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Liberty vs Louisiana Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-76
0-0 40-45 0-0 31-31
Position#26
Record24-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#131
Record16-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Liberty v Louisiana Tech
05 Mar 2026
LIBE71
LOUI76
06 Feb 2025
LIBE77
LOUI53
10 Feb 2024
LIBE65
LOUI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Tech winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-28
0-0
33-23
0-0
43-29
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
46-39
0-0
42-38
0-0
37-38
0-0
30-32
0-0
47-43
0-0
28-26
0-0
45-38
0-0
41-40
0-0
39-40
0-0
37-48
0-0
36-46
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-42
0-0
27-34
0-0
54-44
149.6Avg total
76.1Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.769.9148.6+8.883%
Season at home (15)83.467.8151.2+15.687%
Season away (14)73.672.2145.9+1.479%
Last 10 (10)76.173.5149.6+2.680%
Last 5 (5)76.479.8156.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)72.671.4144.0+1.373%
vs Weaker (19)80.869.7150.5+11.184%
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
79-78 OT
79
78
+1
A13/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-27
0-0
33-32
0-0
32-34
0-0
35-49
0-0
32-31
0-0
31-41
0-0
37-38
0-0
50-40
0-0
36-32
0-0
32-36
0-0
31-33
0-0
33-44
0-0
39-20
0-0
38-51
0-0
25-23
0-0
30-35
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-32
0-0
40-41
0-0
36-43
143.9Avg total
70.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.365.3134.6+3.955%
Season at home (17)75.361.6136.9+13.782%
Season away (12)60.870.7131.4-9.917%
Last 10 (10)70.973.0143.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)68.872.0140.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)66.873.7140.5-6.833%
vs Weaker (11)71.655.5127.2+16.182%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -5.0-5.0
LibertyLouisiana Tech
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H24/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A12/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A14/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A27/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.932.469.4+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.531.273.7+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.765.1-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.767.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.333.566.8-0.345%-
vs Weaker (19)39.131.870.8+7.379%-
This opponent (Louisiana Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.5Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.230.863.0+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.929.565.4+6.459%-
Last 30 away (13)27.332.659.9-5.323%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.766.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.065.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)30.234.864.9-4.622%-
vs Weaker (11)34.025.259.2+8.873%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liberty wins
2
Louisiana Tech wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26Louisiana Tech v Liberty56-72
07/02/25Liberty v Louisiana Tech77-53
12/01/25Louisiana Tech v Liberty79-74
11/02/24Liberty v Louisiana Tech65-62
14/01/24Louisiana Tech v Liberty80-76 OT
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26AJacksonville State81-78
27/02/26AKennesaw State65-74
21/02/26HWestern Kentucky73-94
19/02/26HFlorida International90-89 OT
14/02/26AUTEP73-64
12/02/26ANew Mexico State77-75
07/02/26HMissouri State79-76
05/02/26ADelaware75-69
30/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.81-65
24/01/26HDelaware67-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HFlorida International76-84
27/02/26HMissouri State72-70
21/02/26AKennesaw State55-58
19/02/26HJacksonville State77-71
14/02/26AFlorida International64-77
13/02/26AMissouri State79-78 OT
07/02/26HSam Houston St.87-78
05/02/26HNew Mexico State63-72
01/02/26ASam Houston St.67-83
29/01/26AUTEP69-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW83%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWWLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %83%87%79%
Points / game78.783.473.6
Allowed / game69.967.872.2
Point differential+8.8+15.6+1.4
Avg total148.6151.2145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Louisiana Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayWLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %55%82%17%
Points / game69.375.360.8
Allowed / game65.361.670.7
Point differential+3.9+13.7-9.9
Avg total134.6136.9131.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2924583%78.769.9+8.8
2 Sam Houston St.2921872%83.474.0+9.5
3 Kennesaw State29181162%84.276.2+8.0
4 Western Kentucky29181162%79.674.5+5.1
5 Louisiana Tech29161355%69.365.3+3.9
6 Middle Tenn. St.29151452%75.873.1+2.7
7 New Mexico State28141450%75.772.1+3.6
8 Jacksonville State29141548%73.268.3+4.9
9 Florida International29141548%81.078.5+2.5
10 Missouri State29131645%75.373.9+1.4
11 UTEP29101934%69.372.7-3.4
12 Delaware2992031%68.273.5-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Liberty04003171
Louisiana Tech04503176
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