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Ostersund W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-87
18-20 22-28 26-17 19-22
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#5
Record12-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.1
SwedenBasketligan W· Ostersunds Sporthall
Women2025-26
Meetings · Ostersund W v AIK Basket W
30 Jan 2027
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
OSTE79
AIK 61
07 Feb 2026
OSTE85
AIK 87
16 Nov 2024
OSTE76
AIK 77
16 Dec 2023
OSTE81
AIK 59
17 Jan 2021
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
15 Mar 2020
OSTE v AIK
upcoming
23 Sep 2018
OSTE57
AIK 54
29 Mar 2017
OSTE60
AIK 54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostersund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ostersund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 68
A08/11
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
70-54
70
54
+16
62avg 68
H22/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
95avg 68
H29/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
85-53
85
53
+32
82avg 68
A07/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
84avg 68
H14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 68
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 68
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 68
H31/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
23-16
21-21
24-17
25-8
10-19
23-20
12-7
36-22
18-27
23-14
21-22
15-19
24-14
27-13
19-7
15-21
23-18
16-19
19-15
17-19
27-28
15-8
8-17
12-16
26-19
30-13
20-12
11-17
23-17
29-15
15-16
18-19
19-21
35-18
19-19
20-18
19-20
23-16
26-19
154.8Avg total
84.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.673.6155.2+7.962%
Season at home (8)82.274.0156.2+8.250%
Season away (8)80.973.2154.1+7.675%
Last 10 (10)84.070.8154.8+13.280%
Last 5 (5)82.469.4151.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.984.7150.6-18.89%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.280.7154.9-6.444%
vs Weaker (10)83.066.6149.6+16.480%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
58avg 64
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
78avg 64
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
64-60
64
60
+4
47avg 64
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 64
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 64
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 64
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
83-67
83
67
+16
72avg 64
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 64
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 64
H31/01
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-21
16-19
14-27
19-20
29-22
14-12
28-21
20-10
18-15
18-12
8-23
18-19
16-11
22-19
22-21
23-16
17-24
14-17
19-23
16-14
12-32
16-19
20-15
13-11
21-25
26-16
23-15
14-22
24-15
22-18
21-17
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
149.9Avg total
76.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.573.1152.6+6.467%
Season at home (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
Season away (8)84.572.1156.6+12.475%
Last 10 (10)76.973.0149.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)77.871.6149.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.083.8154.8-12.827%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.877.5153.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (13)77.869.5147.3+8.269%
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +8.5+8.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
Ostersund WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ostersund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A08/11
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A07/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A20/12
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/01
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Basketligan W
78.5Avg total
40.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.975.0-2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.438.073.4-2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.939.976.9-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.378.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.877.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.440.372.6-7.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.941.179.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker (10)38.735.474.1+3.370%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H06/12
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/12
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
74.3Avg total
38.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.175.0+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.236.673.8+0.665%-
Last 30 away (13)38.937.776.6+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)38.935.474.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.272.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.041.878.8-4.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.537.377.8+3.283%-
vs Weaker (13)37.632.970.5+4.762%-
This opponent (Ostersund W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ostersund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostersund W: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.1
50.3%
46.4%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.211.5
63.2%
72.5%11.5
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.7
47.4%
46.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.1
29.9%
31.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
72.5%12.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ostersund W
WWWWLLWWWW
AIK Basket W
WLWWLLWWWL
#4
League position
#5
+14.4
Net rating
+5.0
101.1
Offensive rating
93.7
86.7
Defensive rating
88.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.3%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.9%
3-point %
29.9%
61.8%
Assist %
61.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 93.7Defence86.7 · 88.6Shooting50.5% · 46.4%3-point %33.9% · 29.9%Ball care16.8% · 18.3%Off. rebounds33.1% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Ostersund W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ostersund W wins
3
AIK Basket W wins
Ostersund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HRIG Lulea W88-73
24/01/26AUppsala W91-77
17/01/26AAlvik W78-65
11/01/26ABrahe W88-60
20/12/25ASodertalje W67-72
14/12/25HLulea W86-90 OT
07/12/25AVisby W85-53
29/11/25HAlvik W98-85
22/11/25HBrahe W70-54
08/11/25ANorrkoping W89-79
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80
18/01/26ANorrkoping W81-72
10/01/26AAlvik W83-67
04/01/26HLulea W64-80
20/12/25ALund W73-80
17/12/25HAlvik W78-70
13/12/25HRIG Lulea W64-60
06/12/25HNorrkoping W90-75
26/11/25HUppsala W75-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ostersund W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game81.682.280.9
Allowed / game73.674.073.2
Point differential+7.9+8.2+7.6
Avg total155.2156.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game79.575.584.5
Allowed / game73.173.972.1
Point differential+6.4+1.6+12.4
Avg total152.6149.4156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W1816289%91.663.1+28.4
2 Uppsala W1815383%81.370.7+10.6
3 Hogsbo W1612475%86.272.7+13.5
4 AIK Basket W1812667%79.573.1+6.4
5 Ostersund W1610662%81.673.6+7.9
6 Sodertalje W1710759%78.269.9+8.3
7 Malbas Malmo W179853%76.179.1-3.0
8 Norrkoping W178947%80.176.5+3.6
9 Alvik W1881044%75.773.2+2.5
10 Lund W1761135%76.479.4-3.0
11 Brahe W1751229%68.675.0-6.4
12 RIG Lulea W181176%52.786.7-34.1
13 Visby W191185%58.789.5-30.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ostersund W1822261985
AIK Basket W2028172287
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