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Luxembourg vs North Macedonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 66-80
15-23 12-23 22-17 17-17
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game64.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Coque Sport Center
Other2029
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luxembourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Macedonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A05/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A20/02
World Cup
Ireland
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H27/11
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A02/03
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H02/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
23-12
20-18
13-20
17-20
10-19
11-16
29-12
9-24
23-19
20-8
6-21
12-23
19-23
18-19
29-19
21-15
17-15
8-22
13-16
26-11
21-26
17-24
25-16
25-18
32-26
25-17
13-29
17-25
15-19
17-15
21-20
23-22
12-17
21-26
29-26
18-22
24-17
13-18
19-19
154.8Avg total
76.0Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.682.6165.2+0.040%
Season at home (2)81.576.5158.0+5.050%
Season away (3)83.386.7170.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)76.078.8154.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)82.682.6165.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)71.988.1160.1-16.26%
vs Similar (10)82.282.9165.1-0.740%
vs Weaker (4)71.576.5148.0-5.025%
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#24
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H24/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
58-96
58
96
-38
A09/08
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H20/08
World Cup
Azerbaijan
#12
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H27/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A30/11
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H27/02
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A02/03
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H02/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-20
22-16
21-19
18-17
14-14
25-24
15-25
18-19
19-34
14-17
7-26
19-26
15-19
15-14
17-20
23-15
22-17
19-18
18-25
22-13
18-8
23-16
24-12
20-27
22-13
19-22
27-14
25-17
19-15
15-17
20-21
19-28
18-16
21-12
20-14
23-16
15-11
21-10
18-19
150.0Avg total
77.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.864.2146.0+17.6100%
Season at home (3)81.058.3139.3+22.7100%
Season away (2)83.073.0156.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.5150.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)81.864.2146.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.981.7147.6-15.815%
vs Similar (6)70.372.3142.7-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.263.6143.8+16.591%
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
LuxembourgNorth Macedonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#29
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A05/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A20/02
World Cup
Ireland
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A02/03
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/07
EuroBasket
78.6Avg total
38.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.181.3-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.184.1-6.236%-
Last 30 away (16)37.541.478.9-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.278.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.445.880.2-11.36%-
vs Similar (10)42.540.683.1+1.960%-
vs Weaker (4)42.239.081.2+3.275%-
This opponent (North Macedonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North MacedoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#24
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H24/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A09/08
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H20/08
World Cup
Azerbaijan
#12
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H27/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A30/11
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/02
EuroBasket
Azerbaijan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A02/03
EuroBasket
Ireland
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H02/07
EuroBasket
75.8Avg total
39.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.873.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.935.572.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.438.175.5-0.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.475.8+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.873.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.640.575.1-5.838%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.769.5+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.934.175.0+6.873%-
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.8
49.8%
-39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.1
27.9%
-21.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
-14.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
North Macedoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

North Macedonia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.8
52.8%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.2
30.5%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
-12.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luxembourg
LLLWWLLLWL
North Macedonia
WWWWWWLLLW
#10
League position
#2
-12.2
Net rating
+4.4
97.8
Offensive rating
100.8
110.0
Defensive rating
96.4
46.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.9%
3-point %
30.5%
69.3%
Assist %
58.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Luxembourg   ■ North Macedonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Luxembourg wins
1
North Macedonia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26North Macedonia v Luxembourg79-70
Luxembourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HAzerbaijan74-76
02/03/26AIreland85-91
27/02/26ANorth Macedonia70-79
30/11/25AAzerbaijan95-90
27/11/25HIreland89-77
20/02/25ANorway59-68
24/11/24HRomania78-84
25/02/24HNorway58-72
22/02/24ARomania76-72 OT
05/08/23AIreland76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HIreland77-56
02/03/26AAzerbaijan78-70
27/02/26HLuxembourg79-70
30/11/25AIreland88-76
27/11/25HAzerbaijan87-49
20/08/25HHungary82-75
13/08/25ARomania66-79
09/08/25AHungary58-96
02/08/25HRomania72-80
24/02/25HPoland88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luxembourg
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.681.583.3
Allowed / game82.676.586.7
Point differential+0.0+5.0-3.3
Avg total165.2158.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Macedonia
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.881.083.0
Allowed / game64.258.373.0
Point differential+17.6+22.7+10.0
Avg total146.0139.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Macedonia550100%81.864.2+17.6
2 Slovakia330100%85.369.7+15.7
3 Norway330100%88.777.3+11.3
4 Bulgaria32167%88.381.3+7.0
5 Luxembourg52340%82.682.6+0.0
6 Kosovo31233%86.387.3-1.0
7 Ireland62433%75.280.8-5.7
8 Azerbaijan62433%71.880.8-9.0
9 Albania41325%76.087.0-11.0
10 Armenia4040%83.297.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luxembourg1512221766
North Macedonia2323171780
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