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Malbas Malmo W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 65-56
12-16 21-19 16-8 16-13
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.1
Malbas Malmo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Sodertalje W
Sweden
Position#6
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game67.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Heleneholms Sporthall
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas Malmo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Malbas Malmo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
L
78-90
78
90
-12
71avg 71
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
59-86
59
86
-27
44avg 71
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
56avg 71
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 71
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-88
63
88
-25
56avg 71
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
84avg 71
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
68avg 71
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
71-65
71
65
+6
62avg 71
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 71
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
87avg 71
A30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-21
13-17
17-27
11-27
14-19
9-19
25-21
25-16
21-16
15-23
12-15
19-22
24-20
28-19
17-12
22-17
13-28
21-22
7-21
26-22
15-23
27-21
17-18
20-20
26-23
12-19
17-17
21-17
17-13
17-16
16-19
30-18
23-12
19-24
15-19
25-21
16-17
22-26
26-25
159.0Avg total
77.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.981.1159.0-3.250%
Season at home (5)77.878.8156.6-1.060%
Season away (5)78.083.4161.4-5.440%
Last 10 (10)77.981.1159.0-3.250%
Last 5 (5)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.386.1164.4-7.929%
vs Similar (3)68.067.0135.0+1.033%
vs Weaker (20)84.051.6135.6+32.4100%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
72avg 69
H28/09
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 69
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
65-71
65
71
-6
57avg 69
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
65avg 69
H19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 69
H22/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 69
A25/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
81-52
81
52
+29
67avg 69
H08/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
53-61
53
61
-8
33avg 69
A22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
65avg 69
H26/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
107-44
107
44
+63
100avg 69
A30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
25-14
12-26
26-20
27-11
19-14
19-9
21-25
24-23
16-18
13-14
12-16
19-23
12-12
16-15
22-11
20-21
17-26
23-18
20-19
20-20
23-22
10-25
25-23
23-16
23-14
15-9
20-13
8-13
11-9
18-17
16-22
17-21
11-15
18-17
22-18
33-16
18-10
29-9
27-9
145.7Avg total
77.8Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.867.9145.7+9.950%
Season at home (6)79.268.8148.0+10.367%
Season away (4)75.866.5142.2+9.225%
Last 10 (10)77.867.9145.7+9.950%
Last 5 (5)77.463.6141.0+13.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.088.1152.1-24.10%
vs Similar (4)73.075.5148.5-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.765.7147.4+16.179%
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
Malbas Malmo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Malbas Malmo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/09
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A04/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H11/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/11
Basketligan W
81.3Avg total
41.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.329.772.0+12.687%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.429.872.2+12.686%-
Last 30 away (16)42.229.671.9+12.688%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.781.3+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.281.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.943.683.4-3.757%-
vs Similar (3)36.726.062.7+10.767%-
vs Weaker (20)44.025.469.4+18.6100%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H22/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
19-22
19
22
-3
A22/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H26/11
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A30/11
Basketligan W
71.7Avg total
38.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.974.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.336.176.4+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)33.937.771.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.671.7+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.268.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.348.478.7-18.10%-
vs Similar (4)31.034.265.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.233.274.4+8.163%-
This opponent (Malbas Malmo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbas Malmo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas Malmo W: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.020.5
43.6%
46.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.2
29.7%
31.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.3%
72.5%17.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.0
49.0%
46.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.3
27.8%
31.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
77.0%
72.5%16.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas Malmo W
LWWLWLWWLL
Sodertalje W
WLLWLLWLWW
#8
League position
#6
-4.7
Net rating
+12.1
97.7
Offensive rating
98.6
102.4
Defensive rating
86.5
43.9%
Effective FG%
46.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.7%
3-point %
27.8%
56.2%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 98.6Defence102.4 · 86.5Shooting43.9% · 46.0%3-point %29.7% · 27.8%Ball care20.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds36.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Malbas Malmo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Malbas Malmo W wins
1
Sodertalje W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Sodertalje W v Malbas Malmo W86-59
Malbas Malmo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ANorrkoping W100-103 OT
22/11/25HAlvik W87-73
08/11/25AVisby W71-65
02/11/25AUppsala W75-79
01/11/25AOstersund W85-84
24/10/25HLulea W63-88
18/10/25HAIK Basket W88-73
11/10/25HBrahe W73-70
04/10/25ASodertalje W59-86
28/09/25HUppsala W78-90
Sodertalje Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AVisby W107-44
26/11/25HNorrkoping W68-71
22/11/25AHogsbo W53-61
08/11/25HRIG Lulea W81-52
25/10/25ABrahe W78-90
22/10/25HAIK Basket W80-84
19/10/25HLund W69-61
11/10/25ALund W65-71
04/10/25HMalbas Malmo W86-59
28/09/25HHogsbo W91-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas Malmo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game77.977.878.0
Allowed / game81.178.883.4
Point differential-3.2-1.0-5.4
Avg total159.0156.6161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game77.879.275.8
Allowed / game67.968.866.5
Point differential+9.9+10.3+9.2
Avg total145.7148.0142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W1211192%82.870.5+12.2
2 Lulea W1110191%90.261.4+28.8
3 AIK Basket W107370%82.774.8+7.9
4 Hogsbo W117464%85.071.9+13.1
5 Norrkoping W117464%82.573.6+8.9
6 Ostersund W95456%80.276.4+3.8
7 Sodertalje W105550%77.867.9+9.9
8 Malbas Malmo W105550%77.981.1-3.2
9 Brahe W114736%69.571.4-1.9
10 Alvik W93633%73.776.6-2.9
11 Lund W102820%75.080.8-5.8
12 Visby W101910%60.187.8-27.7
13 RIG Lulea W121118%47.689.6-42.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malbas Malmo W1221161665
Sodertalje W161981356
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