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Luiss Roma vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-90
15-25 20-15 10-22 20-28
Position#22
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.7
ItalySerie A2Round 8· Palazzetto dello Sport
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
79-78
79
78
+1
66avg 63
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 63
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
77-101
77
101
-24
64avg 63
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
77-108
77
108
-31
72avg 63
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 63
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
62-70
62
70
-8
40avg 63
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
H01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-17
17-17
20-23
21-16
23-22
19-19
16-14
21-24
24-29
16-22
16-26
21-23
19-36
19-29
18-20
21-21
17-20
12-17
21-21
13-20
13-18
20-12
16-20
24-14
27-26
15-24
10-22
159.1Avg total
74.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.484.7159.1-10.329%
Season at home (3)75.378.7154.0-3.333%
Season away (4)73.889.2163.0-15.525%
Last 10 (7)74.484.7159.1-10.329%
Last 5 (5)72.688.8161.4-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.093.5167.5-19.50%
vs Similar (5)74.681.2155.8-6.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
75-67
75
67
+8
73avg 82
A01/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
80avg 82
H08/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
90avg 82
A11/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 82
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 82
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 82
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 82
H01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
19-15
16-27
21-18
28-25
23-13
18-19
22-27
20-30
20-17
29-26
19-16
24-25
21-16
20-18
25-11
17-22
26-19
19-23
30-33
20-27
27-15
17-13
21-21
21-20
23-19
19-10
15-33
166.3Avg total
85.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.680.7166.3+4.957%
Season at home (4)86.078.0164.0+8.075%
Season away (3)85.084.3169.3+0.733%
Last 10 (7)85.680.7166.3+4.957%
Last 5 (5)86.682.8169.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.780.2164.8+4.550%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Luiss RomaSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A29/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
84.7Avg total
40.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)40.943.984.7-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (3)44.339.784.0+4.767%-
Last 30 away (4)38.247.085.2-8.825%-
Last 10 (7)40.943.984.7-3.043%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.286.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A01/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/10
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
82.6Avg total
44.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)44.038.682.6+5.486%-
Last 30 at home (4)46.840.086.8+6.8100%-
Last 30 away (3)40.336.777.0+3.767%-
Last 10 (7)44.038.682.6+5.486%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.085.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.038.089.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.838.781.5+4.283%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.2%
50.3%33.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.3
30.9%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.015.3
69.5%
74.2%15.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.6
51.8%
50.3%33.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.311.6
47.6%
34.1%34.7
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
74.2%16.9
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luiss Roma
LLLLLWW
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWLWW
#22
League position
#7
-14.4
Net rating
+7.0
99.6
Offensive rating
115.0
114.0
Defensive rating
108.1
47.9%
Effective FG%
60.3%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.9%
3-point %
47.6%
50.6%
Assist %
55.8%
29%
Form (last 7/7)
57%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 115.0Defence114.0 · 108.1Shooting47.9% · 60.3%3-point %30.9% · 47.6%Ball care19.7% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 7/7)29% · 57%
■ Luiss Roma   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luiss Roma wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
No previous meetings.
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HLatina76-86
29/10/23AAgrigento62-70
21/10/23HBasket Torino71-79
16/10/23ACantu77-108
11/10/23AJuVi Cremona77-101
07/10/23HVigevano79-71
01/10/23AMonferrato79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HUrania Milano78-82
29/10/23HJuVi Cremona85-76
21/10/23AMonferrato92-97
15/10/23HLatina90-70
11/10/23ATreviglio88-89
08/10/23HBasket Torino91-84
01/10/23AAgrigento75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game74.475.373.8
Allowed / game84.778.789.2
Point differential-10.3-3.3-15.5
Avg total159.1154.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game85.686.085.0
Allowed / game80.778.084.3
Point differential+4.9+8.0+0.7
Avg total166.3164.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna770100%84.471.6+12.9
2 Trapani87188%92.181.1+11.0
3 Udine65183%84.276.3+7.8
4 Cantu86275%91.883.1+8.6
5 Forli86275%81.074.0+7.0
6 Basket Torino86275%87.181.0+6.1
7 Verona86275%76.471.2+5.1
8 Treviglio85362%83.483.2+0.1
9 JuVi Cremona74357%86.180.7+5.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti74357%85.680.7+4.9
11 Urania Milano74357%86.384.6+1.7
12 Trieste74357%80.380.7-0.4
13 Nardo84450%81.487.8-6.4
14 Assigeco Piacenza83538%83.081.8+1.2
15 Cividale83538%76.076.9-0.9
16 Agrigento83538%74.177.2-3.1
17 Cento83538%77.181.4-4.2
18 Luiss Roma72529%74.484.7-10.3
19 Rimini82625%74.477.1-2.8
20 Monferrato82625%82.086.0-4.0
21 Orzinuovi82625%74.979.0-4.1
22 Vigevano82625%79.587.1-7.6
23 Chiusi81712%60.672.4-11.8
24 Latina81712%76.989.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luiss Roma1520102065
Sebastiani Rieti2515222890
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