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Lund W vs Onsala W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 68-83
Projected total 151.3
Final 65-89
8-21 23-18 14-29 20-21
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.4
Allowed / game76.2
Lund W
Sweden
Vs
91%
■ LUND 9%■ ONSA 91%
Pythia win probability
Onsala W 🏆
Sweden
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game63.8
SwedenBasketligan WRound 6· Eoshallen
Women2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lund W will face Onsala W on 7 November 2026 in the Basketligan W, with the Pythia model designating Onsala W as the favourite at 91% to win against Lund W's 9% chance, a reflection of Onsala's 4-1 record, 88.0 points per game and 63.8 allowed, compared with Lund's 0-5 record, 58.4 points per game and 76.2 allowed, and their league positions of 4th versus 10th. Lund's five games in the competition have yielded no victories, a 0-5 record, and a points per game of 58.4 while conceding 76.2, with a 0-2 home record and 55.5 points scored and 78.0 allowed at home; their last five games remain winless, and recent losses include 53-80 to Norrkoping W, 51-88 to Lulea W and 63-71 to AIK Basket W. Onsala's five games have produced four wins and one loss, with a 2-0 road record, 92.5 points scored and 63.5 allowed on the road; their last five games include a 71-78 loss to Sodertalje W, a 100-64 win over Brahe W and a 90-64 win over Visby W. The model projects a score of 68-83 for Lund and Onsala, a total of 151.4 points, and a 2% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
9.3%fair 10.74
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Onsala W winWon
90.7%fair 1.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 14:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
78avg 64
H14/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
56avg 64
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
86-48
86
48
+38
76avg 64
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
43avg 64
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
68avg 64
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
50avg 64
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
L
63-71
63
71
-8
59avg 64
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
51-88
51
88
-37
43avg 64
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
42avg 64
A01/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
17-23
21-32
30-23
25-16
16-14
6-22
22-17
26-14
22-11
12-12
26-11
17-25
13-16
17-17
15-24
22-18
19-20
24-18
20-17
15-19
14-25
19-17
17-13
12-22
20-8
15-22
13-16
17-19
23-11
12-26
11-15
20-17
7-25
11-19
13-27
12-26
15-23
11-17
15-14
147.0Avg total
69.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)58.476.2134.6-17.80%
Season at home (2)55.578.0133.5-22.50%
Season away (3)60.375.0135.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)69.977.1147.0-7.220%
Last 5 (5)58.476.2134.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.980.9149.8-12.111%
vs Similar (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
vs Weaker (7)84.068.7152.7+15.371%
This opponent (Onsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Onsala WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje 2 W
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 77
A28/02
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#7
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 77
A01/03
Basketettan W
Nassjo W
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 77
H07/03
Basketettan W
Marbo W
#6
W
92-46
92
46
+46
87avg 77
H20/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#21
W
117-45
117
45
+72
119avg 77
A11/04
Basketettan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
94-50
94
50
+44
61avg 77
H03/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
85-63
85
63
+22
78avg 77
A10/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
90-64
90
64
+26
89avg 77
H17/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
100-64
100
64
+36
92avg 77
A24/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 77
H31/10
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
16-24
20-10
17-22
21-15
18-8
12-20
14-23
16-13
20-10
20-18
27-12
23-14
29-10
28-20
12-2
32-11
27-14
30-4
28-16
19-9
30-13
22-10
23-18
19-24
30-18
13-17
23-4
19-8
17-13
32-26
22-17
28-19
29-22
27-19
16-4
19-14
17-20
15-24
20-20
147.2Avg total
86.8Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.063.8151.8+24.280%
Season at home (3)85.064.0149.0+21.067%
Season away (2)92.563.5156.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.860.4147.2+26.470%
Last 5 (5)88.063.8151.8+24.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.568.5119.0-18.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.857.6143.3+28.279%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144Actual: Over 144
Over 144
67.6%
Under 144
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
55.5%
Under 149
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 154Push
Over 154
42.9%
Under 154
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lund W total 72Actual: Lund W under 72
Over 72
33.7%
Under 72
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lund W total 76Actual: Lund W under 76
Over 76
20.5%
Under 76
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lund W total 80Actual: Lund W under 80
Over 80
11.3%
Under 80
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onsala W total 69Actual: Onsala W over 69
Over 69
93.0%
Under 69
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onsala W total 73Actual: Onsala W over 73
Over 73
85.8%
Under 73
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Onsala W total 77Actual: Onsala W over 77
Over 77
74.5%
Under 77
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lund W -3Actual: Onsala W +3
LUND -3
6.2%
ONSA +3
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
LUND
No market prices yet.
