Louisiana Tech faces Kent State in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, with the model naming Louisiana Tech the favourite at 58% to win against Kent State's 42%. Louisiana Tech is projected to score 73 points to Kent State's 71, for a total of 143.3 points, a close 73-71 outcome. The home side is listed at a 5.5-point line and the model gives a 74% chance that Louisiana Tech will cover it, while the over-145.0 total has a 45% probability. An overtime chance sits at 5%. Louisiana Tech's last five games include four wins and one loss, with recent results of a 60-71 defeat to Kennesaw State at home on 14 March 2026, a 69-66 win over Missouri State at home on 13 March 2026, and an 80-69 win over Middle Tenn. St. at home on 12 March 2026. Kent State's last five games record three wins and two losses, with a 68-75 loss to Akron away on 13 March 2026, a 86-75 win over Ohio at home on 12 March 2026 and an 86-78 win over Western Michigan at home on 6 March 2026. The projected score of 73-71 suggests a tight contest, with Louisiana Tech's home advantage and the model's spread coverage probability hinting at a competitive edge.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Louisiana Tech winWon
58.0%fair 1.72
Best odds3.00
Implied33.6%
Edge+24.4pp
Kent State winLost
42.0%fair 2.38
Best odds1.44
Implied66.4%
Edge-24.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Louisiana Tech +4
70.2%
2.17
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.10
-
-
-
+27.6pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +5
73.5%
1.98
Pinnacle
2.05
SBO
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.94
-
+26.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +4.5
71.2%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
-
+26.6pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +5.5
74.3%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.88
+25.0pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +6
76.5%
1.82
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.82
SBO
1.82
Bet365
1.80
-
+24.7pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +8
81.8%
1.60
Bet365
1.60
-
-
-
-
+23.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +8.5
82.2%
1.57
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +7
79.3%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.71
Bet365
1.68
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +6.5
77.2%
1.76
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Bet365
1.74
+23.2pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +9
84.1%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +9.5
84.4%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +7.5
79.8%
1.66
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
-
+21.8pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +10
86.1%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+21.6pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +10.5
86.4%
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +11
87.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +11.5
88.1%
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+20.4pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +12.5
89.7%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +12
89.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +13
90.9%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+18.1pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +13.5
91.1%
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+18.1pp
Won
Kent State under 76.5
72.0%
1.70
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
-
+17.4pp
Won
Kent State under 77.5
75.2%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+16.7pp
Won
Kent State under 79.5
80.8%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Kent State under 78.5
78.1%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +15.5
93.4%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Kent State under 80.5
83.3%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 65.5
76.2%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Kent State under 82.5
87.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 66.5
73.0%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
Kent State under 84.5
91.0%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Won
Louisiana Tech +20.5
97.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 64.5
79.1%
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Louisiana Tech over 62.5
84.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.7%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1pp
-
Under 169.5
93.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Under 152
70.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Lost
Under 152.5
71.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Lost
Under 164.5
89.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Under 154.5
75.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Under 159.5
83.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Lost
Over 119.5
92.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 86.5
90.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
Kent State over 56.5
91.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Over 124.5
87.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 84.5
87.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Lost
Kent State over 58.5
87.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Kent State +14.5
85.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Over 129.5
79.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.9pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 82.5
82.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Lost
Kent State over 60.5
83.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Louisiana Tech under 80.5
77.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-8.6pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech under 79.5
74.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.9pp
Lost
Louisiana Tech under 78.5
71.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-10.2pp
Lost
Kent State over 62.5
78.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-10.6pp
Won
Kent State +9.5
73.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-13.6pp
Lost
Kent State over 64.5
71.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-13.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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