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Libertas Moncalieri W vs Lucca W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 79-66
29-22 27-8 12-17 11-19
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game62.6
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#12
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A1 WRound 10
Women2022-23
Meetings · Libertas Moncalieri W v Lucca W
14 Apr 2023
LIBE61
LUCC73
06 Apr 2023
LIBE80
LUCC59
06 Dec 2022
LIBE79
LUCC66
16 Jan 2022
LIBE58
LUCC77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lucca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertas Moncalieri WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broni W
#13
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H30/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/10
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H05/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A09/10
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A22/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H30/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A05/11
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/11
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A19/11
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
12-13
10-9
14-16
11-14
9-18
10-7
15-15
17-16
27-20
23-26
21-23
18-20
19-16
14-17
16-19
13-14
19-17
17-15
14-16
23-20
13-22
7-26
16-15
16-12
15-31
13-21
12-24
11-17
14-21
19-25
10-11
13-16
21-11
11-10
11-13
26-13
7-25
21-13
21-16
130.9Avg total
62.0Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)62.670.6133.1-8.044%
Season at home (4)65.871.2137.0-5.575%
Season away (5)60.070.0130.0-10.020%
Last 10 (10)62.068.9130.9-6.950%
Last 5 (5)60.072.4132.4-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)55.674.3129.9-18.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)66.066.2132.2-0.254%
vs Weaker (2)65.558.5124.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A27/09
Super Cup Women
Campobasso W
#6
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A02/10
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A08/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
A23/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
67-79
67
79
-12
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
H19/11
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-19
12-25
20-14
11-18
11-19
19-10
6-14
23-13
22-18
16-10
14-19
10-22
19-15
13-16
15-21
16-17
17-25
12-16
15-17
17-31
13-18
14-24
19-26
10-10
12-25
31-19
15-16
11-22
17-22
23-18
16-17
12-10
8-26
13-28
22-16
19-21
14-24
26-23
17-30
141.7Avg total
64.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)63.177.3140.4-14.211%
Season at home (4)69.578.0147.5-8.525%
Season away (5)58.076.8134.8-18.80%
Last 10 (10)64.077.7141.7-13.710%
Last 5 (5)65.885.2151.0-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)60.477.1137.6-16.721%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.964.9134.7+5.071%
vs Weaker (7)76.067.6143.6+8.486%
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
Libertas Moncalieri WLucca W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Libertas Moncalieri WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Broni W
#13
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H30/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A01/10
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H05/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/10
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A22/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A05/11
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H13/11
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/11
Serie A1 W
67.7Avg total
32.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.366.5-4.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.335.167.4-2.846%-
Last 30 away (17)30.335.565.8-5.235%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.267.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.669.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.636.364.9-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.834.668.4-0.862%-
vs Weaker (2)33.532.566.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Lucca W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lucca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A27/09
Super Cup Women
Campobasso W
#6
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A02/10
Serie A1 W
Basket Crema W
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H16/10
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/10
Serie A1 W
Valdarno W
#13
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A29/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H06/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A13/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/11
Serie A1 W
70.0Avg total
30.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.972.0-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.935.869.8-1.962%-
Last 30 away (17)34.439.473.8-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)30.239.870.0-9.610%-
Last 5 (5)26.641.868.4-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.140.171.2-8.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.635.975.4+3.786%-
vs Weaker (7)34.435.970.3-1.457%-
This opponent (Libertas Moncalieri W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Libertas Moncalieri W wins
2
Lucca W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AValdarno W75-67
13/11/22HBrixia W56-50
05/11/22ASchio W54-74
30/10/22HVirtus Bologna W56-88
22/10/22ASassari W59-83
16/10/22HBasket Crema W63-62
09/10/22ASan Martino W67-72
05/10/22HFaenza W88-85
01/10/22ASan Giovanni W45-54
30/04/22HBroni W57-54
Lucca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HSchio W76-98
13/11/22ASan Giovanni W55-80
06/11/22HVenezia W67-79
29/10/22AValdarno W68-70
23/10/22AVirtus Bologna W63-99
16/10/22HSan Martino W60-75
08/10/22ASassari W57-74
05/10/22HBasket Crema W75-60
02/10/22ACampobasso W47-61
27/09/22ASchio W72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertas Moncalieri W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game62.665.860.0
Allowed / game70.671.270.0
Point differential-8.0-5.5-10.0
Avg total133.1137.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lucca W
Serie A1 W 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game63.169.558.0
Allowed / game77.378.076.8
Point differential-14.2-8.5-18.8
Avg total140.4147.5134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W10100100%81.460.7+20.7
2 Virtus Bologna W108280%84.265.4+18.8
3 Venezia W108280%80.865.3+15.5
4 Sassari W108280%71.665.8+5.8
5 San Giovanni W107370%66.264.4+1.8
6 Campobasso W107370%65.465.5-0.1
7 Ragusa W105550%76.168.4+7.7
8 San Martino W105550%68.672.5-3.9
9 Libertas Moncalieri W94544%62.670.6-8.0
10 Basket Crema W102820%65.770.6-4.9
11 Faenza W102820%70.677.5-6.9
12 Lucca W91811%63.177.3-14.2
13 Brixia W101910%60.876.3-15.5
14 Valdarno W101910%61.680.6-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertas Moncalieri W2927121179
Lucca W228171966
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