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Manly W. W vs Maitland Mustangs W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 93-64
30-17 19-17 24-10 20-20
Position#1
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#7
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.1
AustraliaNBL1 East Women
Women2025
Meetings · Manly W. W v Maitland Mustangs W
17 May 2025
MANL93
MAIT64
27 May 2023
MANL92
MAIT55
04 Jun 2022
MANL98
MAIT57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manly W. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland Mustangs W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Manly W. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears W
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H28/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A03/08
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
W
93-55
93
55
+38
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
14-16
25-12
10-18
22-16
25-13
32-13
24-28
12-25
15-17
22-26
23-20
24-17
22-19
15-21
19-8
17-13
13-9
23-19
15-27
22-18
19-9
33-17
11-19
21-26
22-26
22-16
13-17
23-22
23-14
27-7
16-19
31-14
24-23
18-8
20-10
24-10
10-8
19-13
10-10
148.2Avg total
80.5Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.364.0144.3+16.371%
Season at home (2)83.566.0149.5+17.550%
Season away (5)79.063.2142.2+15.880%
Last 10 (10)80.567.7148.2+12.860%
Last 5 (5)81.661.2142.8+20.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
vs Similar (7)70.174.3144.4-4.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.960.2144.0+23.791%
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
52-94
52
94
-42
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
10-24
13-16
13-14
13-30
17-20
14-25
8-19
18-11
17-14
25-21
20-10
23-32
15-15
30-19
14-27
17-18
25-15
16-13
12-12
28-20
21-16
22-21
20-14
29-15
20-16
19-22
7-18
17-20
15-21
20-21
24-25
16-22
24-24
15-12
20-10
18-17
12-22
16-17
36-17
148.9Avg total
74.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.972.1151.0+6.875%
Season at home (5)80.072.6152.6+7.480%
Season away (3)77.071.3148.3+5.767%
Last 10 (10)74.374.6148.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.080.8147.8-13.819%
vs Similar (5)70.671.0141.6-0.420%
vs Weaker (9)74.665.1139.7+9.478%
This opponent (Manly W. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +8.4+8.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +8.4+8.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Manly W. WMaitland Mustangs W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Manly W. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norths Bears W
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/07
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#6
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H28/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A03/08
NBL1 East Women
BA CoE W
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Norths Bears W
#2
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Penrith P. W
#15
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A06/04
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/04
NBL1 East Women
Inner West Bulls W
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A26/04
NBL1 East Women
Bankstown Bruins W
#6
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H03/05
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A10/05
NBL1 East Women
74.2Avg total
40.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.033.073.0+7.170%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.432.572.9+7.869%-
Last 30 away (17)39.833.373.1+6.571%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.074.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.077.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.037.076.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (7)30.937.468.3-6.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.031.474.4+11.682%-
This opponent (Maitland Mustangs W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland Mustangs WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks W
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H07/07
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A13/07
NBL1 East Women
Illawarra Hawks W
#14
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A29/03
NBL1 East Women
Albury W
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H05/04
NBL1 East Women
Hills Hornets W
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/04
NBL1 East Women
Hornsby S. W
#13
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East Women
Sydney Comets W
#11
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/04
NBL1 East Women
Newcastle Falcons W
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/05
NBL1 East Women
Canberra W
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 East Women
Central Coast W
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H11/05
NBL1 East Women
77.2Avg total
37.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.837.971.6-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.238.472.6-4.227%-
Last 30 away (15)33.337.370.7-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.377.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.940.172.0-8.219%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.072.8-3.220%-
vs Weaker (9)36.633.870.3+2.856%-
This opponent (Manly W. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Manly W. W wins
0
Maitland Mustangs W wins
Manly W. Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25ASydney Comets W63-41
03/05/25HBankstown Bruins W93-55
26/04/25AInner West Bulls W89-62
12/04/25AAlbury W78-85
06/04/25APenrith P. W85-63
05/04/25HNorths Bears W74-77 OT
29/03/25ABA CoE W80-65
03/08/24ANewcastle Falcons W72-88
28/07/24HCentral Coast W103-70
20/07/24ANorths Bears W68-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HCentral Coast W82-73
10/05/25HCanberra W75-68
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons W76-87
27/04/25ASydney Comets W75-71
25/04/25HHornsby S. W91-71
12/04/25HHills Hornets W70-58
05/04/25HAlbury W82-93
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks W80-56
13/07/24ANewcastle Falcons W52-94
07/07/24HIllawarra Hawks W60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manly W. W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game80.383.579.0
Allowed / game64.066.063.2
Point differential+16.3+17.5+15.8
Avg total144.3149.5142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%50%0%
Maitland Mustangs W
NBL1 East Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game78.980.077.0
Allowed / game72.172.671.3
Point differential+6.8+7.4+5.7
Avg total151.0152.6148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norths Bears W880100%92.166.4+25.8
2 Newcastle Falcons W880100%85.960.6+25.2
3 BA CoE W87188%83.268.9+14.4
4 Maitland Mustangs W86275%78.972.1+6.8
5 Albury W86275%86.881.8+5.0
6 Manly W. W75271%80.364.0+16.3
7 Inner West Bulls W84450%81.287.8-6.5
8 Hornsby S. W73443%80.683.3-2.7
9 Sydney Comets W83538%66.870.9-4.1
10 Canberra W83538%74.581.8-7.2
11 Penrith P. W93633%66.772.9-6.2
12 Hills Hornets W82625%74.684.6-10.0
13 Illawarra Hawks W82625%68.480.1-11.8
14 Sutherland Sharks W71614%72.787.0-14.3
15 Central Coast W81712%64.178.9-14.8
16 Bankstown Bruins W81712%65.180.2-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manly W. W3019242093
Maitland Mustangs W1717102064
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