ONSA
No market prices yet.
Spread Lund W 0Actual: Onsala W 0
LUND 0
9.3%
ONSA 0
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
LUND
No market prices yet.
ONSA
No market prices yet.
Spread Lund W +3Actual: Onsala W -3
LUND +3
12.9%
ONSA -3
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
LUND
No market prices yet.
ONSA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +8.1+8.1Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
Lund WOnsala W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H24/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A01/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A03/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H25/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#3
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A01/11
Basketligan W
72.2Avg total
35.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.075.0-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.437.673.9-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)35.840.276.0-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.972.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.070.0-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.241.675.8-7.422%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (7)39.034.473.4+4.657%-
This opponent (Onsala W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Onsala WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje 2 W
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/02
Basketettan W
Huddinge W
#7
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A01/03
Basketettan W
Nassjo W
#15
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H07/03
Basketettan W
Marbo W
#6
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H20/03
Basketettan W
Lobas W
#21
W
59-25
59
25
+34
A11/04
Basketettan W
Hogsbo W
#10
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H03/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#8
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H17/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#12
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A24/10
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/10
Basketligan W
74.5Avg total
44.7Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.429.270.6+12.276%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.426.769.1+15.793%-
Last 30 away (14)40.431.972.2+8.557%-
Last 10 (10)44.729.874.5+14.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.432.077.4+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.538.565.0-12.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.528.571.0+14.081%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.618.7
40.1%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.0
27.3%
30.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws18.412.5
67.9%
71.1%12.5
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Onsala Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Onsala W: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.1 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.0
51.2%
46.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.5
28.7%
30.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.715.3
70.5%
71.1%15.3
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLLWLWLL
Onsala W
LWWWWWWWLL
#11
League position
#2
-7.5
Net rating
+28.5
72.5
Offensive rating
88.9
80.0
Defensive rating
60.4
40.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
37.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.3%
3-point %
28.7%
56.0%
Assist %
66.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 88.9Defence80.0 · 60.4Shooting40.4% · 48.2%3-point %27.3% · 28.7%Ball care19.0% · 18.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Lund W   ■ Onsala W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lund W wins
0
Onsala W wins
No previous meetings.
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ANorrkoping W53-80
25/10/26HLulea W51-88
19/10/26AAIK Basket W63-71
11/10/26HUppsala W60-68
03/10/26AOstersund W65-74
21/03/26AAlvik W85-73
07/03/26AOstersund W62-82
01/03/26AVisby W86-48
24/02/26HMalbas Malmo W85-92 OT
14/02/26HOstersund W89-95
Onsala Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HSodertalje W71-78
24/10/26ABrahe W100-64
17/10/26HVisby W90-64
10/10/26AOstersund W85-63
03/10/26HHogsbo W94-50
11/04/26ALobas W117-45
20/03/26HMarbo W92-46
07/03/26HNassjo W83-53
01/03/26AHuddinge W65-66
28/02/26ASodertalje 2 W71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game58.455.560.3
Allowed / game76.278.075.0
Point differential-17.8-22.5-14.7
Avg total134.6133.5135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Onsala W
Basketligan W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game88.085.092.5
Allowed / game63.864.063.5
Point differential+24.2+21.0+29.0
Avg total151.8149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping W550100%80.263.4+16.8
2 Alvik W550100%82.467.2+15.2
3 Lulea W54180%99.256.2+43.0
4 Onsala W54180%88.063.8+24.2
5 Sodertalje W54180%73.269.0+4.2
6 Ostersund W53260%80.079.2+0.8
7 Uppsala W52340%78.673.6+5.0
8 Visby W52340%74.876.4-1.6
9 AIK Basket W51420%65.683.2-17.6
10 Hogsbo W61517%60.386.2-25.8
11 Lund W5050%58.476.2-17.8
12 Brahe W6060%57.591.8-34.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W823142065
Onsala W2118292189
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