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Maia vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-85
24-31 18-18 17-15 20-21
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#1
Record18-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalProligaProliga - Semi-finals· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2023-24
Meetings · Maia v CA Queluz
20 Apr 2024
MAIA79
CA Q85
16 Mar 2024
MAIA68
CA Q80
05 Feb 2022
MAIA68
CA Q78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
45avg 64
A27/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
91-68
91
68
+23
86avg 64
H04/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 64
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 64
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 64
A13/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
17-16
14-22
24-13
27-20
24-18
26-21
14-9
13-23
19-19
18-23
16-21
13-24
21-14
27-16
11-15
22-29
20-16
14-18
26-19
18-19
16-14
22-20
24-20
21-16
19-16
12-28
16-20
23-23
15-17
18-25
15-18
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
151.0Avg total
73.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.176.5152.6-0.468%
Season at home (11)77.176.4153.5+0.773%
Season away (11)75.176.6151.7-1.564%
Last 10 (10)73.277.8151.0-4.650%
Last 5 (5)69.480.6150.0-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.882.0152.8-11.244%
vs Similar (11)79.177.1156.2+2.073%
vs Weaker (9)90.281.7171.9+8.678%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
68avg 77
A27/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 77
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
58avg 77
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
60avg 77
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 77
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 77
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
80-68
80
68
+12
81avg 77
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
81-54
81
54
+27
80avg 77
H24/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
86avg 77
A30/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H13/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
19-24
23-23
21-26
21-20
20-22
14-13
24-21
24-13
14-21
16-27
15-11
19-30
24-17
15-27
17-18
17-20
19-19
16-18
30-20
12-24
19-17
22-18
16-15
16-21
16-19
28-12
20-16
20-12
15-10
24-16
22-16
14-24
27-18
28-21
21-23
16-15
21-18
23-11
19-19
155.3Avg total
78.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.876.0159.7+7.882%
Season at home (11)84.972.9157.8+12.091%
Season away (11)82.679.0161.6+3.673%
Last 10 (10)78.976.4155.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)79.869.0148.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.091.8184.8+1.225%
vs Similar (7)79.383.3162.6-4.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.274.6158.8+9.783%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.0+2.0
MaiaCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A27/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
73.6Avg total
35.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.478.8+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.177.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.780.0-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.173.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.670.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.738.475.1-1.833%-
vs Similar (11)37.239.877.0-2.627%-
vs Weaker (9)45.640.285.8+5.389%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A27/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H24/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/04
Proliga
76.8Avg total
37.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.881.0+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.679.5+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.082.4-1.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.539.376.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.670.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.239.885.0+5.575%-
vs Similar (7)40.646.086.6-5.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.337.177.4+3.256%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.1
46.2%
50.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
31.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.510.8
65.5%
69.3%10.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.7
52.7%
50.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.5
30.6%
31.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.712.1
61.4%
69.3%12.1
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LWLLWWWLWL
CA Queluz
WWWWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#1
-10.7
Net rating
+3.7
92.9
Offensive rating
99.1
103.6
Defensive rating
95.4
45.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
20.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.2%
3-point %
30.6%
44.1%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 99.1Defence103.6 · 95.4Shooting45.8% · 49.6%3-point %30.2% · 30.6%Ball care20.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Maia   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maia wins
3
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Maia v CA Queluz68-80
18/02/24CA Queluz v Maia69-72
05/03/22CA Queluz v Maia88-76
05/02/22Maia v CA Queluz68-78
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
23/03/24AGalitos Barreiro71-83
16/03/24HCA Queluz68-80
10/03/24HCAB Madeira80-73
02/03/24ASanto Andre89-82 OT
18/02/24ACA Queluz72-69
10/02/24HGalitos Barreiro66-86
04/02/24HSampaense91-68
27/01/24ASangalhos67-70
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HSangalhos79-63
30/03/24AIlliabum90-86
24/03/24HBraga81-54
16/03/24AMaia80-68
10/03/24ASangalhos69-74
02/03/24HIlliabum82-77
25/02/24ABraga75-92
18/02/24HMaia69-72
04/02/24HCAB Madeira79-76
27/01/24AGalitos Barreiro85-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game76.177.175.1
Allowed / game76.576.476.6
Point differential-0.4+0.7-1.5
Avg total152.6153.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%9%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
CA Queluz
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%91%73%
Points / game83.884.982.6
Allowed / game76.072.979.0
Point differential+7.8+12.0+3.6
Avg total159.7157.8161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz2218482%83.876.0+7.8
2 Galitos Barreiro2217577%83.276.2+7.0
3 Maia2215768%76.176.5-0.4
4 CAB Madeira2213959%82.076.8+5.2
5 Santo Andre22121055%80.678.0+2.6
6 Vasco Da Gama22121055%85.082.5+2.5
7 Sangalhos22121055%74.773.3+1.4
8 Barreirense22121055%74.876.0-1.1
9 Braga24131154%77.674.6+3.0
10 Illiabum24131154%76.874.2+2.6
11 Galitos Aveiro22101245%76.275.7+0.5
12 Imortal B2291341%75.576.6-1.0
13 Benfica Lisboa B2291341%72.076.3-4.2
14 Academica2251723%63.274.3-11.0
15 Ginasio Olhanense2241818%76.983.4-6.5
16 Sampaense2241818%73.682.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2418172079
CA Queluz3118152185
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