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Hogsbo W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-61
20-16 24-13 32-13 18-19
Position#3
Record15-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game73.6
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Alvik W
Sweden
Position#10
Record8-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game74.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Alvik W
10 Oct 2026
HOGS67
ALVI78
01 Mar 2026
HOGS94
ALVI61
28 Sep 2024
HOGS106
ALVI71
14 Oct 2023
HOGS74
ALVI61
11 Mar 2023
HOGS59
ALVI81
26 Feb 2022
HOGS60
ALVI75
07 Apr 2021
HOGS65
ALVI75
24 Oct 2020
HOGS70
ALVI72
07 Dec 2019
HOGS84
ALVI68
13 Mar 2019
HOGS81
ALVI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
105-70
105
70
+35
99avg 79
H13/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
82avg 79
H20/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 79
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
82-67
82
67
+15
68avg 79
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
90avg 79
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
58avg 79
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 79
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
67-62
67
62
+5
52avg 79
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
89-63
89
63
+26
84avg 79
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
71avg 79
H28/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
26-15
29-20
25-14
19-17
19-18
23-14
25-21
14-20
25-15
22-23
23-25
21-18
16-15
17-12
28-22
20-18
21-24
19-24
27-16
27-23
15-20
15-23
16-25
26-21
17-17
21-19
19-20
19-11
13-16
18-6
17-29
31-11
17-15
16-18
25-19
23-16
20-19
15-28
17-27
158.6Avg total
83.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.173.6157.7+10.571%
Season at home (11)85.473.4158.7+12.073%
Season away (10)82.773.9156.6+8.870%
Last 10 (10)83.175.5158.6+7.680%
Last 5 (5)77.476.6154.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.2161.2-9.240%
vs Similar (12)78.774.9153.6+3.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.169.0156.1+18.185%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 68
A20/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
97-36
97
36
+61
106avg 68
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
67-83
67
83
-16
60avg 68
H10/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
no box
H17/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
73-93
73
93
-20
59avg 68
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
82avg 68
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 68
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
66avg 68
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
62-67
62
67
-5
60avg 68
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
58-91
58
91
-33
44avg 68
H21/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
14-19
22-21
21-26
18-13
27-5
29-6
23-12
11-13
25-21
16-26
15-23
17-11
17-23
15-29
16-15
23-23
15-26
15-20
20-24
24-24
14-15
27-11
20-17
11-9
21-12
27-23
34-19
20-21
12-31
16-16
21-20
11-19
16-13
6-18
29-17
15-21
12-25
14-29
17-16
150.3Avg total
75.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.974.4148.3-0.638%
Season at home (11)68.371.5139.7-3.236%
Season away (10)80.077.7157.7+2.340%
Last 10 (10)75.474.9150.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)73.475.2148.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.582.1148.6-15.612%
vs Similar (3)84.085.7169.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (10)83.158.8141.9+24.3100%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
Hogsbo WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A24/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A11/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/02
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
Basketligan W
76.4Avg total
41.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.676.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.377.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.936.975.7+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.076.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.875.4+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.080.0-6.020%-
vs Similar (12)38.436.675.0+1.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.434.276.5+8.285%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A20/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
45-18
45
18
+27
A03/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H10/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A21/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A07/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H11/02
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H14/02
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H21/02
Basketligan W
71.2Avg total
35.1Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.172.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.637.970.5-5.431%-
Last 30 away (14)36.538.374.8-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.171.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.069.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.441.272.6-9.818%-
vs Similar (3)35.742.778.3-7.033%-
vs Weaker (10)39.131.470.5+7.760%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.8
52.5%
46.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.3
29.2%
31.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
72.5%16.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.2
46.1%
46.4%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
31.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
72.5%13.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LWWWLWWWWW
Alvik W
LLLWWLLLWW
#3
League position
#10
+8.9
Net rating
+0.5
92.0
Offensive rating
88.7
83.1
Defensive rating
88.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
50.2%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
36.6%
57.7%
Assist %
77.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 88.7Defence83.1 · 88.2Shooting48.9% · 50.2%3-point %29.2% · 36.6%Ball care17.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Hogsbo W wins
5
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Alvik W v Hogsbo W62-67
05/01/25Alvik W v Hogsbo W75-81
28/09/24Hogsbo W v Alvik W106-71
24/01/24Alvik W v Hogsbo W82-86
14/10/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W74-61
11/03/23Hogsbo W v Alvik W59-81
12/11/22Alvik W v Hogsbo W109-78
26/02/22Hogsbo W v Alvik W60-75
30/10/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W87-67
09/04/21Alvik W v Hogsbo W79-78
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26HUppsala W75-90
21/02/26HVisby W89-63
14/02/26AAlvik W67-62
11/02/26ALund W83-77
07/02/26HNorrkoping W73-91
30/01/26HLulea W87-82
24/01/26AVisby W82-67
11/01/26ANorrkoping W84-83
20/12/25HBrahe W86-70
13/12/25HMalbas Malmo W105-70
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HNorrkoping W58-91
14/02/26HHogsbo W62-67
11/02/26HSodertalje W69-88
07/02/26ABrahe W93-63
31/01/26HMalbas Malmo W85-67
21/01/26ASodertalje W73-93
17/01/26HOstersund W65-78
10/01/26HAIK Basket W67-83
03/01/26AVisby W97-36
20/12/25ANorrkoping W85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%73%70%
Points / game84.185.482.7
Allowed / game73.673.473.9
Point differential+10.5+12.0+8.8
Avg total157.7158.7156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game73.968.380.0
Allowed / game74.471.577.7
Point differential-0.6-3.2+2.3
Avg total148.3139.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2220291%92.263.5+28.8
2 Uppsala W2117481%81.571.2+10.3
3 Hogsbo W2115671%84.173.6+10.5
4 Ostersund W2214864%82.574.8+7.7
5 AIK Basket W2214864%79.473.9+5.5
6 Sodertalje W2213959%79.570.0+9.6
7 Norrkoping W2112957%82.173.1+9.0
8 Malbas Malmo W2112957%75.376.9-1.6
9 Alvik W2181338%73.974.4-0.6
10 Lund W2281436%78.378.9-0.6
11 Brahe W2261627%66.277.8-11.5
12 Visby W221215%58.189.1-31.0
13 RIG Lulea W231224%53.386.4-33.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2024321894
Alvik W1613131961
← all games of the day
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