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Malbas Malmo W vs Ostersund W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-79
21-16 12-19 10-25 25-19
Position#8
Record10-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.2
Malbas Malmo W
Sweden
vs
Ostersund W 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record10-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game74.4
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostersund W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
87avg 70
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 70
H07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
55avg 70
A13/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
81avg 70
H17/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
109-66
109
66
+43
108avg 70
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
44-86
44
86
-42
27avg 70
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
75-59
75
59
+16
75avg 70
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
56avg 70
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
61-44
61
44
+17
59avg 70
H08/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
23-12
19-24
15-19
25-21
16-17
22-26
26-25
12-16
21-19
16-8
16-13
21-25
15-26
20-29
14-25
24-23
18-12
20-19
23-23
33-15
28-21
19-15
29-15
13-22
16-25
6-16
9-23
14-21
26-13
12-4
23-21
24-24
15-14
11-27
17-20
20-17
22-14
13-6
6-7
151.7Avg total
76.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.377.2152.4-1.956%
Season at home (9)78.870.8149.6+8.078%
Season away (9)71.883.6155.3-11.833%
Last 10 (10)76.375.4151.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)71.268.0139.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.785.0157.7-12.330%
vs Similar (5)71.272.6143.8-1.440%
vs Weaker (15)84.351.5135.7+32.8100%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
70-54
70
54
+16
62avg 68
H22/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
95avg 68
H29/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
85-53
85
53
+32
82avg 68
A07/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
84avg 68
H14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 68
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 68
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 68
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 68
H07/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
10-19
23-20
12-7
36-22
18-27
23-14
21-22
15-19
24-14
27-13
19-7
15-21
23-18
16-19
19-15
17-19
27-28
15-8
8-17
12-16
26-19
30-13
20-12
11-17
23-17
29-15
15-16
18-19
19-21
35-18
19-19
20-18
19-20
23-16
26-19
18-20
22-28
26-17
19-22
155.2Avg total
83.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.874.4156.2+7.459%
Season at home (9)82.675.4158.0+7.144%
Season away (8)80.973.2154.1+7.675%
Last 10 (10)83.671.6155.2+12.070%
Last 5 (5)86.072.4158.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.984.7150.6-18.89%
vs Similar (9)75.782.7158.3-7.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.066.6149.6+16.480%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +9.4+9.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +9.4+9.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Malbas Malmo WOstersund W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A13/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
61-36
61
36
+25
H11/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H08/02
Basketligan W
79.1Avg total
41.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.932.874.7+9.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.331.173.4+11.281%-
Last 30 away (14)41.434.876.2+6.671%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.579.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.279.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.743.881.5-6.140%-
vs Similar (5)38.230.268.4+8.080%-
vs Weaker (15)45.926.372.3+19.6100%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brahe W
#11
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/02
Basketligan W
78.8Avg total
39.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.776.1-3.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.939.475.4-3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.976.9-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.078.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.440.372.6-7.936%-
vs Similar (9)38.843.782.4-4.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.735.474.1+3.370%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.2
49.0%
46.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.54.7
22.9%
31.2%14.1
🏀 Free throws23.817.4
73.1%
72.5%17.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.1
51.8%
46.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.412.2
62.9%
72.5%12.2
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
WLWLWWLWLW
Ostersund W
LWWWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#4
+6.7
Net rating
+13.7
89.4
Offensive rating
98.6
82.7
Defensive rating
84.9
44.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
22.9%
3-point %
32.5%
60.2%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 98.6Defence82.7 · 84.9Shooting44.5% · 50.8%3-point %22.9% · 32.5%Ball care18.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds35.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ Ostersund W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Malbas Malmo W wins
0
Ostersund W wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Ostersund W v Malbas Malmo W84-85
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HRIG Lulea W61-44
31/01/26AAlvik W67-85
24/01/26ARIG Lulea W75-59
23/01/26ALulea W44-86
11/01/26HVisby W109-66
17/12/25HLund W85-77
13/12/25AHogsbo W70-105
07/12/25HSodertalje W65-56
30/11/25ANorrkoping W100-103 OT
22/11/25HAlvik W87-73
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HAIK Basket W85-87
31/01/26HRIG Lulea W88-73
24/01/26AUppsala W91-77
17/01/26AAlvik W78-65
11/01/26ABrahe W88-60
20/12/25ASodertalje W67-72
14/12/25HLulea W86-90 OT
07/12/25AVisby W85-53
29/11/25HAlvik W98-85
22/11/25HBrahe W70-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game75.378.871.8
Allowed / game77.270.883.6
Point differential-1.9+8.0-11.8
Avg total152.4149.6155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWWLWL44%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%44%75%
Points / game81.882.680.9
Allowed / game74.475.473.2
Point differential+7.4+7.1+7.6
Avg total156.2158.0154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%44%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1816289%91.663.1+28.4
2 Uppsala W2016480%81.071.0+10.1
3 Hogsbo W1813572%85.373.9+11.3
4 AIK Basket W2013765%79.074.5+4.5
5 Sodertalje W1912763%79.169.7+9.4
6 Ostersund W1710759%81.874.4+7.4
7 Malbas Malmo W1810856%75.377.2-1.9
8 Norrkoping W1910953%81.575.1+6.4
9 Alvik W1981142%75.373.9+1.4
10 Lund W1971237%76.978.9-2.0
11 Brahe W1851328%67.876.2-8.4
12 Visby W191185%58.789.5-30.7
13 RIG Lulea W201195%53.085.4-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W2112102568
Ostersund W1619251979
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