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Samford vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 79-49
52-22 27-27
Position#78
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game62.2
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#306
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A26/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#461
W
109-85
109
85
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/11
NCAA
Belhaven
#587
W
90-38
90
38
+52
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
39-37
36-34
47-41
26-34
31-36
44-22
22-42
35-27
33-44
56-34
53-51
33-31
47-30
45-21
45-17
40-29
44-35
43-28
35-35
145.6Avg total
79.1Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.262.2150.4+26.0100%
Season at home (4)89.261.8151.0+27.5100%
Season away (1)84.064.0148.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.166.5145.6+12.680%
Last 5 (5)88.262.2150.4+26.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.979.9151.8-8.040%
vs Similar (11)75.074.3149.3+0.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.761.0141.7+19.7100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#349
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-23
33-33
36-30
38-39
29-31
36-40
13-34
42-45
43-32
38-27
28-35
30-32
26-52
44-33
40-36
41-29
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
140.0Avg total
69.8Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.275.2148.5-2.050%
Season at home (2)74.564.5139.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)72.086.0158.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)69.870.2140.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)70.273.6143.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.675.6139.2-12.00%
vs Similar (12)71.974.6146.5-2.750%
vs Weaker (7)79.962.0141.9+17.9100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +3.7+3.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.8+9.81st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: +3.7+3.7
SamfordValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#254
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A26/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A06/03
NCAA
Anderson (Ind.)
#461
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H08/11
NCAA
Spring Hill
#440
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Belhaven
#587
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H12/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
39.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.335.272.5+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.332.971.2+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.038.274.2-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)39.529.769.2+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.428.672.0+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.739.070.7-7.330%-
vs Similar (11)39.536.375.7+3.255%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.929.770.6+11.289%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#349
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Drake
#64
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H24/02
NCAA
Bradley
#164
L
13-34
13
34
-21
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#349
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#49
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
65.5Avg total
30.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.966.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.231.465.6+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)29.437.366.7-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)30.734.865.5-4.150%-
Last 5 (5)29.439.669.0-10.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)27.835.663.4-7.820%-
vs Similar (12)30.836.367.2-5.533%-
vs Weaker (7)39.029.368.3+9.786%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HTexas Southern78-63
18/11/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-64
12/11/22HBelhaven90-38
11/11/22HSpring Hill80-61
08/11/22HAnderson (Ind.)109-85
06/03/22AFurman68-71
06/03/22HNC Greensboro66-64
26/02/22AChattanooga Mocs57-70
24/02/22HFurman83-75
22/02/22HCitadel76-74
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
08/11/22AToledo70-85
05/03/22AMissouri State58-67
04/03/22HEvansville81-59
27/02/22ABradley55-79
24/02/22HDrake65-71
22/02/22HEvansville74-69
19/02/22AEvansville72-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.289.284.0
Allowed / game62.261.864.0
Point differential+26.0+27.5+20.0
Avg total150.4151.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.274.572.0
Allowed / game75.264.586.0
Point differential-2.0+10.0-14.0
Avg total148.5139.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford550100%88.262.2+26.0
2 Wofford64267%80.066.7+13.3
3 Western Carolina64267%82.372.0+10.3
4 Furman53260%80.868.8+12.0
5 East Tennessee St53260%77.671.2+6.4
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.264.8+19.5
7 NC Greensboro42250%71.866.8+5.0
8 Citadel42250%72.573.2-0.8
9 Mercer52340%85.075.0+10.0
10 VMI61517%72.279.7-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake550100%74.462.4+12.0
2 Indiana State54180%80.867.4+13.4
3 Illinois (Chi.)64267%73.865.7+8.2
4 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
5 Bradley53260%76.269.8+6.4
6 Southern Illinois53260%62.858.8+4.0
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
9 Illinois State72529%61.367.0-5.7
10 Northern Iowa41325%74.065.2+8.8
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford522779
Valparaiso222749
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