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Mackay Meteors vs Logan Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 105-97
34-24 27-26 23-21 21-26
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game94.5
vs
Position#10
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game94.3
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Mackay Meteors v Logan Thunder
11 Jul 2025
MACK105
LOGA97
03 Jun 2023
MACK83
LOGA96
17 Jul 2021
MACK89
LOGA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mackay Meteors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mackay MeteorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
94-121
94
121
-27
A17/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A18/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
108-89
108
89
+19
H23/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
H31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H14/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A20/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A21/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H27/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
A04/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-41
26-28
21-27
27-25
26-26
20-23
23-21
22-24
27-18
24-22
34-19
23-30
18-26
27-25
19-18
30-25
18-22
27-19
24-26
26-22
17-33
30-28
30-14
26-17
21-23
14-18
23-16
25-27
26-28
17-25
21-18
22-27
25-27
26-23
23-17
24-25
14-22
22-20
19-27
35-24
191.1Avg total
95.6Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.494.5190.9+1.958%
Season at home (6)99.793.0192.7+6.783%
Season away (6)93.296.0189.2-2.833%
Last 10 (10)95.695.5191.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)92.091.8183.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)93.589.5183.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)95.194.0189.1+1.156%
vs Weaker (19)101.888.4190.3+13.484%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#1
L
109-110
109
110
-1
H02/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A03/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
127-116 OT
127
116
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
93-108
93
108
-15
H05/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
27-22
27-32
26-29
24-16
24-21
15-17
27-23
24-26
21-23
24-21
16-19
24-23
25-31
21-13
16-21
22-32
20-14
21-20
21-20
25-28
21-24
32-25
26-27
22-28
32-19
34-20
22-31
25-26
19-20
27-22
19-19
32-21
19-20
14-17
28-26
30-36
19-31
17-22
27-19
191.0Avg total
96.7Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)96.794.3191.0+2.450%
Season at home (6)101.3101.2202.5+0.233%
Season away (4)89.884.0173.8+5.875%
Last 10 (10)96.794.3191.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)102.698.6201.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.896.6189.4-3.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.293.0183.2-2.860%
vs Weaker (15)91.081.1172.1+9.980%
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Mackay MeteorsLogan Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mackay MeteorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
46-69
46
69
-23
A17/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A18/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H23/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H31/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/06
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A20/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H27/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A04/07
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A06/07
NBL1 North
94.2Avg total
44.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.446.696.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.945.695.5+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)49.047.596.5+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.549.794.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.449.491.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.051.599.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)48.447.295.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker (19)50.145.795.8+4.368%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#1
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H02/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A03/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H05/07
NBL1 North
97.2Avg total
48.4Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.391.3+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.844.091.8+3.871%-
Last 30 away (13)46.144.790.8+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)48.448.897.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)48.850.699.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)48.252.6100.8-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.445.489.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker (15)48.440.889.2+7.680%-
This opponent (Mackay Meteors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mackay Meteors wins
2
Logan Thunder wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25ACairns Marlins90-93
04/07/25ATownsville Heat98-92
27/06/25HIpswich Force86-98
21/06/25ASouthern District83-84
20/06/25ABrisbane Capitals103-92
14/06/25HSouth West Metro Pirates95-89
31/05/25HCairns Marlins108-103 OT
23/05/25HGold Coast Rollers108-89
18/05/25ANorthside Wizards91-94
17/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix94-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix93-108
28/06/25ANorthside Wizards93-84
14/06/25AIpswich Force90-87
07/06/25HGold Coast Rollers110-98
31/05/25HIpswich Force127-116 OT
23/05/25HTownsville Heat84-86
17/05/25AGold Coast Rollers86-88
10/05/25HCairns Marlins85-89
03/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates90-77
02/05/25HSouthern District109-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mackay Meteors
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game96.499.793.2
Allowed / game94.593.096.0
Point differential+1.9+6.7-2.8
Avg total190.9192.7189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%33%75%
Points / game96.7101.389.8
Allowed / game94.3101.284.0
Point differential+2.4+0.2+5.8
Avg total191.0202.5173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals107370%100.590.6+9.9
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix128467%91.787.0+4.7
3 Mackay Meteors127558%96.494.5+1.9
4 Gold Coast Rollers116555%96.193.3+2.8
5 Ipswich Force116555%94.296.0-1.8
6 Logan Thunder105550%96.794.3+2.4
7 Northside Wizards126650%86.786.2+0.5
8 South West Metro Pirates115645%91.392.5-1.2
9 Southern District115645%92.696.7-4.1
10 Rockhampton Rockets104640%93.495.7-2.3
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins103730%87.099.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mackay Meteors34272321105
Logan Thunder2426212697
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