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Senegal W vs Mali W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 49-72
16-11 12-15 8-26 13-20
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.0
Senegal W
vs
Mali W 🏆
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeAfroBasket Women· BK Arena (Kigali)
Women2023
Meetings · Senegal W v Mali W
03 Aug 2023
SENE75
MALI65
30 Jul 2023
SENE49
MALI72
29 Sep 2010
SENE67
MALI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Senegal W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mali W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Senegal WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#12
L
64-101
64
101
-37
no box
H08/08
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#6
L
58-68
58
68
-10
no box
H10/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#3
L
43-97
43
97
-54
no box
A12/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
H14/08
Olympic Games Women
Guinea W
#12
W
100-31
100
31
+69
no box
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
74-46
74
46
+28
no box
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
no box
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 70
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-21
15-26
11-28
10-17
14-16
17-22
17-13
11-26
8-20
13-25
11-26
15-27
28-28
23-21
22-19
25-10
23-9
23-8
29-4
21-15
18-10
18-19
21-19
20-13
17-9
24-16
13-8
11-22
20-23
13-15
19-13
19-12
8-10
11-14
11-17
21-17
17-18
18-22
27-28
141.2Avg total
70.0Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.085.0168.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.085.0168.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)70.071.2141.2-1.230%
Last 5 (5)69.464.0133.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.089.2152.2-26.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)72.853.2126.0+19.660%
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mali WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nigeria W
#1
L
59-70
59
70
-11
no box
H26/09
AfroBasket Women
France W
#9
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A10/02
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
58-118
58
118
-60
no box
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
59-74
59
74
-15
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
13-9
14-28
21-11
18-23
17-21
12-14
19-19
10-22
24-21
13-27
17-14
22-20
13-22
9-22
25-9
18-21
11-26
15-19
12-23
12-23
10-33
23-36
13-26
21-17
11-25
14-15
13-17
25-25
14-18
11-19
18-19
16-33
13-20
17-17
19-18
16-19
21-14
21-16
22-17
146.4Avg total
64.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.482.0146.4-17.610%
Last 5 (5)66.085.4151.4-19.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)55.885.0140.8-29.20%
vs Similar (2)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)74.058.1132.1+15.986%
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Senegal WMali W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Senegal WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/08
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#6
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#3
L
19-46
19
46
-27
A12/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#7
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H14/08
Olympic Games Women
Guinea W
#12
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
69.3Avg total
34.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)30.638.969.5-8.431%-
Last 30 at home (8)32.437.169.5-4.825%-
Last 30 away (8)28.840.869.5-12.038%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.969.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.864.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.944.572.5-16.69%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (5)36.426.663.0+9.880%-
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mali WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nigeria W
#1
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H26/09
AfroBasket Women
France W
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/02
World Cup Women
China W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
22-56
22
56
-34
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
75.0Avg total
31.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)31.038.469.4-7.419%-
Last 30 at home (12)30.838.869.5-8.025%-
Last 30 away (9)31.338.069.3-6.711%-
Last 10 (10)31.643.475.0-11.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.845.477.2-13.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.244.771.8-17.50%-
vs Similar (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.428.365.7+9.157%-
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Senegal Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Senegal W: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀25%
🏀🏀🏀56%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.010.0
50.0%
38.5%20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.015.0
30.0%
25.6%45.0
🏀 Free throws25.016.0
64.0%
64.7%16.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 50.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 71% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mali Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mali W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
38.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.07.0
16.7%
25.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws35.019.0
54.3%
64.7%19.0
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 30 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Senegal W
LLLWWWLLLL
Mali W
WLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#2
-4.4
Net rating
+17.2
89.0
Offensive rating
86.2
93.4
Defensive rating
69.0
46.4%
Effective FG%
36.7%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
37.3%
22.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
30.0%
3-point %
16.7%
72.0%
Assist %
88.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 86.2Defence93.4 · 69.0Shooting46.4% · 36.7%3-point %30.0% · 16.7%Ball care22.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds22.0% · 32.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Senegal W   ■ Mali W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Senegal W wins
1
Mali W wins
DateGameScore
29/09/10Senegal W v Mali W67-69 OT
Senegal Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23AUganda W83-85
26/09/21ACameroon W49-53
24/09/21ANigeria W63-73
23/09/21HMozambique W74-46
20/09/21AEgypt W78-63
18/09/21HGuinea W100-31
14/08/16HSerbia W88-95
12/08/16ASpain W43-97
10/08/16HCanada W58-68
08/08/16HChina W64-101
Mali Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/23HUganda W80-66
27/09/22HCanada W65-88
26/09/22ASerbia W68-81
25/09/22HFrance W59-74
23/09/22HAustralia W58-118
22/09/22AJapan W56-89
13/02/22ANigeria W69-73
11/02/22HChina W64-84
10/02/22AFrance W66-77
26/09/21HNigeria W59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Senegal W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total168.0-168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Mali W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria W220100%76.050.0+26.0
2 Mali W110100%80.066.0+14.0
3 Cameroon W220100%62.551.5+11.0
4 Mozambique W21150%76.047.5+28.5
5 Rwanda W21150%66.054.5+11.5
6 Angola W21150%71.570.0+1.5
7 Egypt W21150%77.080.5-3.5
8 Uganda W21150%75.581.5-6.0
9 Ivory Coast W21150%53.566.5-13.0
10 Senegal W1010%83.085.0-2.0
11 DR Congo W2020%56.579.0-22.5
12 Guinea W2020%45.084.5-39.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Senegal W161281349
Mali W1115262072
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