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Louisiana Lafayette vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-58
37-32 38-26
Position#33
Record7-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#78
Record6-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Centenary Louisiana
#623
W
106-55
106
55
+51
H08/11
NCAA
Harvard
#207
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A11/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A13/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#448
W
104-70
104
70
+34
H30/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
37-33
33-42
38-38
59-21
47-34
34-23
41-38
42-28
39-49
35-42
59-46
30-34
37-33
23-40
41-36
49-38
55-32
33-32
45-45
152.8Avg total
81.5Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.872.0156.8+12.888%
Season at home (3)101.371.0172.3+30.3100%
Season away (5)74.872.6147.4+2.280%
Last 10 (10)81.571.3152.8+10.280%
Last 5 (5)83.276.6159.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.172.3139.4-5.222%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.769.5141.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (7)83.370.9154.1+12.4100%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anderson (Ind.)
#461
W
109-85
109
85
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/11
NCAA
Belhaven
#587
W
90-38
90
38
+52
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
79-49
79
49
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
56-34
53-51
33-31
47-30
45-21
45-17
40-29
44-35
43-28
35-35
52-22
27-27
35-33
41-46
35-35
47-49
49-50
40-39
31-33
39-37
155.9Avg total
85.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.370.6155.9+14.760%
Season at home (7)84.965.6150.4+19.371%
Season away (3)86.382.3168.7+4.033%
Last 10 (10)85.370.6155.9+14.760%
Last 5 (5)82.479.0161.4+3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.879.3151.1-7.644%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.274.0148.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (11)85.068.2153.2+16.873%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +10.3+10.32nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +5.2+5.2
Louisiana LafayetteSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#99
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A06/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Centenary Louisiana
#623
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H08/11
NCAA
Harvard
#207
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A11/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A13/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H18/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#448
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H30/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
36.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.164.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.031.867.8+4.258%-
Last 30 away (18)32.230.662.8+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.469.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.271.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.932.164.0-0.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.231.363.5+0.954%-
vs Weaker (7)35.330.966.1+4.471%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anderson (Ind.)
#461
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Belhaven
#587
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
41.9Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.434.773.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.831.471.2+8.471%-
Last 30 away (13)36.539.175.6-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.931.673.5+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.675.0+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.438.270.7-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.334.973.2+3.450%-
vs Weaker (11)43.431.775.1+11.682%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisiana Lafayette wins
0
Samford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22ANew Orleans78-77
30/11/22HLoyola NO104-70
26/11/22ADrake64-76
23/11/22ASMU Mustangs76-72 OT
18/11/22HLouisiana Tech94-88
13/11/22AEast Tennessee St81-77
11/11/22AHarvard75-61
08/11/22HCentenary Louisiana106-55
08/03/22AGeorgia State71-80
06/03/22ATroy66-57
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22AUCF Knights77-80 OT
01/12/22ADePaul98-103 OT
27/11/22HUT Southern82-84
25/11/22HLouisiana Tech76-79
23/11/22HValparaiso79-49
20/11/22HTexas Southern78-63
18/11/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-64
12/11/22HBelhaven90-38
11/11/22HSpring Hill80-61
08/11/22HAnderson (Ind.)109-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game84.8101.374.8
Allowed / game72.071.072.6
Point differential+12.8+30.3+2.2
Avg total156.8172.3147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %60%71%33%
Points / game85.384.986.3
Allowed / game70.665.682.3
Point differential+14.7+19.3+4.0
Avg total155.9150.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss109190%78.858.3+20.5
2 Marshall109190%82.167.0+15.1
3 Louisiana Lafayette87188%84.872.0+12.8
4 James Madison118373%90.561.8+28.7
5 Troy117464%79.764.7+15.0
6 Appalachian State106460%79.066.5+12.5
7 Georgia Southern106460%70.564.2+6.3
8 Old Dominion106460%70.066.1+3.9
9 Texas State106460%66.765.8+0.9
10 Coastal Carolina95456%78.863.1+15.7
11 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
12 Arkansas State105550%67.963.5+4.4
13 South Alabama93633%70.669.7+0.9
14 Louisiana Monroe103730%74.271.6+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs107370%82.066.5+15.5
2 Furman107370%82.370.7+11.6
3 Samford106460%85.370.6+14.7
4 Citadel95456%71.170.8+0.3
5 Wofford116555%74.667.8+6.8
6 Mercer115645%76.569.5+7.1
7 Western Carolina115645%76.171.1+5.0
8 VMI115645%78.374.6+3.6
9 East Tennessee St94544%72.267.9+4.3
10 NC Greensboro104640%65.467.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Lafayette373875
Samford322658
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