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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 17:50
Postponed
Position#1
Record28-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record26-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.5
IsraelSuper LeagueSuper League - Final· Menora Mivtachim Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maccabi Tel Aviv v Hapoel Jerusalem
14 Nov 2026
MTA v HJE
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
MTA95
HJE84
26 Sep 2025
MTA69
HJE79
15 Jun 2025
MTA v HJE
upcoming
09 Jun 2025
MTA91
HJE88
06 Apr 2025
MTA83
HJE95
05 Jun 2024
MTA89
HJE82
19 May 2024
MTA103
HJE71
10 Mar 2024
MTA90
HJE78
01 Oct 2023
MTA71
HJE79
27 Nov 2022
MTA75
HJE80
01 May 2022
MTA89
HJE79
23 Oct 2021
MTA104
HJE80
24 Sep 2021
MTA81
HJE65
31 Dec 2020
MTA101
HJE80
29 Jun 2020
MTA86
HJE80
27 Oct 2019
MTA89
HJE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maccabi Tel AvivIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAviv
Date
Competition
Gilboa Galil
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
80avg 84
A14/04
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#4
W
105-82
105
82
+23
116avg 84
H17/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
95avg 84
H22/04
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
96-73
96
73
+23
92avg 84
H04/05
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 84
A08/05
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
98-75
98
75
+23
98avg 84
H11/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 84
H26/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 84
A30/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 84
H09/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
66avg 84
A12/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
8-17
25-16
19-19
33-24
26-17
26-19
20-22
23-27
20-21
32-14
18-18
24-20
17-19
34-21
21-13
18-20
24-11
23-15
18-19
26-21
22-19
25-13
25-22
21-21
25-15
22-24
22-21
17-20
27-17
20-22
21-14
24-22
20-24
23-23
24-19
17-9
18-21
14-18
17-18
166.2Avg total
89.5Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.480.1169.5+9.385%
Season at home (17)91.280.5171.6+10.794%
Season away (16)87.579.6167.1+7.975%
Last 10 (10)89.576.7166.2+12.890%
Last 5 (5)87.678.8166.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.192.1181.3-3.043%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.084.6168.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (15)91.678.7170.3+12.9100%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemIsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#10
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
290avg 82
A16/04
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
87avg 82
H22/04
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
81-58
81
58
+23
76avg 82
H02/05
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
88avg 82
A07/05
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
87-61
87
61
+26
78avg 82
H10/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 82
A23/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 82
H28/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 82
A03/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
88-91
88
91
-3
75avg 82
A09/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
60avg 82
H12/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-14
25-16
13-21
28-26
24-23
23-19
19-21
18-10
18-16
26-18
19-14
20-22
22-26
21-22
24-17
19-18
22-16
21-11
25-16
18-24
26-25
29-15
12-24
20-21
29-14
22-23
27-29
19-20
24-23
11-25
32-15
22-24
24-20
23-23
19-24
9-17
21-18
18-14
18-17
169.8Avg total
88.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.878.5166.3+9.376%
Season at home (17)88.377.0165.3+11.388%
Season away (17)87.380.1167.4+7.265%
Last 10 (10)88.081.8169.8+6.270%
Last 5 (5)86.884.6171.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.586.5167.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)89.382.4171.8+6.967%
vs Weaker (18)86.378.3164.6+7.972%
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Maccabi Tel AvivHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maccabi Tel AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gilboa Galil
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#4
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H17/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H22/04
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H04/05
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A08/05
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H11/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H26/05
Super League
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/05
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A12/06
Super League
82.4Avg total
43.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.285.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.842.886.6+1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.684.0+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.682.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.881.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.045.688.6-2.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker (15)44.340.584.9+3.860%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galil Elyon
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/04
Super League
Nes Ziona
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H22/04
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H02/05
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/05
Super League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H10/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A23/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H12/06
Super League
82.5Avg total
42.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.439.082.3+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.536.378.8+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)44.241.785.9+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.382.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.037.573.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.140.684.7+3.667%-
vs Weaker (18)43.238.181.3+5.167%-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maccabi Tel Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maccabi Tel Aviv: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.0
57.3%
51.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.4
34.1%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.216.7
82.7%
73.8%16.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.4
50.7%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.7
33.3%
34.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.4
71.3%
73.8%15.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LWWWWWWWWW
Hapoel Jerusalem
WLWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+17.3
Net rating
+9.0
115.4
Offensive rating
114.7
98.1
Defensive rating
105.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
50.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
33.3%
74.2%
Assist %
55.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 114.7Defence98.1 · 105.7Shooting54.7% · 50.4%3-point %34.1% · 33.3%Ball care19.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds35.7% · 38.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Maccabi Tel Aviv   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25AHapoel Jerusalem74-77 OT
09/06/25HHapoel Jerusalem91-88
30/05/25AHapoel Holon85-73
26/05/25HHapoel Holon90-81
11/05/25HNes Ziona98-75
08/05/25ANes Ziona83-65
04/05/25HNes Ziona96-73
22/04/25HIroni Kiryat Ata93-80
17/04/25HBnei Herzliya105-82
14/04/25AGilboa Galil80-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv77-74 OT
09/06/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
03/06/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-83
28/05/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv98-87
23/05/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv85-88
10/05/25HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan87-61
07/05/25AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan102-100 OT
02/05/25HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan81-58
22/04/25HNes Ziona94-89
16/04/25AGalil Elyon82-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Tel Aviv
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%94%75%
Points / game89.491.287.5
Allowed / game80.180.579.6
Point differential+9.3+10.7+7.9
Avg total169.5171.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%53%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%19%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Super League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %76%88%65%
Points / game87.888.387.3
Allowed / game78.577.080.1
Point differential+9.3+11.3+7.2
Avg total166.3165.3167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%59%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)83% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv3328585%89.480.1+9.3
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv3227584%90.279.0+11.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem3426876%87.878.5+9.3
4 Bnei Herzliya31171455%88.089.5-1.5
5 Hapoel Holon33171652%82.281.5+0.7
6 Hapoel Beer Sheva28131546%83.784.6-0.9
7 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan29131645%84.984.3+0.6
8 Gilboa Galil30131743%81.782.6-1.0
9 Nes Ziona31131842%83.185.5-2.4
10 Galil Elyon27111641%77.081.1-4.1
11 Ironi Kiryat Ata32131941%81.386.3-5.0
12 H. Afula32122038%82.783.7-1.0
13 Elitzur Maccabi Netanya32112134%79.585.3-5.8
14 Hapoel Haifa3242812%83.995.0-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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