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Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Cholet Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game84.8
FranceLNBRound 24· LDLC Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lyon-Villeurbanne v Cholet
27 Mar 2027
ASV v CHO
upcoming
30 May 2026
ASV75
CHO80
26 May 2026
ASV75
CHO67
14 Dec 2025
ASV85
CHO87
03 Nov 2024
ASV87
CHO101
14 Jan 2024
ASV100
CHO95
03 May 2023
ASV98
CHO69
18 Mar 2023
ASV85
CHO79
29 May 2022
ASV84
CHO82
24 May 2022
ASV70
CHO74
10 May 2022
ASV87
CHO72
02 Jun 2021
ASV82
CHO64
06 Oct 2019
ASV85
CHO76
19 Jan 2019
ASV68
CHO76
30 Sep 2017
ASV77
CHO59
17 Dec 2016
ASV71
CHO67
06 Oct 2015
ASV57
CHO58
04 Oct 2014
ASV67
CHO56
19 Apr 2014
ASV97
CHO78
26 Oct 2012
ASV70
CHO67
02 Mar 2012
ASV67
CHO71
26 Feb 2011
ASV89
CHO77
09 Jan 2010
ASV82
CHO84
03 Jan 2009
ASV90
CHO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon-Villeurbanne win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon-VilleurbanneFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A04/10
LNB
Paris
#16
W
98-96
98
96
+2
A07/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H11/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A15/10
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A17/10
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
85-105
85
105
-20
A23/10
Euroleague
Nancy
#12
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H25/10
LNB
Partizan
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H28/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
21-15
21-18
16-13
14-21
32-22
28-34
24-19
23-16
22-18
26-31
25-12
23-26
23-16
21-24
15-18
25-27
23-34
23-16
21-34
28-27
23-22
18-16
17-21
20-29
14-21
25-31
26-24
18-24
25-16
15-17
20-17
22-19
14-13
20-27
26-16
26-16
23-23
26-20
19-20
173.4Avg total
87.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.679.0166.6+8.6100%
Season at home (2)87.075.5162.5+11.5100%
Season away (3)88.081.3169.3+6.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.486.0173.4+1.470%
Last 5 (5)87.285.4172.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.594.3176.8-11.70%
vs Similar (5)88.481.0169.4+7.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.679.1163.7+5.479%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H07/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#15
W
99-79
99
79
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#6
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#10
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
18-22
20-22
25-19
25-25
25-26
24-24
17-19
24-27
21-31
23-21
17-18
26-21
23-19
19-14
17-22
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
165.3Avg total
82.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.284.8165.0-4.640%
Season at home (3)82.387.3169.7-5.033%
Season away (2)77.081.0158.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)82.682.7165.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)76.077.2153.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.887.3169.2-5.531%
vs Similar (9)87.481.1168.6+6.367%
vs Weaker (8)90.174.6164.8+15.5100%
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
Lyon-VilleurbanneCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon-VilleurbanneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A04/10
LNB
Paris
#16
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H11/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H13/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#4
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A15/10
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A17/10
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A23/10
Euroleague
Nancy
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
LNB
Partizan
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H30/10
Euroleague
85.5Avg total
43.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.784.6+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.183.7+5.481%-
Last 30 away (14)41.044.685.6-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.485.5+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.084.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.648.591.1-5.836%-
vs Similar (5)41.235.676.8+5.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.738.582.2+5.279%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H07/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H09/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H27/09
LNB
Nancy
#12
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A03/10
LNB
Hapoel Holon
#15
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#18
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
84.5Avg total
43.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.185.4+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.741.786.4+3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.584.4-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.484.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.544.988.5-1.446%-
vs Similar (9)43.241.885.0+1.444%-
vs Weaker (8)43.237.881.0+5.562%-
This opponent (Lyon-Villeurbanne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon-Villeurbannetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon-Villeurbanne: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.2
57.3%
55.2%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.1
74.2%
74.2%14.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
55.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
33.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws26.521.1
79.6%
74.2%21.1
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon-Villeurbanne
WWWLWLLWWW
Cholet
LLLWWWWLLL
#2
League position
#9
-0.6
Net rating
-0.3
99.0
Offensive rating
91.4
99.6
Defensive rating
91.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
36.7%
3-point %
30.2%
71.6%
Assist %
72.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 91.4Defence99.6 · 91.8Shooting56.4% · 48.8%3-point %36.7% · 30.2%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Lyon-Villeurbanne   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lyon-Villeurbanne wins
5
Cholet wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HBaskonia94-79
28/10/26HPartizan82-75
25/10/26HNancy78-74
23/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-105
17/10/26ALimoges97-94 OT
15/10/26AReal Madrid92-111
13/10/26HCrvena zvezda82-84
11/10/26HRoanne96-77
07/10/26AParis98-96
04/10/26AGravelines-Dunkerque70-65
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
06/10/26AHapoel Holon99-79
03/10/26ANancy85-76
27/09/26HLyon-Villeurbanne85-97
09/06/26HParis91-94
07/06/26HParis86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon-Villeurbanne
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.687.088.0
Allowed / game79.075.581.3
Point differential+8.6+11.5+6.7
Avg total166.6162.5169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game80.282.377.0
Allowed / game84.887.381.0
Point differential-4.6-5.0-4.0
Avg total165.0169.7158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris550100%93.081.6+11.4
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne550100%87.679.0+8.6
3 Dijon65183%92.583.5+9.0
4 Chalon/Saone54180%91.877.4+14.4
5 Le Mans54180%98.089.8+8.2
6 Nanterre53260%82.675.8+6.8
7 Strasbourg63350%82.087.3-5.3
8 JL Bourg52340%89.087.8+1.2
9 Cholet52340%80.284.8-4.6
10 Roanne52340%79.285.2-6.0
11 Pau-Orthez52340%78.284.4-6.2
12 Nancy62433%79.784.7-5.0
13 Limoges51420%87.489.4-2.0
14 Boulazac51420%77.085.6-8.6
15 Saint Quentin61517%88.797.3-8.7
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque5050%79.891.0-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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