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Lucca W vs Valdarno W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-65
19-18 21-14 24-23 18-10
Position#12
Record3-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game73.5
Lucca W 🏆
Italy
vs
Valdarno W
Italy
Position#13
Record2-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game80.6
ItalySerie A1 WRound 19
Women2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lucca W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valdarno W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H29/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-10
8-26
13-28
22-16
19-21
14-24
26-23
17-30
22-29
8-27
17-12
19-11
18-17
23-23
10-17
23-20
17-12
16-8
14-15
13-13
11-16
10-20
23-15
22-21
18-12
15-18
5-11
11-11
13-23
19-19
14-16
23-16
14-12
20-21
18-12
23-15
18-20
10-26
16-25
15-21
138.1Avg total
64.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)63.973.5137.4-9.618%
Season at home (8)65.072.6137.6-7.625%
Season away (9)62.974.3137.2-11.411%
Last 10 (10)64.973.2138.1-8.320%
Last 5 (5)63.670.0133.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)59.777.5137.3-17.813%
vs Similar (8)68.669.4138.0-0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.467.2142.6+8.280%
This opponent (Valdarno W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valdarno WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A04/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
H10/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
44-105
44
105
-61
A17/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H03/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A07/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
53-89
53
89
-36
H14/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A21/01
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H28/01
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
25-7
13-21
16-21
15-10
18-22
15-14
11-28
15-19
14-14
13-14
20-24
14-34
16-16
10-30
4-25
17-18
18-20
10-15
19-19
10-17
17-21
17-21
12-10
16-29
24-21
15-20
20-19
8-25
11-19
14-27
20-18
14-26
17-17
15-14
8-13
18-27
17-14
27-16
20-22
140.9Avg total
61.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)61.480.6142.0-19.111%
Season at home (9)64.675.3139.9-10.822%
Season away (9)58.385.8144.1-27.40%
Last 10 (10)61.679.3140.9-17.710%
Last 5 (5)64.079.2143.2-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)59.881.4141.2-21.66%
vs Similar (2)74.573.5148.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (12)66.052.2118.2+13.8100%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
Lucca WValdarno W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#5
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H18/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A21/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A22/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H29/01
Serie A1 W
68.9Avg total
30.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.838.671.4-5.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.436.570.9-2.262%-
Last 30 away (17)31.640.271.8-8.618%-
Last 10 (10)30.538.468.9-7.940%-
Last 5 (5)29.637.467.0-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.540.972.4-9.327%-
vs Similar (8)34.038.672.6-4.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.632.866.4+0.860%-
This opponent (Valdarno W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valdarno WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Moncalieri W
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H10/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A17/12
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/12
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#7
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H03/01
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
19-44
19
44
-25
H14/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/01
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/01
Serie A1 W
71.9Avg total
31.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.734.668.3-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.032.164.1-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)35.036.571.5-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)31.740.271.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.443.273.6-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.640.772.2-9.125%-
vs Similar (2)39.033.572.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker (12)35.726.762.3+9.083%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lucca W wins
1
Valdarno W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Valdarno W v Lucca W70-68
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HVirtus Bologna W59-92
22/01/23ASan Martino W75-60
08/01/23ABasket Crema W69-74
30/12/22HCampobasso W49-52
21/12/22AFaenza W66-72
18/12/22HBrixia W60-48
11/12/22HRagusa W74-77
06/12/22ALibertas Moncalieri W66-79
19/11/22HSchio W76-98
13/11/22ASan Giovanni W55-80
Valdarno Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HBrixia W82-79
21/01/23AFaenza W54-70
14/01/23HVirtus Bologna W53-89
07/01/23ASassari W75-89
03/01/23HRagusa W56-69
21/12/22HBasket Crema W64-72
17/12/22ASchio W44-105
10/12/22HSan Giovanni W62-71
04/12/22ACampobasso W59-74
19/11/22HLibertas Moncalieri W67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%25%11%
Points / game63.965.062.9
Allowed / game73.572.674.3
Point differential-9.6-7.6-11.4
Avg total137.4137.6137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valdarno W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW11%
HomeLLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%22%0%
Points / game61.464.658.3
Allowed / game80.675.385.8
Point differential-19.1-10.8-27.4
Avg total142.0139.9144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W1817194%83.263.2+20.0
2 Virtus Bologna W1917289%85.063.5+21.5
3 Venezia W1815383%80.165.4+14.7
4 Sassari W1814478%74.870.2+4.6
5 San Giovanni W1812667%65.664.0+1.6
6 Ragusa W1810856%73.867.8+6.0
7 Campobasso W1910953%64.665.4-0.8
8 San Martino W1881044%66.171.1-5.0
9 Faenza W1861233%68.473.3-4.9
10 Libertas Moncalieri W1961332%61.569.1-7.5
11 Basket Crema W1851328%66.472.9-6.6
12 Lucca W1731418%63.973.5-9.6
13 Brixia W1821611%61.277.3-16.1
14 Valdarno W1821611%61.480.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lucca W1921241882
Valdarno W1814231065
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