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Lublin vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-75
22-14 16-22 26-15 19-24
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game77.0
Lublin 🏆
vs
Siauliai
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeENBL
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
84-91 OT
84
91
-7
no box
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Tal Tech
#12
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
H22/11
ENBL
Legia
#4
L
76-103
76
103
-27
no box
H27/11
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
63-86
63
86
-23
no box
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
H08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
L
60-82
60
82
-22
no box
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Sigal Prishtina
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A21/12
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#6
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
H22/12
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
no box
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-24
24-15
15-19
14-20
22-19
29-19
18-10
27-29
18-22
15-21
16-31
19-22
15-15
19-28
10-21
25-23
18-17
17-13
15-16
15-20
25-19
12-19
8-24
29-20
26-13
19-22
15-14
23-22
22-22
22-24
16-15
20-25
20-22
26-21
25-24
23-21
23-21
18-21
21-31
164.2Avg total
79.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.777.0163.7+9.767%
Season at home (2)85.581.0166.5+4.550%
Season away (1)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.484.8164.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)82.686.2168.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.985.6163.5-7.838%
vs Similar (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)82.277.0159.2+5.250%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 75
H27/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
57avg 75
H06/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
91-112
91
112
-21
no box
H08/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
81-63
81
63
+18
84avg 75
A12/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
no box
A17/12
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
72avg 75
A22/12
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H04/01
ENBL
Tal Tech
#12
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A05/01
ENBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 75
A08/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
22-15
12-17
24-26
16-27
16-26
17-21
17-8
16-22
9-10
20-10
16-18
20-19
23-32
24-38
24-23
25-20
20-14
16-15
20-14
21-22
27-28
28-17
15-24
19-21
20-13
22-21
21-19
23-18
19-9
24-15
13-29
19-13
20-16
21-17
26-35
17-24
22-13
16-22
21-16
161.3Avg total
80.3Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.576.0158.5+6.5100%
Season at home (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.381.0161.3-0.760%
Last 5 (5)84.881.6166.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.089.1167.1-11.18%
vs Similar (12)84.082.8166.8+1.258%
vs Weaker (5)82.673.6156.2+9.0100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
LublinSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Tal Tech
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/11
ENBL
Legia
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H27/11
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Sigal Prishtina
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A21/12
ENBL
Zielona Gora
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/12
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H08/01
Energa Basket Liga
84.5Avg total
42.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.181.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.481.4+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)37.643.180.8-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.984.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.086.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.642.582.1-2.944%-
vs Similar (10)39.739.779.4+0.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.539.281.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H27/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H06/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H08/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A12/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A17/12
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A22/12
LKL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/01
ENBL
Tal Tech
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A05/01
ENBL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/01
LKL
78.5Avg total
39.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.982.1-1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.281.4-1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.142.682.6-2.556%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.978.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.476.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.647.186.7-7.525%-
vs Similar (12)41.038.079.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker (5)41.837.479.2+4.4100%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.2%
34.9%23.5
🏀 Free throws14.39.8
68.6%
71.8%9.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.6
56.2%
53.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
71.8%13.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LLLWLWLLWL
Siauliai
WWWWLWLWLL
#1
League position
#9
-17.0
Net rating
+4.3
92.8
Offensive rating
105.4
109.8
Defensive rating
101.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
22.2%
Turnover %
21.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
29.5%
64.4%
Assist %
61.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 105.4Defence109.8 · 101.1Shooting49.6% · 51.9%3-point %32.2% · 29.5%Ball care22.2% · 21.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 34.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Lublin   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
0
Siauliai wins
No previous meetings.
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HSpojnia Stargard85-94
29/12/22ADabrowa Gornicza91-92
22/12/22HZielona Gora88-94 OT
21/12/22ASigal Prishtina89-69
19/12/22ACzarni Slupsk60-82
08/12/22HSzczecin75-69
03/12/22AAnwil Wloclawek63-86
27/11/22HLegia76-103
22/11/22HTal Tech83-68
18/11/22ASlask Wroclaw84-91 OT
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23APieno Zvaigzdes76-75
05/01/23ATal Tech86-81
04/01/23HBC Kalev/Cramo79-71
22/12/22AJonava82-74
17/12/22ARytas101-107 OT
12/12/22APrienai81-63
08/12/22HJuventus91-112
06/12/22HNeptunas61-60
01/12/22AJonava66-82
27/11/22HRytas80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
ENBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game86.785.589.0
Allowed / game77.081.069.0
Point differential+9.7+4.5+20.0
Avg total163.7166.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%50%0%
Siauliai
ENBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.579.086.0
Allowed / game76.071.081.0
Point differential+6.5+8.0+5.0
Avg total158.5150.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves220100%84.068.5+15.5
2 Budivelnyk440100%79.065.0+14.0
3 Szczecin440100%82.274.2+8.0
4 Siauliai220100%82.576.0+6.5
5 Ostrow Wielkopolski54180%81.268.6+12.6
6 Lublin32167%86.777.0+9.7
7 Trefl Sopot42250%88.282.8+5.5
8 Nes Ziona42250%89.088.2+0.8
9 Zielona Gora42250%76.580.0-3.5
10 BC Kalev/Cramo41325%69.271.8-2.5
11 Tartu Ulikool41325%72.878.5-5.8
12 Sigal Prishtina41325%67.577.5-10.0
13 Tal Tech3030%69.380.7-11.3
14 Brno4040%73.084.5-11.5
15 Valmiera Glass Via3030%69.797.0-27.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2216261983
Siauliai1422152475
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