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Lovcen Cetinje vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-73
21-21 25-19 19-24 27-9
Position#6
Record2-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeABA League 2Round 7
Other2017
Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Rogaska
27 Sep 2018
LOVC72
ROGA71
29 Nov 2017
LOVC92
ROGA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A11/10
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H18/10
ABA League 2
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A26/10
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#3
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A29/10
Prva A Liga
KK Primorska
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A04/11
ABA League 2
Vrsac
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H08/11
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#8
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H11/11
Prva A Liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#7
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A15/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#11
W
109-55
109
55
+54
A18/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H25/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-25
15-21
23-17
24-17
23-20
24-17
23-18
16-30
19-23
29-19
18-10
13-32
14-13
14-15
17-16
21-20
14-20
18-15
17-22
26-24
20-19
28-26
16-13
30-14
21-28
20-15
25-18
14-12
13-21
20-22
17-18
25-13
32-13
28-10
24-19
27-22
25-18
15-9
12-17
158.8Avg total
82.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.781.7162.3-1.033%
Season at home (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.676.2158.8+6.450%
Last 5 (5)87.670.2157.8+17.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.878.7151.4-5.917%
vs Weaker (18)82.965.0147.9+17.994%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H18/10
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Bosna
#11
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A23/10
ABA League 2
Polzela
#7
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
H31/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Ohrid
#12
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A08/11
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#2
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H15/11
ABA League 2
Sencur
#8
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
21-19
25-23
26-10
13-20
14-23
16-21
14-22
17-21
19-12
19-18
10-22
13-21
24-13
15-9
17-28
15-21
19-24
17-25
22-16
22-15
20-13
17-22
20-13
21-8
20-19
17-24
12-28
17-9
27-22
25-17
16-18
20-21
18-10
21-19
7-23
24-6
151.5Avg total
76.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.776.3153.0+0.350%
Season at home (3)84.079.0163.0+5.067%
Season away (3)69.373.7143.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)76.375.2151.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)78.472.2150.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.274.8145.0-4.620%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.175.0153.0+3.167%
vs Weaker (4)68.575.0143.5-6.550%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
Lovcen CetinjeRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A11/10
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H18/10
ABA League 2
Borac Mozzart
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A26/10
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/10
Prva A Liga
KK Primorska
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
ABA League 2
Vrsac
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/11
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H11/11
Prva A Liga
Zrinjski Mostar
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A15/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#11
W
57-26
57
26
+31
A18/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H25/11
Prva A Liga
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)39.537.176.6+2.455%-
Last 30 at home (10)43.436.079.4+7.480%-
Last 30 away (12)36.238.174.3-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.883.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.540.776.2-5.230%-
vs Weaker (12)42.834.277.0+8.775%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Bosna
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A23/10
ABA League 2
Polzela
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H31/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Ohrid
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/11
ABA League 2
KK Primorska
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Borac Mozzart
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/11
ABA League 2
Sencur
#8
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
76.3Avg total
39.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.736.674.2+1.148%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.035.173.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.975.3-0.640%-
Last 10 (9)39.337.076.3+2.367%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.474.8+2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.636.575.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (4)32.037.269.2-5.250%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lovcen Cetinje wins
0
Rogaska wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/17HJedinstvo79-66
18/11/17APrimorje109-55
15/11/17AZrinjski Mostar64-73
11/11/17HIbar Rozaje96-75
08/11/17HVrsac90-82
04/11/17AKK Primorska70-77
29/10/17ASutjeska58-76
26/10/17ABorac Mozzart90-97 OT
18/10/17HOhrid94-72
11/10/17AKK Krka Novo mesto76-89
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/17HSencur70-58
15/11/17HBorac Mozzart88-78
11/11/17AKK Primorska66-80
08/11/17AOhrid78-56
04/11/17HZlatorog Lasko90-89 OT
31/10/17HKK Krka Novo mesto83-84 OT
28/10/17APolzela61-73
23/10/17ABosna61-87
21/10/17HKK Krka Novo mesto85-72
18/10/17HSplit81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje
ABA League 2 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game80.792.075.0
Allowed / game81.777.084.0
Point differential-1.0+15.0-9.0
Avg total162.3169.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%25%
Rogaska
ABA League 2 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.784.069.3
Allowed / game76.379.073.7
Point differential+0.3+5.0-4.3
Avg total153.0163.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Primorska76186%79.668.9+10.7
2 Vrsac64267%84.774.0+10.7
3 KK Dynamic64267%84.379.3+5.0
4 KK Krka Novo mesto64267%78.375.5+2.8
5 Tivat74357%79.076.1+2.9
6 Zrinjski Mostar63350%75.874.2+1.7
7 Borac Mozzart63350%81.079.8+1.2
8 Rogaska63350%76.776.3+0.3
9 Split63350%86.588.0-1.5
10 Lovcen Cetinje62433%80.781.7-1.0
11 Bosna72529%79.981.7-1.9
12 Ohrid7070%66.394.4-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lovcen Cetinje2125192792
Rogaska211924973
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