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Maitland Mustangs W vs Central Coast W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 82-73
18-17 12-22 16-17 36-17
Position#7
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game78.4
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Maitland Mustangs W v Central Coast W
11 May 2025
MAIT82
CENT73
24 Jun 2023
MAIT77
CENT67
02 Jul 2022
MAIT65
CENT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland Mustangs W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Coast W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
52-94
52
94
-42
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
13-24
9-24
19-19
24-21
10-24
13-16
13-14
13-30
17-20
14-25
8-19
18-11
17-14
25-21
20-10
23-32
15-15
30-19
14-27
17-18
25-15
16-13
12-12
28-20
21-16
22-21
20-14
29-15
20-16
19-22
7-18
17-20
15-21
20-21
24-25
16-22
24-24
15-12
20-10
148.6Avg total
72.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.472.0150.4+6.471%
Season at home (4)79.572.5152.0+7.075%
Season away (3)77.071.3148.3+5.767%
Last 10 (10)72.676.0148.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)77.471.0148.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.380.1147.4-12.824%
vs Similar (5)70.671.0141.6-0.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.664.1137.8+9.575%
This opponent (Central Coast W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W. W
#4
L
59-86
59
86
-27
H13/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H20/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
A28/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
47-71
47
71
-24
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
8-24
14-22
26-23
23-18
17-16
21-19
19-21
16-22
13-25
13-32
28-24
19-17
21-27
21-21
18-25
6-22
10-16
17-18
14-15
14-16
14-28
11-18
20-18
16-17
12-23
12-21
18-22
22-17
13-13
7-15
11-22
18-20
16-18
13-16
23-15
13-27
19-21
22-26
20-15
146.1Avg total
64.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)62.978.4141.3-15.614%
Season at home (4)59.580.8140.2-21.20%
Season away (3)67.375.3142.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)64.981.2146.1-16.320%
Last 5 (5)62.877.6140.4-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)65.884.2149.9-18.48%
vs Similar (8)75.070.1145.1+4.962%
vs Weaker (9)85.068.1153.1+16.9100%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Maitland Mustangs WCentral Coast W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutherland Sharks W
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
78.4Avg total
38.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.737.571.3-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.538.472.9-3.929%-
Last 30 away (16)33.136.869.9-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.878.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.479.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.739.571.2-7.818%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.433.170.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Central Coast W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W. W
#4
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H13/07
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H20/07
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/07
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
16-38
16
38
-22
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H13/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
70.5Avg total
30.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.275.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.974.5-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.336.575.8+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.140.470.5-10.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.071.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.842.474.2-10.515%-
vs Similar (8)39.236.675.9+2.662%-
vs Weaker (9)45.430.375.8+15.189%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland Mustangs W wins
3
Central Coast W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HCanberra W75-68
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W76-87
27/04/25ASydney Comets W75-71
25/04/25HHornsby S. W91-71
12/04/25HHills Hornets W70-58
05/04/25HAlbury W82-93
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks W80-56
13/07/24ANewcastle Falcons W52-94
07/07/24HIllawarra Hawks W60-75
06/07/24HSutherland Sharks W65-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HInner West Bulls W74-89
03/05/25AIllawarra Hawks W70-69
27/04/25ABankstown Bruins W53-67
13/04/25HNorths Bears W58-83
12/04/25HSydney Comets W59-80
05/04/25HNewcastle Falcons W47-71
29/03/25AHornsby S. W79-90
28/07/24AManly W. W70-103
20/07/24HSydney Comets W80-74
13/07/24HManly W. W59-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game78.479.577.0
Allowed / game72.072.571.3
Point differential+6.4+7.0+5.7
Avg total150.4152.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Coast W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%0%33%
Points / game62.959.567.3
Allowed / game78.480.875.3
Point differential-15.6-21.2-8.0
Avg total141.3140.2142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norths Bears W880100%92.166.4+25.8
2 Newcastle Falcons W770100%85.760.7+25.0
3 BA CoE W76186%83.367.7+15.6
4 Albury W86275%86.881.8+5.0
5 Manly W. W75271%80.364.0+16.3
6 Maitland Mustangs W75271%78.472.0+6.4
7 Inner West Bulls W64267%81.584.3-2.8
8 Hornsby S. W73443%80.683.3-2.7
9 Canberra W73443%76.681.0-4.4
10 Sydney Comets W83538%66.870.9-4.1
11 Penrith P. W93633%66.772.9-6.2
12 Illawarra Hawks W82625%68.480.1-11.8
13 Sutherland Sharks W71614%72.787.0-14.3
14 Central Coast W71614%62.978.4-15.6
15 Hills Hornets W71614%69.184.7-15.6
16 Bankstown Bruins W81712%65.180.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland Mustangs W1812163682
Central Coast W1722171773
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