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Lucca W vs Sassari W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-79
15-16 21-26 27-14 15-23
Position#12
Record4-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game73.1
Lucca W
Italy
vs
Sassari W 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record16-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.0
ItalySerie A1 WRound 16
Women2022-23
Meetings · Lucca W v Sassari W
01 Mar 2023
LUCC78
SASS79
12 Dec 2021
LUCC85
SASS67
10 Mar 2021
LUCC54
SASS64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
45-86
45
86
-41
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-23
10-17
23-20
17-12
16-8
14-15
13-13
11-16
10-20
23-15
22-21
18-12
15-18
5-11
11-11
13-23
19-19
14-16
23-16
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
19-18
21-14
24-23
18-10
18-20
11-22
12-21
4-23
9-19
9-12
23-21
13-9
132.0Avg total
63.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.473.1136.4-9.720%
Season at home (10)65.670.7136.3-5.130%
Season away (10)61.175.5136.6-14.410%
Last 10 (10)63.368.7132.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)63.072.8135.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)58.178.2136.3-20.16%
vs Similar (7)68.668.7137.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (5)74.063.4137.4+10.680%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
66-94
66
94
-28
H23/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
102-80
102
80
+22
A02/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H05/01
EuroCup Women
Valdarno W
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H07/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#10
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A12/01
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#3
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A29/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
A18/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H26/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
15-26
15-19
15-23
25-23
26-15
21-22
30-20
24-13
23-19
21-15
21-35
29-16
21-24
20-15
19-20
14-26
16-20
19-19
12-18
21-20
14-17
24-19
20-18
20-16
21-11
20-16
18-22
21-16
16-22
17-15
18-12
19-16
20-18
24-20
20-16
24-19
15-19
11-13
21-17
154.7Avg total
79.1Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.070.0145.1+5.080%
Season at home (11)76.968.7145.6+8.291%
Season away (9)72.771.7144.3+1.067%
Last 10 (10)79.175.6154.7+3.580%
Last 5 (5)76.868.4145.2+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.981.2145.1-17.425%
vs Similar (7)68.768.0136.7+0.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.365.6146.9+15.793%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Lucca WSassari W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ragusa W
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H26/02
Serie A1 W
66.1Avg total
30.9Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.638.570.1-6.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.136.269.3-3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)30.240.570.8-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)30.935.266.1-4.350%-
Last 5 (5)29.836.866.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.940.970.8-11.119%-
vs Similar (7)33.038.971.9-5.943%-
vs Weaker (5)33.431.064.4+2.480%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H23/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A02/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H05/01
EuroCup Women
Valdarno W
#13
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#10
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/01
EuroCup Women
Venezia W
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A29/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/02
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Serie A1 W
78.7Avg total
40.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.374.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.374.2+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)36.737.474.1-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.873.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.041.674.6-8.612%-
vs Similar (7)34.035.369.3-1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.333.976.2+8.587%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lucca W wins
2
Sassari W wins
DateGameScore
08/10/22Sassari W v Lucca W74-57
12/03/22Sassari W v Lucca W78-96
12/12/21Lucca W v Sassari W85-67
10/03/21Lucca W v Sassari W54-64
20/02/21Sassari W v Lucca W80-91 OT
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HSan Giovanni W54-61
19/02/23AVenezia W45-86
04/02/23HValdarno W82-65
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
08/01/23ABasket Crema W69-74
30/12/22HCampobasso W49-52
21/12/22AFaenza W66-72
18/12/22HBrixia W60-48
11/12/22HRagusa W74-77
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HRagusa W71-68
18/02/23AFaenza W83-70
04/02/23HCampobasso W72-65
29/01/23ALibertas Moncalieri W79-65
21/01/23HVenezia W79-74
12/01/23AVenezia W61-83
07/01/23HValdarno W89-75
05/01/23HVenezia W89-82
02/01/23ABrixia W102-80
23/12/22HSchio W66-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL20%
HomeWLLWL30%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%30%10%
Points / game63.465.661.1
Allowed / game73.170.775.5
Point differential-9.8-5.1-14.4
Avg total136.4136.3136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %80%91%67%
Points / game75.076.972.7
Allowed / game70.068.771.7
Point differential+5.0+8.2+1.0
Avg total145.1145.6144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%45%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2221195%83.663.1+20.5
2 Virtus Bologna W2119290%83.562.5+21.0
3 Venezia W2118386%80.262.9+17.3
4 Sassari W2016480%75.070.0+5.0
5 San Giovanni W2113862%65.364.5+0.8
6 Ragusa W21111052%73.668.4+5.2
7 Campobasso W21111052%65.165.9-0.8
8 Basket Crema W2181338%68.173.1-5.0
9 San Martino W2181338%66.472.0-5.6
10 Libertas Moncalieri W2171433%62.170.0-7.9
11 Faenza W2161529%67.974.2-6.3
12 Lucca W2041620%63.473.1-9.8
13 Valdarno W2131814%61.479.5-18.1
14 Brixia W222209%61.277.8-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W1521271578
Sassari W1626142379
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