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Malbas Malmo W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-66
26-16 14-20 12-20 19-10
Position#8
Record12-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game76.9
Malbas Malmo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game73.2
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#12
W
109-66
109
66
+43
108avg 67
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
44-86
44
86
-42
27avg 67
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
75-59
75
59
+16
75avg 67
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 67
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
61-44
61
44
+17
59avg 67
H08/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
61avg 67
H12/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
46avg 67
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
92-85 OT
92
85
+7
78avg 67
A24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
69-84
69
84
-15
57avg 67
H01/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
62avg 67
A07/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
28-21
19-15
29-15
13-22
16-25
6-16
9-23
14-21
26-13
12-4
23-21
24-24
15-14
11-27
17-20
20-17
22-14
13-6
6-7
21-16
12-19
10-25
25-19
11-18
19-20
17-10
20-14
16-25
14-16
22-6
17-22
15-19
14-27
14-11
26-27
20-9
14-20
15-20
17-20
143.7Avg total
71.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.776.9151.5-2.252%
Season at home (11)76.972.7149.6+4.264%
Season away (12)72.680.7153.2-8.142%
Last 10 (10)71.871.9143.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)72.475.8148.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.583.2154.8-11.723%
vs Similar (5)75.474.4149.8+1.060%
vs Weaker (12)83.954.0137.9+29.9100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 79
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
82-67
82
67
+15
68avg 79
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 79
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
58avg 79
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 79
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
67-62
67
62
+5
52avg 79
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
84avg 79
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 79
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
94-61
94
61
+33
89avg 79
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 79
A07/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
25-15
22-23
23-25
21-18
16-15
17-12
28-22
20-18
21-24
19-24
27-16
27-23
15-20
15-23
16-25
26-21
17-17
21-19
19-20
19-11
13-16
18-6
17-29
31-11
17-15
16-18
25-19
23-16
20-19
15-28
17-27
20-16
24-13
32-13
18-19
23-16
23-21
36-14
24-25
159.2Avg total
84.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.573.2158.7+12.374%
Season at home (12)86.172.3158.4+13.875%
Season away (11)84.874.1158.9+10.773%
Last 10 (10)84.075.2159.2+8.880%
Last 5 (5)86.270.4156.6+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.2161.2-9.240%
vs Similar (12)78.774.9153.6+3.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.268.8156.9+19.485%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
Malbas Malmo WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#12
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H08/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H12/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A21/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/03
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/03
Basketligan W
74.2Avg total
36.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.875.8+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.475.9+7.167%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.175.7+1.460%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.574.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.237.869.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.442.278.5-5.838%-
vs Similar (5)36.233.469.6+2.860%-
vs Weaker (12)45.529.875.3+15.792%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Basketligan W
76.0Avg total
41.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.576.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.177.0+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.236.976.1+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.576.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.630.873.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
vs Similar (12)38.436.675.0+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.833.976.7+8.885%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.2
43.4%
46.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.7
25.3%
31.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws24.516.7
68.2%
72.5%16.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
46.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
31.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.318.6
76.5%
72.5%18.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
LLWWLWLWLW
Hogsbo W
WWLWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#3
+3.7
Net rating
+9.4
76.0
Offensive rating
90.2
72.4
Defensive rating
80.9
41.5%
Effective FG%
48.5%
43.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.3%
3-point %
28.8%
66.5%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence76.0 · 90.2Defence72.4 · 80.9Shooting41.5% · 48.5%3-point %25.3% · 28.8%Ball care19.2% · 17.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
1
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Hogsbo W v Malbas Malmo W105-70
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AAIK Basket W66-69
01/03/26HNorrkoping W69-84
24/02/26ALund W92-85 OT
21/02/26ABrahe W67-62
12/02/26HOstersund W68-79
08/02/26HRIG Lulea W61-44
31/01/26AAlvik W67-85
24/01/26ARIG Lulea W75-59
23/01/26ALulea W44-86
11/01/26HVisby W109-66
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ABrahe W106-76
01/03/26HAlvik W94-61
28/02/26HUppsala W75-90
21/02/26HVisby W89-63
14/02/26AAlvik W67-62
11/02/26ALund W83-77
07/02/26HNorrkoping W73-91
30/01/26HLulea W87-82
24/01/26AVisby W82-67
11/01/26ANorrkoping W84-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game74.776.972.6
Allowed / game76.972.780.7
Point differential-2.2+4.2-8.1
Avg total151.5149.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%75%73%
Points / game85.586.184.8
Allowed / game73.272.374.1
Point differential+12.3+13.8+10.7
Avg total158.7158.4158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2422292%90.864.0+26.8
2 Uppsala W2318578%80.569.9+10.6
3 Hogsbo W2317674%85.573.2+12.3
4 Ostersund W2315865%82.474.2+8.2
5 AIK Basket W2315865%78.973.6+5.3
6 Sodertalje W2314961%80.369.2+11.1
7 Norrkoping W23131057%81.973.3+8.6
8 Malbas Malmo W23121152%74.776.9-2.2
9 Lund W2491538%77.978.8-0.9
10 Alvik W2481633%72.075.7-3.7
11 Brahe W2471729%67.278.1-10.8
12 RIG Lulea W231224%53.386.4-33.2
13 Visby W241234%57.889.1-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W2614121971
Hogsbo W1620201066
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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