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Siauliai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 61-60
16-22 9-10 20-10 16-18
Position#9
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#7
Record4-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Siauliai v Neptunas
29 Apr 2027
SIA v NEP
upcoming
05 Dec 2026
SIA v NEP
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIA81
NEP90
02 Nov 2025
SIA89
NEP85
22 Mar 2025
SIA91
NEP78
19 Oct 2024
SIA108
NEP103
02 Oct 2024
SIA102
NEP82
05 May 2024
SIA104
NEP98
24 Sep 2023
SIA90
NEP82
15 Apr 2023
SIA87
NEP89
06 Dec 2022
SIA61
NEP60
21 Mar 2022
SIA84
NEP87
15 Feb 2022
SIA75
NEP77
21 Mar 2021
SIA99
NEP68
07 Jan 2021
SIA76
NEP91
08 Nov 2020
SIA93
NEP88
29 Apr 2020
SIA v NEP
upcoming
17 Nov 2019
SIA95
NEP102
26 Jan 2019
SIA103
NEP106
27 Oct 2018
SIA88
NEP98
14 Apr 2018
SIA77
NEP76
21 Sep 2017
SIA73
NEP82
18 Mar 2017
SIA65
NEP100
06 Nov 2016
SIA62
NEP110
06 May 2016
SIA86
NEP87
01 May 2016
SIA93
NEP84
13 Apr 2016
SIA79
NEP74
07 Nov 2015
SIA68
NEP75
19 Mar 2015
SIA67
NEP88
02 Oct 2014
SIA80
NEP90
07 May 2014
SIA95
NEP66
15 Apr 2014
SIA90
NEP79
06 Feb 2013
SIA81
NEP82
21 Apr 2012
SIA102
NEP92
16 Apr 2012
SIA89
NEP74
06 Oct 2011
SIA85
NEP76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
76avg 75
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
H31/10
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
74avg 75
H06/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 75
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 75
H27/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
26-24
25-22
11-20
27-20
28-29
13-22
19-19
15-20
23-15
22-19
21-11
25-11
21-23
17-25
20-20
18-28
17-20
21-30
29-11
17-13
28-15
13-24
23-19
24-20
23-20
16-28
21-17
23-20
14-24
26-30
28-17
22-27
22-15
12-17
24-26
16-27
16-26
17-21
17-8
166.7Avg total
82.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.084.3166.3-2.340%
Season at home (5)85.683.2168.8+2.440%
Season away (5)78.485.4163.8-7.040%
Last 10 (10)82.684.1166.7-1.530%
Last 5 (5)82.485.8168.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.687.5164.1-10.914%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.379.8164.1+4.555%
vs Weaker (4)86.274.2160.5+12.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 74
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
105-72
105
72
+33
no box
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 74
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
15-21
18-16
23-17
15-13
23-14
30-15
26-22
26-21
19-13
22-24
9-27
23-16
28-15
23-27
27-21
21-23
172.0Avg total
90.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.084.0166.0-2.040%
Season at home (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
Season away (5)77.485.4162.8-8.040%
Last 10 (10)90.581.5172.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)87.677.8165.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.182.8158.9-6.736%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.280.8159.0-2.644%
vs Weaker (10)95.482.1177.5+13.380%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
SiauliaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H31/10
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H06/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A20/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H27/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
84.1Avg total
42.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.082.6-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.240.182.3+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.682.9-4.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.084.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.445.684.9-6.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.838.181.9+5.782%-
vs Weaker (4)39.538.077.5+1.575%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/11
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A26/11
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
84.8Avg total
44.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.281.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.482.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.979.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.284.8+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.682.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.540.177.6-2.536%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.342.682.9-2.233%-
vs Weaker (10)46.238.184.3+8.180%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.9
58.1%
54.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
35.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
74.2%15.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.5
51.5%
54.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.915.2
69.4%
74.2%15.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LLLLWLWWLL
Neptunas
WLWWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#7
-3.6
Net rating
-6.0
109.5
Offensive rating
105.7
113.1
Defensive rating
111.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.5%
3-point %
34.4%
64.0%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 105.7Defence113.1 · 111.7Shooting53.3% · 51.5%3-point %30.5% · 34.4%Ball care19.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Siauliai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Siauliai wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/03/22Siauliai v Neptunas84-87
15/02/22Siauliai v Neptunas75-77
31/10/21Neptunas v Siauliai86-94
07/05/21Neptunas v Siauliai107-106 OT
21/03/21Siauliai v Neptunas99-68
17/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai77-88
10/01/21Neptunas v Siauliai88-94
07/01/21Siauliai v Neptunas76-91
08/11/20Siauliai v Neptunas93-88
08/03/20Neptunas v Siauliai90-70
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22AJonava66-82
27/11/22HRytas80-85
23/11/22HNevezis101-106 OT
20/11/22AJuventus84-85
17/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes81-71
06/11/22HJonava85-89
03/11/22HJonava83-79
31/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes81-65
27/10/22ANevezis87-90
24/10/22ABC Wolves78-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/22HJuventus99-86
26/11/22ALietkabelis73-80
24/11/22APrienai105-72
21/11/22ANevezis71-67
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game82.085.678.4
Allowed / game84.383.285.4
Point differential-2.3+2.4-7.0
Avg total166.3168.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL40%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game82.086.677.4
Allowed / game84.082.685.4
Point differential-2.0+4.0-8.0
Avg total166.0169.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1110191%88.672.4+16.3
2 Lietkabelis118373%84.678.9+5.7
3 Jonava118373%83.678.5+5.2
4 Rytas107370%86.580.5+6.0
5 BC Wolves117464%82.380.2+2.1
6 Juventus117464%84.884.5+0.3
7 Nevezis115645%78.981.3-2.4
8 Neptunas104640%82.084.0-2.0
9 Siauliai104640%82.084.3-2.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes103730%82.590.0-7.5
11 Gargzdai111109%77.385.1-7.8
12 Prienai110110%79.093.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai169201661
Neptunas2210101860
← all games of the day
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