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Parma Perm +16
73.5%
1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Under 177.5
73.0%
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.52
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Lokomotiv Kuban -2
73.0%
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
-
-
-
-
-
Won
Under 177
72.5%
1.54
Marathon Bet
1.54
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +15.5
71.5%
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
Parma Perm +15
70.7%
1.39
Marathon Bet
1.39
-
-
-
-
-
Lost
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They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Lokomotiv Kuban: 80.6 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.5
18.6
53.9%
-
37.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.1
9.4
36.0%
-
28.2
🏀Free throws
18.7
15.2
81.3%
-
15.2
Their opponents take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 78.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.8
19.5
49.0%
-
39.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.0
8.4
32.3%
-
25.2
🏀Free throws
18.9
14.3
75.7%
-
14.3
Their opponents take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Lokomotiv Kuban: 80.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.6
19.2
51.2%
-
38.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.1
9.2
36.6%
-
27.5
🏀Free throws
19.5
15.0
76.9%
-
15.0
Their opponents take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Parma Permtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Parma Perm: 75.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.1
18.6
50.2%
-
37.3
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
24.1
8.5
35.3%
-
25.5
🏀Free throws
16.0
12.4
77.3%
-
12.4
Their opponents take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lokomotiv Kuban
WWWWLWWWWW
Parma Perm
WLWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#5
-4.7
Net rating
-6.1
110.2
Offensive rating
98.6
114.9
Defensive rating
104.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
34.3%
58.7%
Assist %
73.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%
Profile
■ Lokomotiv Kuban■ Parma Perm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Lokomotiv Kuban
CSKA Moscow
Unics Kazan
Zenit Petersburg
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
Dynamo Vladivostok
Saratov
MBA Moscow
Enisey
Samara
