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Lublin vs Polpharma Starogard Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-80
22-24 20-25 22-11 18-20
Position#3
Record15-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game78.2
Lublin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#15
Record4-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game91.3
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 21
Other2019-20
Meetings · Lublin v Polpharma Starogard
18 Sep 2020
LUB82
POLP78
29 Feb 2020
LUB82
POLP80
09 Mar 2019
LUB104
POLP91
08 Apr 2018
LUB96
POLP75
01 Dec 2016
LUB100
POLP99
14 Oct 2015
LUB77
POLP68
14 Nov 2014
LUB81
POLP97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polpharma Starogard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#14
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#9
W
104-75
104
75
+29
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#1
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A09/01
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
18-24
30-17
24-13
29-17
11-21
25-14
19-20
15-17
25-23
15-17
20-21
24-14
13-19
26-26
16-25
29-21
28-20
23-11
24-23
23-31
25-32
20-26
25-11
25-17
23-16
21-24
25-21
17-16
15-16
22-18
20-16
14-17
30-22
19-15
25-11
16-21
26-17
19-12
20-25
163.2Avg total
86.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.178.2163.3+6.875%
Season at home (10)84.276.9161.1+7.380%
Season away (10)86.079.6165.6+6.470%
Last 10 (10)86.876.4163.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)86.076.8162.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.484.6168.0-1.129%
vs Similar (6)83.581.0164.5+2.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.480.8168.2+6.671%
This opponent (Polpharma Starogard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polpharma StarogardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A04/12
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#11
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#6
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H23/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
99-111 OT
99
111
-12
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
26-31
19-20
20-19
19-14
16-21
28-26
15-25
17-17
19-25
25-18
23-14
15-19
22-16
23-17
29-19
15-31
15-24
22-25
17-20
22-32
13-21
24-31
19-25
17-24
11-25
29-21
14-22
22-20
21-14
21-29
28-19
27-22
27-20
22-27
20-27
28-20
16-21
24-26
15-23
173.5Avg total
82.7Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.591.3172.8-9.820%
Season at home (10)82.490.4172.8-8.020%
Season away (10)80.692.3172.9-11.720%
Last 10 (10)82.790.8173.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)84.696.8181.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.492.4174.7-10.018%
vs Similar (6)85.588.8174.3-3.350%
vs Weaker (2)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
LublinPolpharma Starogard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A09/01
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#12
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
82.8Avg total
43.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.083.7+1.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.080.5+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)43.943.186.9+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.039.882.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.083.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.746.385.0-7.643%-
vs Similar (6)42.339.281.5+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.439.583.9+4.976%-
This opponent (Polpharma Starogard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Polpharma StarogardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zielona Gora
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A04/12
Energa Basket Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#5
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A06/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H11/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#11
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A19/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H23/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A10/02
Energa Basket Liga
82.7Avg total
38.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.944.384.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.844.784.5-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.983.9-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.744.082.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.044.783.8-5.732%-
vs Similar (6)44.244.788.8-0.533%-
vs Weaker (2)36.038.574.5-2.50%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lublin wins
3
Polpharma Starogard wins
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AGdynia81-75
01/02/20HSzczecin88-65
26/01/20ADabrowa Gornicza74-66
20/01/20HHydroTruck Radom94-78
09/01/20AZielona Gora93-100
04/01/20ABydgoszcz104-75
29/12/19HLegia79-84
22/12/19ATorun75-78
15/12/19HOstrow Wielkopolski84-72
07/12/19HAnwil Wloclawek96-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/20ASlask Wroclaw83-90
02/02/20AGTK Gliwice99-111 OT
23/01/20HTrefl Sopot92-82
19/01/20ASpojnia Stargard71-92
11/01/20HAnwil Wloclawek78-109
06/01/20AGdynia69-100
28/12/19HSzczecin89-71
21/12/19ADabrowa Gornicza84-74
13/12/19HHydroTruck Radom78-86
04/12/19AZielona Gora84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%80%70%
Points / game85.184.286.0
Allowed / game78.276.979.6
Point differential+6.8+7.3+6.4
Avg total163.3161.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polpharma Starogard
Energa Basket Liga 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLLWLW20%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game81.582.480.6
Allowed / game91.390.492.3
Point differential-9.8-8.0-11.7
Avg total172.8172.8172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zielona Gora2017385%95.782.9+12.8
2 Torun1814478%87.679.3+8.3
3 Anwil Wloclawek2116576%94.883.6+11.2
4 Lublin2015575%85.178.2+6.8
5 Gdynia2113862%80.175.2+4.9
6 Slask Wroclaw21111052%87.384.5+2.8
7 Trefl Sopot21111052%81.081.7-0.8
8 Szczecin20101050%82.582.8-0.3
9 Spojnia Stargard21101148%78.780.4-1.7
10 HydroTruck Radom2091145%78.581.2-2.6
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski2191243%79.380.0-0.7
12 Bydgoszcz1981142%88.189.9-1.9
13 GTK Gliwice2171433%84.589.8-5.2
14 Legia2151624%80.288.8-8.6
15 Polpharma Starogard2041620%81.591.3-9.8
16 Dabrowa Gornicza2141719%79.193.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2220221882
Polpharma Starogard2425112080
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