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Lucca W vs Umbertide W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-46
28-11 22-6 16-12 21-17
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game50.8
vs
Position#7
Record9-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game61.1
Allowed / game64.8
ItalySerie A1 WRound 21
Women2016-17
Meetings · Lucca W v Umbertide W
19 Mar 2017
LUCC87
UMBE46
10 Jan 2016
LUCC75
UMBE68
14 Dec 2014
LUCC63
UMBE57
20 Oct 2013
LUCC88
UMBE58
18 Nov 2012
LUCC66
UMBE45
05 Apr 2012
LUCC61
UMBE37
22 Jan 2012
LUCC65
UMBE61
07 Nov 2010
LUCC32
UMBE51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Umbertide W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umbertide W
#7
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A11/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#8
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
W
71-43
71
43
+28
H08/01
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#10
W
70-43
70
43
+27
H05/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A11/02
Serie A1 W
Spezzina W
#12
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H19/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
W
77-50
77
50
+27
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
11-7
15-9
7-10
18-9
27-19
20-20
11-13
25-14
13-19
26-9
11-10
15-13
23-12
15-5
18-13
9-20
18-3
9-15
13-7
8-13
14-19
12-10
17-7
17-7
24-7
13-16
16-13
15-18
14-14
17-10
12-18
28-11
10-11
17-14
16-16
22-12
17-17
21-16
17-5
114.9Avg total
65.6Scored
49.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)68.050.8118.8+17.289%
Season at home (10)68.149.5117.6+18.6100%
Season away (9)67.952.2120.1+15.778%
Last 10 (10)65.649.3114.9+16.390%
Last 5 (5)65.450.8116.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.869.8127.5-12.00%
vs Similar (4)65.862.5128.2+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)69.651.8121.4+17.891%
This opponent (Umbertide W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Umbertide WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spezzina W
#12
W
79-56
79
56
+23
A18/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#8
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H05/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A12/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#5
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H19/02
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#11
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#10
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H12/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-15
24-10
13-17
17-14
18-16
17-18
20-20
12-17
17-22
17-22
12-17
18-20
14-14
20-16
17-13
13-18
16-15
13-15
19-21
20-15
13-22
21-23
8-21
15-24
22-16
21-12
15-15
20-17
10-16
9-14
19-17
13-11
11-11
22-12
18-24
23-16
8-13
15-6
19-11
131.1Avg total
66.1Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)61.164.8125.9-3.745%
Season at home (10)61.565.3126.8-3.840%
Season away (10)60.764.3125.0-3.650%
Last 10 (10)66.165.0131.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)64.463.2127.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.269.8125.0-14.69%
vs Similar (8)70.069.1139.1+0.938%
vs Weaker (11)68.958.9127.8+10.091%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
Lucca WUmbertide W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umbertide W
#7
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A11/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H08/01
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#11
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#5
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#10
W
41-14
41
14
+27
H05/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A11/02
Serie A1 W
Spezzina W
#12
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H19/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A05/03
Serie A1 W
61.0Avg total
35.3Scored
25.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.427.762.1+6.772%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.128.164.2+7.975%-
Last 30 away (13)32.427.259.6+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)35.325.761.0+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)33.825.859.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.035.064.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (4)29.826.256.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)36.326.663.0+9.781%-
This opponent (Umbertide W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Umbertide WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spezzina W
#12
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#4
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
Vigarano W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Dike Napoli W
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H05/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A12/02
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H19/02
Serie A1 W
Fixi Piramis Torino W
#11
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A05/03
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#10
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/03
Serie A1 W
64.8Avg total
32.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.465.5-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.134.167.1-1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)31.132.763.8-1.527%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.664.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.263.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.834.762.5-6.99%-
vs Similar (8)32.633.966.5-1.238%-
vs Weaker (11)36.031.667.6+4.455%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Lucca W wins
2
Umbertide W wins
DateGameScore
11/12/16Umbertide W v Lucca W38-58
10/01/16Lucca W v Umbertide W75-68
04/10/15Umbertide W v Lucca W37-75
25/03/15Umbertide W v Lucca W75-58
14/12/14Lucca W v Umbertide W63-57
12/01/14Umbertide W v Lucca W73-45
20/10/13Lucca W v Umbertide W88-58
10/02/13Umbertide W v Lucca W48-66
18/11/12Lucca W v Umbertide W66-45
11/04/12Umbertide W v Lucca W40-54
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/17ABattipaglia W77-50
19/02/17HSpezzina W71-52
11/02/17AVenezia W58-60
05/02/17HBroni W70-43
29/01/17HRagusa W51-49
22/01/17AFixi Piramis Torino W49-45
08/01/17HDike Napoli W71-43
21/12/16AVigarano W75-52
18/12/16HSan Martino W76-61
11/12/16AUmbertide W58-38
Umbertide Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HBroni W65-46
05/03/17AFixi Piramis Torino W64-58
19/02/17HRagusa W58-64
12/02/17ABattipaglia W73-67
05/02/17HVenezia W62-81
29/01/17HDike Napoli W61-69
22/01/17AVigarano W69-63
08/01/17ASchio W58-78
21/12/16HSan Martino W72-68
18/12/16ASpezzina W79-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game68.068.167.9
Allowed / game50.849.552.2
Point differential+17.2+18.6+15.7
Avg total118.8117.6120.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%80%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Umbertide W
Serie A1 W 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game61.161.560.7
Allowed / game64.865.364.3
Point differential-3.7-3.8-3.6
Avg total125.9126.8125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lucca W1917289%68.050.8+17.2
2 Venezia W2117481%68.253.5+14.7
3 Schio W1915479%75.558.7+16.7
4 San Martino W2014670%65.961.8+4.1
5 Ragusa W2013765%63.358.6+4.7
6 Dike Napoli W2113862%69.065.9+3.1
7 Umbertide W2091145%61.164.8-3.7
8 Vigarano W2061430%62.870.7-8.0
9 Fixi Piramis Torino W2051525%57.766.0-8.2
10 Broni W2051525%55.067.4-12.3
11 Battipaglia W2041620%60.272.0-11.8
12 Spezzina W2021810%57.973.5-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W2822162187
Umbertide W116121746
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