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Lovcen Cetinje vs Decic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-81
22-16 24-19 23-20 18-26
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#10
Record7-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game89.5
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 21· Sportski Centar Cetinje
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Decic
07 Mar 2026
LOVC87
DECI81
28 Oct 2024
LOVC83
DECI108
01 May 2024
LOVC100
DECI86
15 Dec 2022
LOVC94
DECI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Kotor
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
52avg 67
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
77avg 67
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
66avg 67
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 67
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 67
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 67
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 67
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 67
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
19-13
10-20
21-28
19-21
26-24
24-16
10-16
22-32
19-16
21-26
13-28
16-15
15-20
15-14
23-14
18-13
14-20
27-23
22-19
22-20
14-15
23-12
16-11
25-20
26-17
20-16
19-21
25-27
27-7
20-22
22-28
19-19
23-22
21-32
13-14
27-19
24-20
17-17
17-18
155.9Avg total
79.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.776.2154.9+2.565%
Season at home (10)79.476.2155.6+3.260%
Season away (10)77.976.2154.1+1.770%
Last 10 (10)79.376.6155.9+2.770%
Last 5 (5)84.075.4159.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.786.1156.8-15.411%
vs Similar (11)78.271.6149.8+6.582%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.572.7151.2+5.870%
This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecic
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 81
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 81
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 81
A11/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
78-94
78
94
-16
74avg 81
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 81
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-115
76
115
-39
64avg 81
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 81
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 81
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
106avg 81
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
27-23
21-22
15-23
12-25
15-19
23-25
32-22
29-29
26-22
22-22
24-22
20-26
19-22
26-17
17-17
24-30
16-22
19-20
19-22
17-17
20-18
24-27
31-25
22-23
26-30
6-38
22-24
21-22
26-34
20-19
15-21
25-25
14-25
32-23
16-29
23-25
31-14
25-18
17-25
181.7Avg total
87.5Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.889.5174.2-4.735%
Season at home (10)85.286.3171.5-1.150%
Season away (10)84.392.6176.9-8.320%
Last 10 (10)87.594.2181.7-6.740%
Last 5 (5)86.696.4183.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)84.189.8173.9-5.733%
vs Similar (10)84.889.6174.4-4.830%
vs Weaker (5)90.887.4178.2+3.460%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
Lovcen CetinjeDecic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotor
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H28/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/02
Prva A Liga
79.0Avg total
41.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.977.5-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.575.4+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.379.6-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.179.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.283.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.242.277.4-7.033%-
vs Similar (11)41.936.678.5+5.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.938.576.4-0.650%-
This opponent (Decic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A11/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H14/02
Prva A Liga
91.2Avg total
43.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.987.6-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.741.285.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.748.589.3-7.813%-
Last 10 (10)43.847.491.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.691.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)41.444.185.5-2.727%-
vs Similar (10)41.446.788.1-5.340%-
vs Weaker (5)49.443.693.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.217.0
58.2%
58.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.010.4
33.5%
31.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
69.7%12.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.224.5
69.5%
58.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.2
24.6%
31.5%21.8
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.2%
69.7%17.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lovcen Cetinje
WLWWWWWLWL
Decic
WLLLWLWWLL
#5
League position
#10
+4.1
Net rating
-4.4
112.2
Offensive rating
111.4
108.2
Defensive rating
115.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.5%
3-point %
24.6%
67.9%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 111.4Defence108.2 · 115.9Shooting54.2% · 54.6%3-point %33.5% · 24.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Lovcen Cetinje   ■ Decic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lovcen Cetinje wins
4
Decic wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Decic v Lovcen Cetinje88-76
08/02/25Decic v Lovcen Cetinje89-85
28/10/24Lovcen Cetinje v Decic83-108
01/05/24Lovcen Cetinje v Decic100-86
10/02/24Decic v Lovcen Cetinje68-79
30/03/23Decic v Lovcen Cetinje99-86
15/12/22Lovcen Cetinje v Decic94-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HStudentski Centar85-74
15/02/26APrimorje76-87
07/02/26ATivat94-84
31/01/26HVukovi Zeta90-74
24/01/26AIbar Rozaje75-58
17/01/26HUlcinj81-75
10/01/26APodgorica69-63
05/01/26ASutjeska75-102
03/01/26AMornar Bar79-77
28/12/25HKotor69-72
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HMornar Bar96-82
11/02/26AJedinstvo87-102
07/02/26ADanilovgrad82-96
03/02/26HSutjeska76-115
31/01/26HPrimorje92-87
22/01/26AStudentski Centar78-94
17/01/26HTivat93-89 OT
11/01/26AVukovi Zeta101-95
04/01/26AIbar Rozaje82-91
27/12/25HUlcinj88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%60%70%
Points / game78.779.477.9
Allowed / game76.276.276.2
Point differential+2.5+3.2+1.7
Avg total154.8155.6154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%30%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Decic
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW35%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game84.885.284.3
Allowed / game89.586.392.6
Point differential-4.7-1.1-8.3
Avg total174.2171.5176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)43% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2016480%97.678.8+18.9
2 Primorje2016480%90.881.2+9.7
3 Mornar Bar2014670%85.781.0+4.7
4 Jedinstvo2013765%88.084.6+3.4
5 Lovcen Cetinje2013765%78.776.2+2.5
6 Podgorica21111052%79.777.5+2.2
7 Kotor20101050%78.579.8-1.4
8 Studentski Centar2091145%80.582.7-2.1
9 Ibar Rozaje2181338%75.580.9-5.4
10 Danilovgrad2181338%80.386.4-6.1
11 Decic2071335%84.889.5-4.7
12 Tivat2171433%88.094.4-6.3
13 Vukovi Zeta2051525%81.388.2-6.8
14 Ulcinj2051525%77.284.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lovcen Cetinje2224231887
Decic1619202681
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