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Luxembourg vs Romania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-84
12-23 19-23 18-19 29-19
Position#70
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Romania 🏆
Position#34
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Ceccarelli E.
Other2027
Meetings · Luxembourg v Romania
24 Nov 2024
LUXE78
ROMA84
28 Nov 2021
LUXE70
ROMA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luxembourg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albania
#39
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A30/06
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
76-96
76
96
-20
H26/07
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H02/08
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A05/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H25/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
20-21
28-20
15-24
25-15
15-29
18-14
12-15
21-26
27-15
21-14
17-20
15-12
16-19
15-21
21-26
14-31
20-26
12-23
16-18
21-23
16-17
22-30
17-26
12-25
25-25
18-24
24-17
20-29
23-12
20-18
13-20
17-20
10-19
11-16
29-12
9-24
23-19
20-8
6-21
156.5Avg total
73.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.072.0139.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)58.072.0130.0-14.00%
Season away (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.982.6156.5-8.720%
Last 5 (5)73.082.0155.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.988.2161.2-15.312%
vs Similar (10)81.480.4161.8+1.050%
vs Weaker (3)82.380.7163.0+1.767%
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H26/02
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H29/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A02/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A21/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-16
14-13
15-17
14-27
27-27
10-18
11-20
12-16
13-15
19-13
17-18
24-11
16-20
18-6
17-13
21-22
23-20
25-22
18-19
10-18
19-13
24-23
12-15
10-23
26-16
20-16
16-8
13-19
18-19
16-23
11-22
20-17
19-10
16-11
12-29
26-20
17-18
12-12
20-12
140.1Avg total
69.6Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.569.0142.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Season away (1)75.062.0137.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.670.5140.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)68.470.6139.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.686.9151.5-22.30%
vs Similar (8)70.077.4147.4-7.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.367.9147.2+11.492%
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
LuxembourgRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LuxembourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albania
#39
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A25/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H28/11
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H27/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A30/06
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/07
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H02/08
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A05/08
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/02
World Cup
80.9Avg total
37.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.881.1-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.245.384.5-6.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.277.7-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.480.9-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.945.581.4-9.618%-
vs Similar (10)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker (3)39.337.076.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/02
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/07
EuroBasket
Albania
#39
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H29/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/11
World Cup
73.4Avg total
36.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.377.0-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.539.473.9-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.380.2-2.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.673.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.670.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.246.377.5-15.110%-
vs Similar (8)35.937.573.4-1.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.837.279.1+4.675%-
This opponent (Luxembourg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luxembourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luxembourg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.8
49.8%
-39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.1
27.9%
-21.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
-14.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luxembourg
LWLLLLLWLL
Romania
WLLWLWWLLW
#70
League position
#34
-12.2
Net rating
-6.7
97.8
Offensive rating
94.2
110.0
Defensive rating
100.9
46.7%
Effective FG%
46.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
21.2%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.9%
3-point %
28.8%
69.3%
Assist %
76.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Luxembourg   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Luxembourg wins
2
Romania wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Romania v Luxembourg72-76 OT
30/06/22Romania v Luxembourg78-67
28/11/21Luxembourg v Romania70-73
Luxembourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HNorway58-72
22/02/24ARomania76-72 OT
05/08/23AIreland76-79
02/08/23HCroatia79-91
26/07/23HIreland76-96
22/07/23ACroatia62-98
30/06/22ARomania67-78
27/02/22HAlbania86-75
28/11/21HRomania70-73
25/11/21AAlbania89-92
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24ANorway75-62
22/02/24HLuxembourg72-76 OT
02/08/23ASlovakia58-83
29/07/23HAlbania72-63
22/07/23HSlovakia65-69
19/07/23AAlbania87-83
26/02/23HCyprus75-50
23/02/23HBulgaria61-62
13/11/22APortugal62-92
10/11/22ACyprus69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luxembourg
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game67.058.076.0
Allowed / game72.072.072.0
Point differential-5.0-14.0+4.0
Avg total139.0130.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Romania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.572.075.0
Allowed / game69.076.062.0
Point differential+4.5-4.0+13.0
Avg total142.5148.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austria330100%111.378.0+33.3
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Switzerland440100%79.553.5+26.0
4 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
5 Romania21150%73.569.0+4.5
6 Norway21150%67.066.5+0.5
7 Luxembourg21150%67.072.0-5.0
8 Ireland31233%76.778.7-2.0
9 Kosovo31233%67.779.3-11.7
10 Armenia31233%85.0104.7-19.7
11 Azerbaijan41325%65.581.2-15.8
12 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
13 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
14 Albania2020%71.091.5-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luxembourg1219182978
Romania2323191984
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