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Lublin W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-87
19-24 11-30 12-20 18-13
Position#17
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game55.8
Allowed / game70.6
Lublin W
vs
Valencia W 🏆
Position#8
Record3-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game68.8
EuropeEuroleague WomenRound 9· Hala im. Zdzislawa Niedzieli
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lublin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AZS Poznan W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 61
A29/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
50-85
50
85
-35
38avg 61
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
84-73
84
73
+11
85avg 61
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
59-80
59
80
-21
44avg 61
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 61
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
61avg 61
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#3
L
42-64
42
64
-22
27avg 61
H29/11
Euroleague Women
Gorzow W
#2
L
69-73
69
73
-4
61avg 61
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Schio W
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
68avg 61
H06/12
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
75-50
75
50
+25
81avg 61
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-12
5-19
25-16
15-15
11-27
13-23
11-20
21-17
20-17
24-25
19-14
15-18
11-11
10-27
23-24
17-27
21-10
18-16
16-20
21-17
10-14
21-21
14-19
6-14
14-12
11-16
11-22
25-16
12-24
13-18
19-15
22-15
17-25
14-21
14-9
23-15
22-14
14-13
16-8
135.9Avg total
64.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)55.870.6126.4-14.912%
Season at home (4)58.871.0129.8-12.225%
Season away (4)52.870.2123.0-17.50%
Last 10 (10)64.971.0135.9-6.120%
Last 5 (5)63.865.6129.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.972.7137.6-7.835%
vs Similar (3)76.371.3147.7+5.0100%
vs Weaker (6)77.861.2139.0+16.767%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
26avg 62
A31/10
Euroleague Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#6
W
72-47
72
47
+25
65avg 62
H03/11
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
L
56-71
56
71
-15
45avg 62
A16/11
Liga Femenina W
Bembibre W
#16
W
80-43
80
43
+37
84avg 62
H19/11
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#6
L
56-67
56
67
-11
43avg 62
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#7
W
66-55
66
55
+11
64avg 62
A25/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 62
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
55-33
55
33
+22
52avg 62
H02/12
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 62
H05/12
Euroleague Women
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
92-42
92
42
+50
94avg 62
A10/12
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-8
6-18
18-22
9-11
9-17
20-12
19-9
24-9
18-21
16-15
11-16
11-19
19-9
24-12
23-7
14-15
12-20
20-18
9-14
15-15
17-12
12-18
19-13
18-12
16-23
21-16
22-14
13-24
15-7
17-10
14-7
9-9
10-25
16-22
23-22
15-19
24-13
25-10
21-9
22-10
124.2Avg total
66.0Scored
58.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)63.468.8132.1-5.438%
Season at home (3)65.363.3128.7+2.067%
Season away (5)62.272.0134.2-9.820%
Last 10 (10)66.058.2124.2+7.850%
Last 5 (5)69.859.0128.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.092.0157.0-27.00%
vs Similar (7)65.770.7136.4-5.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)74.253.0127.2+21.295%
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Lublin WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lublin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AZS Poznan W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Energa Basket Liga W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/10
Euroleague Women
Torun W
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga W
VBW Gdynia W
#3
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A19/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Lyon W
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Sosnowiec W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H26/11
Energa Basket Liga W
Zaragoza W
#3
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H29/11
Euroleague Women
Gorzow W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/12
Energa Basket Liga W
Schio W
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/12
Euroleague Women
Polonia Warszawa W
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H10/12
Energa Basket Liga W
68.2Avg total
33.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.371.4+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.133.271.3+4.950%-
Last 30 away (14)33.837.871.6-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)33.834.468.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.267.6+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.837.070.8-3.330%-
vs Similar (3)40.732.072.7+8.767%-
vs Weaker (6)41.330.872.2+10.567%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#3
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A31/10
Euroleague Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#6
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H03/11
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/11
Liga Femenina W
Bembibre W
#16
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H19/11
Liga Femenina W
DVTK W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A22/11
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A25/11
Liga Femenina W
Schio W
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/11
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#5
W
32-17
32
17
+15
H02/12
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H05/12
Euroleague Women
Barcelona CBS W
#13
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A10/12
Liga Femenina W
63.7Avg total
33.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.466.9+6.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.926.364.1+11.671%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.169.2+1.138%-
Last 10 (10)33.130.663.7+2.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.265.8+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.550.079.5-20.50%-
vs Similar (7)33.636.069.6-2.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.126.164.3+12.075%-
This opponent (Lublin W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin W: 63.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.316.4
42.8%
46.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.1
27.6%
32.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
75.3%12.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 62.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.1
44.2%
46.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.1
26.5%
32.1%18.4
🏀 Free throws10.97.5
69.0%
75.3%7.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin W
WLLLLLLWLL
Valencia W
WLWLWLWLWL
#17
League position
#8
-8.3
Net rating
-8.6
89.8
Offensive rating
87.3
98.1
Defensive rating
95.9
42.3%
Effective FG%
42.6%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.17
27.6%
3-point %
26.5%
75.1%
Assist %
69.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 87.3Defence98.1 · 95.9Shooting42.3% · 42.6%3-point %27.6% · 26.5%Ball care19.6% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.5% · 28.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Lublin W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin W wins
1
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Valencia W v Lublin W64-45
Lublin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HPolonia Warszawa W75-50
06/12/23HSchio W67-70
03/12/23AGorzow W69-73
29/11/23HZaragoza W42-64
26/11/23HSosnowiec W66-71
22/11/23ALyon W72-73
19/11/23AVBW Gdynia W59-80
15/11/23HTorun W84-73
31/10/23HFenerbahce W50-85
29/10/23AAZS Poznan W65-71
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ABarcelona CBS W92-42
05/12/23HFenerbahce W64-88
02/12/23HEstudiantes W55-33
29/11/23ASchio W72-77
25/11/23AFerrol W66-55
22/11/23ADVTK W56-67
19/11/23HBembibre W80-43
16/11/23APerfumerias Avenida W56-71
03/11/23HIDK Gipuzkoa W72-47
31/10/23AZaragoza W47-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game55.858.852.8
Allowed / game70.671.070.2
Point differential-14.9-12.2-17.5
Avg total126.4129.8123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia W
Euroleague Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game63.465.362.2
Allowed / game68.863.372.0
Point differential-5.4+2.0-9.8
Avg total132.1128.7134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W98189%90.165.3+24.8
2 USK Prague W98189%75.163.6+11.6
3 DVTK W108280%68.260.9+7.3
4 Zaragoza W86275%66.858.6+8.1
5 CBK Mersin W96367%71.767.8+3.9
6 Polkowice W117464%71.872.6-0.8
7 Schio W85362%67.663.8+3.9
8 Perfumerias Avenida W85362%70.067.6+2.4
9 ESB Villeneuve W84450%72.971.9+1.0
10 BA London Lions W21150%60.567.5-7.0
11 Virtus Bologna W83538%74.576.2-1.8
12 Valencia W83538%63.468.8-5.4
13 Sepsi SIC W103730%64.475.9-11.5
14 Landes W92722%67.972.8-4.9
15 Lyon W92722%67.678.1-10.6
16 UNI Gyor W81712%72.583.0-10.5
17 Lublin W81712%55.870.6-14.9
18 TTT Riga W2020%58.061.0-3.0
19 Besiktas W2020%60.568.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin W1911121860
Valencia W2430201387
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