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Mali vs Senegal Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 71-97
12-25 18-21 20-23 21-28
Position#25
Record6-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Senegal 🏆
Position#11
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeWorld Cup· Dakar Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Mali v Senegal
30 Aug 2026
MALI71
SENE97
15 Sep 2018
MALI71
SENE82
15 Aug 2009
MALI63
SENE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mali winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Senegal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uganda
#71
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H04/07
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A05/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
101-76
101
76
+25
A29/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
23-17
22-31
24-13
15-12
19-20
27-24
19-18
15-17
21-19
22-16
15-11
20-24
18-11
21-14
21-18
22-16
21-21
20-22
17-22
16-23
21-27
12-14
18-16
26-26
26-19
22-17
31-15
22-25
130.7Avg total
66.2Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.875.6158.4+7.175%
Season at home (4)81.274.5155.8+6.875%
Season away (4)84.276.8161.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)66.264.5130.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.475.2157.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)59.473.9133.3-14.512%
vs Similar (5)80.472.2152.6+8.2100%
vs Weaker (8)72.466.5138.9+5.962%
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SenegalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tunisia
#36
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
99-66
99
66
+33
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/07
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H04/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
89-63
89
63
+26
A05/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H29/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
16-17
13-23
11-17
16-9
23-25
24-14
26-15
14-28
23-20
25-18
18-24
22-19
32-12
28-17
17-18
23-16
26-10
11-12
15-18
29-16
26-20
15-20
15-16
28-17
24-11
24-12
25-19
24-21
19-23
22-8
24-11
17-13
17-30
17-21
16-12
18-20
25-26
20-17
21-19
151.9Avg total
82.2Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.070.5155.5+14.575%
Season at home (4)85.071.8156.8+13.275%
Season away (4)85.069.2154.2+15.875%
Last 10 (10)82.269.7151.9+12.570%
Last 5 (5)85.270.4155.6+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.080.2150.2-10.220%
vs Similar (7)72.775.9148.6-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.365.1148.4+18.278%
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.9+1.9
MaliSenegal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
Uganda
#86
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A28/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/03
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/07
World Cup
Uganda
#86
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/07
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A05/07
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H27/08
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A29/08
World Cup
80.9Avg total
42.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.137.571.6-3.432%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.936.970.8-3.136%-
Last 30 away (14)34.438.172.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (8)42.638.280.9+4.462%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.438.869.2-8.412%-
vs Similar (5)36.432.669.0+3.860%-
vs Weaker (7)41.138.079.1+3.157%-
This opponent (Senegal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SenegalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tunisia
#36
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H25/02
World Cup
Cameroon
#54
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A26/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H26/02
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A28/02
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H01/03
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#13
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A02/07
World Cup
Madagascar
#89
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H04/07
World Cup
D.R. Congo
#65
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A27/08
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H29/08
World Cup
80.1Avg total
43.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.534.774.2+4.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.932.772.6+7.264%-
Last 30 away (16)39.136.475.5+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.680.1+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.484.8+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.035.469.4-1.420%-
vs Similar (7)37.437.975.3-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.833.375.1+8.567%-
This opponent (Mali) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mali wins
3
Senegal wins
DateGameScore
23/02/19Senegal v Mali62-38
15/09/18Mali v Senegal71-82
15/08/09Mali v Senegal63-74
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/26AD.R. Congo101-76
27/08/26HIvory Coast77-83
05/07/26AAngola74-88
04/07/26HUganda82-59
02/07/26AEgypt78-70
01/03/26HAngola80-79
28/02/26AUganda84-73
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20
01/07/22AUganda0-20
Senegallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/08/26HAngola84-82
27/08/26AEgypt67-76
05/07/26AD.R. Congo89-63
04/07/26HMadagascar101-59
02/07/26AIvory Coast85-72
01/03/26HD.R. Congo75-56
28/02/26AMadagascar99-66
26/02/26HIvory Coast80-90
26/02/23ACameroon89-63
25/02/23HTunisia53-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.881.284.2
Allowed / game75.674.576.8
Point differential+7.1+6.8+7.5
Avg total158.4155.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Senegal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.085.085.0
Allowed / game70.571.869.2
Point differential+14.5+13.2+15.8
Avg total155.5156.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
11 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
12 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
13 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
14 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
15 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
16 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
17 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
18 Senegal86275%85.070.5+14.5
19 Mali86275%82.875.6+7.1
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
24 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
25 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
26 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
27 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
28 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
38 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
39 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
40 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
41 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
42 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
43 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
44 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
45 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
46 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
47 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
48 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
49 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
50 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina73443%78.977.0+1.9
52 Lithuania73443%87.086.3+0.7
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
55 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
56 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
57 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
58 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
59 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
60 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mali1218202171
Senegal2521232897
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