PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lyon W vs La Roche W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-53
25-16 20-12 16-12 11-13
Position#7
Record11-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.5
Lyon W 🏆
France
vs
La Roche W
France
Position#12
Record7-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game75.8
FranceLFB WRound 5· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lyon W v La Roche W
06 May 2026
LYON72
LA R53
06 Mar 2026
LYON90
LA R63
28 Sep 2024
LYON89
LA R68
07 Jan 2024
LYON85
LA R59
26 Feb 2023
LYON85
LA R69
07 May 2022
LYON92
LA R77
20 Mar 2022
LYON68
LA R74
25 Nov 2020
LYON86
LA R61
05 Jan 2020
LYON82
LA R71
06 Jan 2019
LYON102
LA R70
03 Nov 2017
LYON83
LA R59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Roche W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 66
H07/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
59-92
59
92
-33
50avg 66
A14/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
64-67
64
67
-3
61avg 66
H20/02
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
90-63
90
63
+27
88avg 66
H06/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
66-80
66
80
-14
58avg 66
A24/03
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
59avg 66
H28/03
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
77-56
77
56
+21
76avg 66
H04/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
84avg 66
A11/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
81-48
81
48
+33
77avg 66
H29/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
73-58
73
58
+15
70avg 66
A02/05
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-23
21-15
21-20
11-24
20-27
8-24
20-17
22-22
21-11
6-17
15-17
18-10
17-19
28-19
27-15
22-17
17-22
14-27
13-14
10-21
18-20
12-11
23-15
29-6
22-14
18-13
8-23
24-19
25-16
20-16
19-10
20-18
25-9
20-9
16-12
18-13
18-17
13-14
24-14
141.4Avg total
74.7Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.069.5141.5+2.542%
Season at home (13)75.268.5143.7+6.662%
Season away (13)68.970.5139.4-1.523%
Last 10 (10)74.766.7141.4+8.060%
Last 5 (5)76.458.0134.4+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.075.5142.5-8.517%
vs Similar (8)71.972.1144.0-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)74.265.9140.1+8.357%
This opponent (La Roche W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
86avg 62
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
58avg 62
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
67-79
67
79
-12
42avg 62
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 62
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
63avg 62
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 62
H28/03
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 62
A04/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
61-88
61
88
-27
52avg 62
H11/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
69avg 62
H29/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 62
H02/05
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-21
27-16
21-17
18-15
20-24
13-17
15-23
13-19
24-19
12-20
18-21
10-18
19-17
19-28
15-27
16-29
24-17
16-21
14-18
18-25
26-24
21-16
18-27
12-22
15-21
16-22
19-10
19-24
16-25
16-20
10-19
13-22
26-22
14-21
19-19
25-29
14-7
17-18
6-23
150.9Avg total
68.8Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.375.8145.1-6.527%
Season at home (14)72.677.5150.1-4.936%
Season away (12)65.473.8139.2-8.417%
Last 10 (10)68.882.1150.9-13.310%
Last 5 (5)68.083.2151.2-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.475.6142.1-9.219%
vs Similar (13)71.474.3145.7-2.938%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
Lyon WLa Roche W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/02
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H20/02
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H06/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/03
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H28/03
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H04/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H29/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/05
LFB W
74.6Avg total
40.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.173.3+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.574.2+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.672.5-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.574.6+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.830.672.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.071.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (8)39.234.273.5+5.088%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.634.473.0+4.364%-
This opponent (La Roche W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La Roche WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H07/02
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/02
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A06/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/03
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H28/03
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A04/04
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H11/04
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H29/04
LFB W
Toulouse W
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H02/05
LFB W
78.0Avg total
36.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.172.0-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.339.075.3-2.720%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.268.7-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.878.0-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.636.871.4-2.131%-
vs Similar (13)35.437.572.8-2.131%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.1
50.0%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.1
30.5%
31.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
74.3%13.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Roche Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Roche W: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.617.8
48.6%
46.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.0
30.9%
31.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.3%14.0
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
WWWWLLWLLW
La Roche W
LLLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#12
+9.3
Net rating
-16.3
87.3
Offensive rating
80.0
77.9
Defensive rating
96.3
48.4%
Effective FG%
47.9%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.4%
Turnover %
21.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.5%
3-point %
30.9%
72.1%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence87.3 · 80.0Defence77.9 · 96.3Shooting48.4% · 47.9%3-point %30.5% · 30.9%Ball care19.4% · 21.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Lyon W   ■ La Roche W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lyon W wins
3
La Roche W wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26La Roche W v Lyon W61-88
06/03/26Lyon W v La Roche W90-63
06/12/25La Roche W v Lyon W70-66
05/01/25La Roche W v Lyon W78-76
28/09/24Lyon W v La Roche W89-68
07/01/24Lyon W v La Roche W85-59
23/09/23La Roche W v Lyon W66-58
26/02/23Lyon W v La Roche W85-69
01/12/22La Roche W v Lyon W73-76
13/11/22La Roche W v Lyon W62-66
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26AAngers W73-58
29/04/26HToulouse W81-48
11/04/26ALa Roche W88-61
04/04/26HAngers W77-56
28/03/26HLandes W63-67
24/03/26AChartres W66-80
06/03/26HLa Roche W90-63
20/02/26HESB Villeneuve W64-67
14/02/26AFlammes Carolo W59-92
07/02/26HBourges W86-75
La Roche Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HToulouse W62-77
29/04/26HAngers W72-84
11/04/26HLyon W61-88
04/04/26AToulouse W62-75
28/03/26HChartres W83-92
24/03/26HFlammes Carolo W70-85
06/03/26ALyon W63-90
22/02/26HLandes W67-79
15/02/26AESB Villeneuve W66-79
07/02/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%62%23%
Points / game72.075.268.9
Allowed / game69.568.570.5
Point differential+2.5+6.6-1.5
Avg total141.5143.7139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)40% (5)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Roche W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %27%36%17%
Points / game69.372.665.4
Allowed / game75.877.573.8
Point differential-6.5-4.9-8.4
Avg total145.1150.1139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W2623388%73.361.5+11.8
2 Bourges W2620677%74.866.0+8.9
3 Flammes Carolo W2617965%76.567.0+9.4
4 Landerneau Bretagne W2415962%68.868.2+0.6
5 Lattes Montpellier W26141254%72.369.5+2.8
6 ESB Villeneuve W24121250%72.272.7-0.5
7 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W24111346%72.476.5-4.1
8 Lyon W26111542%72.069.5+2.5
9 Toulouse W2691735%66.875.5-8.7
10 Chartres W2471729%69.978.5-8.6
11 La Roche W2671927%69.375.8-6.5
12 Angers W2662023%63.972.5-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lyon W2520161172
La Roche W1612121353
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.