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Mali W vs Guinea W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 96-40
24-8 23-12 22-11 27-9
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game57.5
Mali W 🏆
vs
Guinea W
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game53.7
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeAfroBasket WomenAfroBasket Women - Quarter-finals· BK Arena
Women2023Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mali W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guinea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mali WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
58-118
58
118
-60
no box
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
59-74
59
74
-15
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
72-49
72
49
+23
68avg 68
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-21
12-14
19-19
10-22
24-21
13-27
17-14
22-20
13-22
9-22
25-9
18-21
11-26
15-19
12-23
12-23
10-33
23-36
13-26
21-17
11-25
14-15
13-17
25-25
14-18
11-19
18-19
16-33
13-20
17-17
19-18
16-19
21-14
21-16
22-17
11-16
15-12
26-8
20-13
145.6Avg total
65.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.057.5133.5+18.5100%
Season at home (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)72.049.0121.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.779.9145.6-14.220%
Last 5 (5)68.871.6140.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)55.885.0140.8-29.20%
vs Similar (2)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.857.0130.8+16.888%
This opponent (Guinea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guinea WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Senegal W
#4
L
31-100
31
100
-69
no box
A18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
L
58-102
58
102
-44
no box
H19/09
AfroBasket Women
Ivory Coast W
#6
L
50-81
50
81
-31
no box
A22/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
40-99
40
99
-59
18avg 42
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
L
50-70
50
70
-20
40avg 42
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Angola W
#8
W
71-69
71
69
+2
69avg 42
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-25
9-23
8-23
4-29
18-20
19-25
9-33
12-24
10-20
15-22
15-17
10-22
7-25
5-22
15-35
13-17
15-21
21-17
4-18
10-14
17-15
16-15
12-23
26-16
136.8Avg total
50.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)53.779.3133.0-25.733%
Season at home (1)50.070.0120.0-20.00%
Season away (2)55.584.0139.5-28.550%
Last 10 (6)50.086.8136.8-36.817%
Last 5 (5)53.884.2138.0-30.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)50.086.8136.8-36.817%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -14.3-14.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -7.8-7.8
-18-9+0+9+18Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -8.2-8.2Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -14.3-14.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -7.8-7.8
Mali WGuinea W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mali WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/02
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
22-56
22
56
-34
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
74.9Avg total
31.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)30.838.068.7-7.218%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.838.869.5-8.025%-
Last 30 away (10)30.837.067.8-6.210%-
Last 10 (10)31.843.174.9-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.872.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.244.771.8-17.50%-
vs Similar (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.028.264.2+7.850%-
This opponent (Guinea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guinea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Senegal W
#4
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H19/09
AfroBasket Women
Ivory Coast W
#6
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A22/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
12-47
12
47
-35
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Angola W
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
68.7Avg total
27.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)27.041.768.7-14.717%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.541.578.0-5.00%-
Last 30 away (4)22.241.864.0-19.525%-
Last 10 (6)27.041.768.7-14.717%-
Last 5 (5)28.640.469.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)27.041.768.7-14.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mali Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mali W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.017.5
42.7%
38.5%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.06.5
19.7%
25.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws32.520.5
63.1%
64.7%20.5
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guinea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guinea W: 53.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀31%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.09.3
28.3%
38.5%18.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.0
28.1%
25.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws24.316.3
67.1%
64.7%16.3
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 02 Aug 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mali W
WWLLLLLLLL
Guinea W
WLLLLL
#2
League position
#11
+20.5
Net rating
-33.3
87.7
Offensive rating
68.7
67.2
Defensive rating
102.0
36.8%
Effective FG%
33.7%
34.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
29.3%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.45
19.7%
3-point %
28.1%
95.8%
Assist %
76.1%
20%
Form (last 10/6)
17%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 68.7Defence67.2 · 102.0Shooting36.8% · 33.7%3-point %19.7% · 28.1%Ball care18.8% · 29.3%Off. rebounds34.9% · 24.4%Free throws0.44 · 0.45Form (last 10/6)20% · 17%
■ Mali W   ■ Guinea W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mali W wins
0
Guinea W wins
No previous meetings.
Mali Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/23ASenegal W72-49
28/07/23HUganda W80-66
27/09/22HCanada W65-88
26/09/22ASerbia W68-81
25/09/22HFrance W59-74
23/09/22HAustralia W58-118
22/09/22AJapan W56-89
13/02/22ANigeria W69-73
11/02/22HChina W64-84
10/02/22AFrance W66-77
Guinea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/23AAngola W71-69
30/07/23HCameroon W50-70
29/07/23AMozambique W40-99
22/09/21AIvory Coast W50-81
19/09/21HEgypt W58-102
18/09/21ASenegal W31-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mali W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.080.072.0
Allowed / game57.566.049.0
Point differential+18.5+14.0+23.0
Avg total133.5146.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guinea W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game53.750.055.5
Allowed / game79.370.084.0
Point differential-25.7-20.0-28.5
Avg total133.0120.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria W220100%76.050.0+26.0
2 Mali W220100%76.057.5+18.5
3 Mozambique W32167%74.047.7+26.3
4 Cameroon W32167%67.361.0+6.3
5 Uganda W32167%76.375.0+1.3
6 Rwanda W21150%66.054.5+11.5
7 Senegal W42250%70.873.5-2.8
8 Angola W31233%70.770.3+0.3
9 Egypt W31233%71.377.3-6.0
10 Ivory Coast W31233%51.767.7-16.0
11 Guinea W31233%53.779.3-25.7
12 DR Congo W3030%58.378.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mali W2423222796
Guinea W81211940
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