Louisville vs Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 58-43

28-18 30-25

Position#41

Record2-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game65.0

Louisville 🏆

Michigan

Position#131

Record4-0

FormWWWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game68.0

NCAA

Other2019-20

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Michigan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisville USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Northern Kentucky

#24

66-58

H13/03

NIT

Middle Tenn. St.

#10

84-68

+16

H18/03

NIT

Mississippi St.

56-79

-23

H21/03

NIT

Akron

#24

82-76

H24/11

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#106

71-54

+17

A29/11

NCAA

16-15

7-15

22-14

21-14

15-16

26-10

24-26

19-16

12-20

16-19

13-20

15-20

0-0

47-31

0-0

35-45

0-0

37-23

0-0

34-31

138.8Avg total

71.8Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	76.5	65.0	141.5	+11.5	100%
Season at home (1)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	100%
Season away (1)	71.0	54.0	125.0	+17.0	100%
Last 10 (5)	71.8	67.0	138.8	+4.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	67.0	138.8	+4.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	84.0	68.0	152.0	+16.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	69.0	77.5	146.5	-8.5	50%
vs Weaker (1)	71.0	54.0	125.0	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Michigan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Houston Christian

#350

111-68

111

+43

H23/11

NCAA

Iowa State

#297

83-76

A27/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#288

73-64

H28/11

NCAA

Gonzaga

82-64

+18

H29/11

NCAA

63-26

48-42

41-37

42-39

39-34

34-30

36-25

46-39

155.2Avg total

87.2Scored

68.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	87.2	68.0	155.2	+19.2	100%
Season at home (3)	88.7	65.3	154.0	+23.3	100%
Season away (1)	83.0	76.0	159.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (4)	87.2	68.0	155.2	+19.2	100%
Last 5 (4)	87.2	68.0	155.2	+19.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	82.0	64.0	146.0	+18.0	100%
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (3)	89.0	69.3	158.3	+19.7	100%

This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

LouisvilleMichigan

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Northern Kentucky

#24

23-30

-7

H13/03

NIT

Middle Tenn. St.

#10

41-26

+15

H18/03

NIT

Mississippi St.

28-39

-11

H21/03

NIT

Akron

#24

47-31

+16

H24/11

NCAA

Western Kentucky

#106

37-23

+14

A29/11

NCAA

65.0Avg total

35.2Scored

29.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	35.2	29.8	65.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	34.8	31.5	66.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	37.0	23.0	60.0	+14.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	35.2	29.8	65.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	29.8	65.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	26.0	67.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	37.5	35.0	72.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	23.0	60.0	+14.0	100%	-

This opponent (Michigan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Houston Christian

#350

63-26

+37

H23/11

NCAA

Iowa State

#297

41-37

A27/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#288

39-34

H28/11

NCAA

Gonzaga

36-25

+11

H29/11

NCAA

75.2Avg total

44.8Scored

30.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	44.8	30.5	75.2	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	46.0	28.3	74.3	+17.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	41.0	37.0	78.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	44.8	30.5	75.2	+14.2	100%	-
Last 5 (4)	44.8	30.5	75.2	+14.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	25.0	61.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (3)	47.7	32.3	80.0	+15.3	100%	-

This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	36.6	37.2	73.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	36.6	37.2	73.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.2	73.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	31.5	42.5	74.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	42.7	37.0	79.7	+5.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 5 (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	39.0	85.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	37.0	78.3	+4.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Louisville wins

Michigan wins

No previous meetings.

Louisvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/19	A	Western Kentucky	71-54
24/11/19	H	Akron	82-76
21/03/18	H	Mississippi St.	56-79
18/03/18	H	Middle Tenn. St.	84-68
13/03/18	H	Northern Kentucky	66-58

Michiganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/19	H	Gonzaga	82-64
28/11/19	H	North Carolina	73-64
27/11/19	A	Iowa State	83-76
23/11/19	H	Houston Christian	111-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	76.5	82.0	71.0
Allowed / game	65.0	76.0	54.0
Point differential	+11.5	+6.0	+17.0
Avg total	141.5	158.0	125.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Michigan

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Losses (last 4)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	87.2	88.7	83.0
Allowed / game	68.0	65.3	76.0
Point differential	+19.2	+23.3	+7.0
Avg total	155.2	154.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Florida State	4	4	0	100%	79.0	59.5	+19.5
2	SMU Mustangs	3	3	0	100%	77.3	59.0	+18.3
3	Pittsburgh	3	3	0	100%	67.0	53.0	+14.0
4	Notre Dame	2	2	0	100%	77.5	64.0	+13.5
5	Virginia	3	3	0	100%	50.7	39.0	+11.7
6	Louisville	2	2	0	100%	76.5	65.0	+11.5
7	Stanford	4	3	1	75%	73.2	56.5	+16.8
8	Duke	4	3	1	75%	83.5	70.0	+13.5
9	Wake Forest	4	3	1	75%	75.2	68.5	+6.8
10	North Carolina	3	2	1	67%	72.7	71.3	+1.3
11	NC State	2	1	1	50%	76.0	70.5	+5.5
12	Clemson	4	2	2	50%	69.0	65.0	+4.0
13	Georgia Tech	2	1	1	50%	64.5	63.5	+1.0
14	Virginia Tech	3	1	2	33%	70.0	81.7	-11.7
15	Miami (FL)	3	1	2	33%	64.7	79.0	-14.3
16	California	3	1	2	33%	56.3	71.7	-15.3
17	Syracuse	4	1	3	25%	71.8	71.2	+0.5
18	Boston College	4	0	4	0%	57.2	70.5	-13.2

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Big Ten conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ohio State	3	3	0	100%	82.0	51.7	+30.3
2	Rutgers	2	2	0	100%	83.5	57.5	+26.0
3	Michigan	4	4	0	100%	87.2	68.0	+19.2
4	Washington	3	3	0	100%	78.7	60.0	+18.7
5	Maryland	4	4	0	100%	81.5	67.0	+14.5
6	Indiana	2	2	0	100%	76.0	62.5	+13.5
7	Iowa	5	4	1	80%	76.2	65.0	+11.2
8	Minnesota	4	3	1	75%	76.8	61.5	+15.2
9	Northwestern	4	3	1	75%	72.2	61.5	+10.8
10	Nebraska	4	3	1	75%	78.8	77.2	+1.5
11	Illinois	3	2	1	67%	105.3	72.3	+33.0
12	Purdue	3	2	1	67%	66.7	56.0	+10.7
13	Penn State	3	2	1	67%	71.7	64.7	+7.0
14	Michigan State	3	2	1	67%	78.0	72.7	+5.3
15	Oregon	4	2	2	50%	73.8	71.5	+2.2
16	USC	4	2	2	50%	67.8	70.0	-2.2
17	UCLA	5	2	3	40%	74.0	70.6	+3.4
18	Wisconsin	3	1	2	33%	63.3	63.7	-0.3

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Louisville	28	30	58
Michigan	18	25	43

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Louisville vs Michigan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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