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Maitland Mustangs W vs Norths Bears W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 75-87
22-23 22-19 10-23 21-22
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game68.7
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Maitland Mustangs W v Norths Bears W
01 Jun 2025
MAIT75
NORT87
26 Mar 2023
MAIT50
NORT73
17 Jul 2022
MAIT60
NORT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norths Bears W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A17/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
H24/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
15-15
30-19
14-27
17-18
25-15
16-13
12-12
28-20
21-16
22-21
20-14
29-15
20-16
19-22
7-18
17-20
15-21
20-21
24-25
16-22
24-24
15-12
20-10
18-17
12-22
16-17
36-17
17-30
17-19
10-24
20-20
23-12
18-17
10-20
12-14
13-16
24-26
15-16
19-20
151.1Avg total
75.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.574.2149.7+1.455%
Season at home (6)77.571.8149.3+5.767%
Season away (5)73.277.0150.2-3.840%
Last 10 (10)75.176.0151.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)71.476.0147.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.781.9149.6-14.120%
vs Similar (4)71.571.0142.5+0.525%
vs Weaker (11)73.466.5139.9+6.864%
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths Bears WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W. W
#1
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
83-58
83
58
+25
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
113-69
113
69
+44
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
106-75
106
75
+31
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
113-67
113
67
+46
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
9-13
19-23
27-15
28-22
31-11
17-26
25-3
17-16
23-12
21-12
22-18
20-22
21-12
25-9
18-21
28-14
31-14
26-19
28-22
30-22
21-22
22-17
33-14
27-20
19-14
23-25
25-18
17-19
24-18
22-15
25-22
22-16
34-25
34-13
23-13
16-22
23-28
15-11
28-23
164.5Avg total
94.1Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.768.7161.5+24.091%
Season at home (4)99.070.5169.5+28.5100%
Season away (7)89.167.7156.9+21.486%
Last 10 (10)94.170.4164.5+23.790%
Last 5 (5)96.675.4172.0+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)73.269.0142.2+4.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.164.0151.2+23.192%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +8.5+8.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +8.5+8.5
Maitland Mustangs WNorths Bears W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury W
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Manly W. W
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A17/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/05
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
78.5Avg total
39.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.637.972.6-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.437.973.3-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)33.938.071.9-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.378.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.740.773.3-8.020%-
vs Similar (4)35.538.273.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker (11)37.034.171.1+2.955%-
This opponent (Norths Bears W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norths Bears WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W. W
#1
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A05/04
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A13/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sutherland Sharks W
#10
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H27/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/05
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A24/05
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A31/05
NBL1 East Women
81.3Avg total
45.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.131.573.6+10.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.131.976.1+12.280%-
Last 30 away (15)40.131.171.1+9.080%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.981.3+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.287.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.031.067.0+5.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.331.674.9+11.784%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
5
Norths Bears W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25AHornsby S. W71-78
24/05/25HPenrith P. W65-68 OT
17/05/25AManly W. W64-93
11/05/25HCentral Coast W82-73
10/05/25HCanberra W75-68
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W76-87
27/04/25ASydney Comets W75-71
25/04/25HHornsby S. W91-71
12/04/25HHills Hornets W70-58
05/04/25HAlbury W82-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W82-84
24/05/25AInner West Bulls W113-67
17/05/25HBA CoE W88-74
10/05/25HPenrith P. W94-77
03/05/25AHills Hornets W106-75
27/04/25HSutherland Sharks W113-69
25/04/25ASydney Comets W84-64
13/04/25ACentral Coast W83-58
12/04/25HCanberra W101-62
05/04/25AManly W. W77-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game75.577.573.2
Allowed / game74.271.877.0
Point differential+1.4+5.7-3.8
Avg total149.7149.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Norths Bears W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL91%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%100%86%
Points / game92.799.089.1
Allowed / game68.770.567.7
Point differential+24.0+28.5+21.4
Avg total161.5169.5156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Newcastle Falcons W1211192%84.265.9+18.2
2 Norths Bears W1110191%92.768.7+24.0
3 Manly W. W119282%81.861.4+20.5
4 BA CoE W1310377%82.471.8+10.5
5 Albury W128467%88.280.6+7.6
6 Maitland Mustangs W116555%75.574.2+1.4
7 Inner West Bulls W126650%81.888.5-6.7
8 Hornsby S. W115645%78.880.5-1.6
9 Sydney Comets W125742%71.273.7-2.4
10 Bankstown Bruins W135838%74.579.2-4.8
11 Penrith P. W135838%68.274.8-6.6
12 Canberra W114736%73.281.8-8.6
13 Sutherland Sharks W124833%72.483.2-10.8
14 Illawarra Hawks W103730%68.575.6-7.1
15 Hills Hornets W1221017%69.383.6-14.2
16 Central Coast W121118%63.180.6-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland Mustangs W2222102175
Norths Bears W2319232287
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