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Maia vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-68
27-20 24-18 26-21 14-9
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game75.0
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#16
Record1-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game87.6
PortugalProligaRound 14· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2023-24
Meetings · Maia v Sampaense
24 Apr 2027
MAIA v SAMP
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
MAIA79
SAMP68
01 Feb 2025
MAIA73
SAMP79
16 Nov 2024
MAIA83
SAMP75
04 Feb 2024
MAIA91
SAMP68
18 Dec 2022
MAIA74
SAMP69
16 Dec 2021
MAIA85
SAMP62
21 Apr 2017
MAIA81
SAMP91
12 Nov 2016
MAIA79
SAMP68
24 Jan 2015
MAIA82
SAMP84
06 Apr 2014
MAIA72
SAMP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 64
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
63avg 64
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 64
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 64
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
68avg 64
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 64
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 64
H13/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
45avg 64
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 64
H20/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
67-70
67
70
-3
45avg 64
A27/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-28
16-14
19-13
19-22
15-23
28-17
27-15
23-12
13-19
16-13
23-25
16-22
18-14
26-22
22-18
38-10
16-20
18-21
14-30
22-17
17-22
26-16
11-17
18-28
14-15
26-14
20-17
20-28
21-26
13-25
14-19
17-20
17-22
20-20
19-26
12-19
17-16
14-22
24-13
154.5Avg total
76.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.675.0152.6+2.677%
Season at home (6)76.575.7152.2+0.883%
Season away (7)78.674.4153.0+4.171%
Last 10 (10)76.977.6154.5-0.770%
Last 5 (5)72.480.4152.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.682.6158.2-7.040%
vs Similar (13)78.977.4156.3+1.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.780.7167.5+6.073%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 65
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
63-88
63
88
-25
53avg 65
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
68avg 65
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 65
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
87-61
87
61
+26
86avg 65
A16/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
57-88
57
88
-31
48avg 65
A06/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 65
H13/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
63avg 65
A20/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 65
H27/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
25-20
19-28
16-22
20-28
19-19
13-20
11-21
25-18
14-21
20-21
11-20
22-19
23-15
17-28
15-27
23-17
19-22
16-23
25-21
20-14
17-15
26-15
24-17
12-24
17-19
20-14
8-31
14-19
13-29
28-25
17-17
20-27
15-23
16-13
20-13
22-18
17-25
23-22
19-21
160.2Avg total
75.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.287.6163.8-11.48%
Season at home (7)75.790.3166.0-14.60%
Season away (6)76.884.5161.3-7.717%
Last 10 (10)75.484.8160.2-9.410%
Last 5 (5)73.680.2153.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.287.9160.1-15.80%
vs Similar (11)88.785.8174.5+2.955%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -4.4-4.4
MaiaSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
Illiabum
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H20/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A27/01
Proliga
77.2Avg total
37.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.279.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.478.2+1.446%-
Last 30 away (17)40.339.880.1+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.977.2-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.677.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.238.278.4+2.040%-
vs Similar (13)38.339.577.8-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.639.582.2+3.173%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braga
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/01
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H13/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A20/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H27/01
Proliga
80.0Avg total
38.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.382.8-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.444.483.8-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)39.641.981.6-2.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.780.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.442.676.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.442.278.5-5.832%-
vs Similar (11)44.945.290.1-0.345%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.018.8
44.8%
50.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
31.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
69.3%13.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.9
52.4%
50.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.1
32.4%
31.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.8
77.1%
69.3%12.8
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
LLLWWWWWWW
Sampaense
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
-1.8
Net rating
-14.4
98.8
Offensive rating
96.2
100.6
Defensive rating
110.6
46.2%
Effective FG%
50.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
20.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
32.4%
45.6%
Assist %
49.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 96.2Defence100.6 · 110.6Shooting46.2% · 50.9%3-point %32.4% · 32.4%Ball care20.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds33.9% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Maia   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
6
Sampaense wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Sampaense v Maia77-89
18/12/22Maia v Sampaense74-69
22/10/22Sampaense v Maia91-81
16/12/21Maia v Sampaense85-62
09/10/21Sampaense v Maia93-77
21/04/17Maia v Sampaense81-91
12/03/17Sampaense v Maia95-88
29/01/17Sampaense v Maia89-74
12/11/16Maia v Sampaense79-68
24/01/15Maia v Sampaense82-84
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ASangalhos67-70
20/01/24HIlliabum73-88
14/01/24ACD Povoa68-98
13/01/24HVasco Da Gama78-74
06/01/24HGalitos Aveiro76-72
16/12/23ABraga86-81
09/12/23ALusitania82-76
07/12/23HAcademica75-69
02/12/23ASampaense89-77
25/11/23HSangalhos75-71
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HGalitos Aveiro81-86
20/01/24ASangalhos71-76
13/01/24HBraga72-90
06/01/24AIlliabum57-88
16/12/23AAcademica87-61
08/12/23HVasco Da Gama90-95 OT
02/12/23HMaia77-89
25/11/23AGalitos Aveiro70-80
18/11/23HSangalhos63-88
04/11/23ABraga86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL77%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%83%71%
Points / game77.676.578.6
Allowed / game75.075.774.4
Point differential+2.6+0.8+4.1
Avg total152.6152.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%0%17%
Points / game76.275.776.8
Allowed / game87.690.384.5
Point differential-11.4-14.6-7.7
Avg total163.8166.0161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz1312192%87.677.6+10.0
2 Braga1310377%80.872.8+8.0
3 Galitos Barreiro1310377%82.778.2+4.5
4 Maia1310377%77.675.0+2.6
5 Illiabum139469%79.770.4+9.3
6 CAB Madeira138562%84.278.5+5.7
7 Sangalhos138562%75.272.0+3.2
8 Santo Andre137654%84.181.6+2.5
9 Vasco Da Gama137654%83.781.2+2.5
10 Barreirense137654%77.878.8-1.0
11 Galitos Aveiro135838%75.776.9-1.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B134931%72.979.1-6.2
13 Ginasio Olhanense1321115%76.383.8-7.5
14 Imortal B1321115%72.180.0-7.9
15 Academica1321115%64.577.4-12.9
16 Sampaense131128%76.287.6-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2724261491
Sampaense201821968
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