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Hogsbo W vs Sodertalje W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 61-53
13-8 9-11 17-18 22-16
Position#3
Record4-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game71.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo W v Sodertalje W
27 Feb 2027
HOGS v SODE
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
HOGS97
SODE101
22 Nov 2025
HOGS61
SODE53
23 Nov 2024
HOGS86
SODE62
02 Dec 2023
HOGS51
SODE82
08 Oct 2022
HOGS65
SODE103
27 Dec 2021
HOGS69
SODE64
04 Nov 2020
HOGS94
SODE60
27 Nov 2019
HOGS82
SODE62
23 Feb 2019
HOGS64
SODE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 82
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
63-89
63
89
-26
51avg 82
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
72avg 82
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
75-97
75
97
-22
58avg 82
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 82
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
105-46
105
46
+59
105avg 82
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
64avg 82
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
107-63
107
63
+44
113avg 82
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 82
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
87avg 82
A08/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
13-27
16-23
26-11
18-18
15-25
15-22
15-24
18-15
14-25
26-12
20-26
9-19
28-28
23-22
15-28
24-23
21-12
26-26
19-20
18-3
33-17
31-14
23-12
16-21
15-13
16-11
25-20
36-22
21-14
26-17
24-10
18-18
20-26
16-14
19-19
36-20
17-26
21-15
11-29
161.4Avg total
82.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.676.2162.9+10.450%
Season at home (2)91.080.0171.0+11.050%
Season away (6)85.275.0160.2+10.250%
Last 10 (10)82.978.5161.4+4.440%
Last 5 (5)88.468.2156.6+20.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.884.2156.0-12.420%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.075.3156.3+5.756%
vs Weaker (16)91.670.4162.0+21.288%
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
62-95
62
95
-33
52avg 70
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 70
H09/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
58-89
58
89
-31
54avg 70
A11/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
72avg 70
H28/09
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
86-59
86
59
+27
84avg 70
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
65-71
65
71
-6
57avg 70
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
65avg 70
H19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 70
H22/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
78-90
78
90
-12
58avg 70
A25/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
81-52
81
52
+29
67avg 70
H08/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
8-27
17-25
15-21
12-26
20-28
18-20
22-18
14-23
5-25
13-18
26-23
15-18
25-14
12-26
26-20
27-11
19-14
19-9
21-25
24-23
16-18
13-14
12-16
19-23
12-12
16-15
22-11
20-21
17-26
23-18
20-19
20-20
23-22
10-25
25-23
23-16
23-14
15-9
20-13
152.1Avg total
74.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.671.9150.4+6.757%
Season at home (5)81.468.4149.8+13.080%
Season away (2)71.580.5152.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)74.277.9152.1-3.740%
Last 5 (5)74.671.6146.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.987.9153.8-22.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (20)80.465.9146.3+14.580%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
Hogsbo WSodertalje W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H25/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A27/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
51-20
51
20
+31
A12/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A18/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H25/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/11
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A08/11
Basketligan W
80.5Avg total
40.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.379.8+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.238.282.5+6.067%-
Last 30 away (18)41.436.678.1+4.856%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.780.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.082.0+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.840.675.4-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.740.079.7-0.344%-
vs Weaker (16)46.634.781.3+11.981%-
This opponent (Sodertalje W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sodertalje WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A07/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H09/04
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A11/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H04/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/10
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H22/10
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Basketligan W
RIG Lulea W
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
Basketligan W
76.7Avg total
36.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.735.276.9+6.562%-
Last 30 away (14)34.940.975.8-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.440.376.7-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.648.981.5-16.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.539.578.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (20)40.933.374.2+7.660%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.517.3
42.7%
46.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.2
39.0%
31.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
72.5%13.3
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertalje Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.3
47.5%
46.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.0
28.1%
31.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.8
77.5%
72.5%15.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
LLWWWWLLLL
Sodertalje W
WLLWLWWLLL
#3
League position
#6
+4.3
Net rating
-5.0
101.9
Offensive rating
94.2
97.6
Defensive rating
99.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
45.4%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.0%
3-point %
28.1%
62.8%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 94.2Defence97.6 · 99.2Shooting49.3% · 45.4%3-point %39.0% · 28.1%Ball care20.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 24.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ Sodertalje W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hogsbo W wins
7
Sodertalje W wins
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AUppsala W85-90
01/11/25AAIK Basket W73-77
25/10/25HOstersund W107-63
18/10/25AOstersund W72-65
12/10/25ARIG Lulea W105-46
10/10/25ALulea W90-81
04/10/25HAIK Basket W75-97
28/09/25ASodertalje W86-91 OT
27/04/25ALulea W63-89
25/04/25HLulea W73-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HRIG Lulea W81-52
25/10/25ABrahe W78-90
22/10/25HAIK Basket W80-84
19/10/25HLund W69-61
11/10/25ALund W65-71
04/10/25HMalbas Malmo W86-59
28/09/25HHogsbo W91-86 OT
11/04/25ALulea W58-89
09/04/25HLulea W72-92
07/04/25ALulea W62-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.691.085.2
Allowed / game76.280.075.0
Point differential+10.4+11.0+10.2
Avg total162.9171.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%17%
Sodertalje W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game78.681.471.5
Allowed / game71.968.480.5
Point differential+6.7+13.0-9.0
Avg total150.4149.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala W990100%85.271.2+14.0
2 Lulea W98189%91.064.8+26.2
3 AIK Basket W75271%84.173.9+10.3
4 Norrkoping W85362%82.469.0+13.4
5 Sodertalje W74357%78.671.9+6.7
6 Hogsbo W84450%86.676.2+10.4
7 Alvik W63350%68.566.8+1.7
8 Malbas Malmo W84450%74.079.4-5.4
9 Ostersund W73443%79.178.4+0.7
10 Brahe W83538%71.074.8-3.8
11 Lund W71614%70.778.0-7.3
12 Visby W91811%61.985.7-23.8
13 RIG Lulea W91811%50.789.3-38.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W139172261
Sodertalje W811181653
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