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Mantova vs Stella Azzurra Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-85
19-20 20-23 22-25 23-17
Position#17
Record12-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#18
Record10-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game80.8
ItalySerie A2Round 6
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mantova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stella Azzurra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MantovaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H12/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A19/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H26/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H05/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A19/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H02/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A08/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H16/04
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
L
76-79 OT
76
79
-3
A23/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
A29/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
18-28
26-19
15-16
23-16
25-12
14-21
15-24
23-15
18-19
18-17
14-28
17-23
13-15
23-15
16-19
21-15
21-13
24-19
11-12
19-17
11-15
23-19
21-18
19-28
24-15
19-20
8-24
21-15
17-22
22-17
18-19
13-18
15-22
27-12
12-15
15-27
25-15
28-20
17-23
153.6Avg total
76.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.277.8153.0-2.540%
Season at home (14)76.978.6155.5-1.643%
Season away (16)73.877.1150.8-3.338%
Last 10 (10)76.876.8153.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.081.2161.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.379.5150.8-8.217%
vs Similar ◀ (23)76.277.3153.5-1.048%
vs Weaker (1)76.079.0155.0-3.00%
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A18/02
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A26/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H04/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A22/03
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H26/03
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A02/04
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H08/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A16/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
H22/04
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H29/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
19-19
26-18
19-24
19-27
19-19
9-31
16-13
19-19
12-27
28-19
12-20
10-27
20-24
24-15
17-17
22-14
31-27
18-16
17-25
12-22
18-18
18-18
24-18
28-19
15-24
20-19
24-8
30-23
15-20
14-17
24-19
17-15
14-27
21-25
32-17
30-18
27-20
17-23
21-16
161.5Avg total
79.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.980.8157.7-3.934%
Season at home (15)81.679.9161.5+1.747%
Season away (14)71.981.8153.6-9.921%
Last 10 (10)79.981.6161.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.879.4165.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.883.7155.5-11.910%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.579.3157.8-0.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: +2.9+2.9
MantovaStella Azzurra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MantovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#13
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H12/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A19/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H26/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H05/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H02/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/04
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A23/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/04
Serie A2
73.7Avg total
37.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.076.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.539.676.1-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.038.677.6+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.673.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.541.077.5-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.638.577.1+0.152%-
vs Weaker (1)28.040.068.0-12.00%-
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/02
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H04/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A22/03
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H26/03
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/04
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H08/04
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/04
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H29/04
Serie A2
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.978.0-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.439.177.6-0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)35.542.978.4-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.282.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.242.777.9-7.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mantova wins
1
Stella Azzurra wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Stella Azzurra v Mantova87-70
Mantovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23AMonferrato102-98 OT
23/04/23ANPC Rieti76-79 OT
16/04/23HJuVi Cremona78-73
08/04/23AStella Azzurra70-87
02/04/23HMonferrato74-69
19/03/23ACento77-59
05/03/23HRavenna69-72
26/02/23HChiusi73-79
19/02/23AFortitudo Bologna77-73
12/02/23HRimini72-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HSan Severo95-77
22/04/23HRavenna92-95 OT
16/04/23AChieti Basket83-79
08/04/23HMantova87-70
02/04/23ASan Severo72-76
26/03/23HLatina88-82
22/03/23ANPC Rieti71-83
04/03/23HCantu71-85
26/02/23ACremona63-90
18/02/23AUrania Milano77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mantova
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game75.276.973.8
Allowed / game77.878.677.1
Point differential-2.5-1.6-3.3
Avg total153.0155.5150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Stella Azzurra
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW34%
HomeLWWLW47%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game76.981.671.9
Allowed / game80.879.981.8
Point differential-3.9+1.7-9.9
Avg total157.7161.5153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)29% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %14%20%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli3125681%76.469.7+6.7
3 Cantu2923679%80.169.9+10.2
4 Cremona2921872%78.771.0+7.7
5 Treviglio2921872%78.472.4+6.0
6 Basket Torino2921872%83.380.2+3.1
7 Pistoia3122971%75.367.1+8.2
8 Udine31191261%77.375.2+2.1
9 Agrigento30171357%81.578.9+2.6
10 Cento27151256%77.373.9+3.4
11 Urania Milano29161355%78.780.9-2.3
12 Cividale31151648%72.572.2+0.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%79.977.9+2.0
14 Pallacanestro Nardo32151747%82.383.3-1.0
15 Rimini32151747%75.276.2-1.0
16 Fortitudo Bologna30131743%77.276.5+0.7
17 Chiusi30121840%72.974.4-1.5
18 Latina30121840%74.777.1-2.4
19 Mantova30121840%75.277.8-2.5
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 San Severo31121939%71.277.4-6.2
22 Trapani29111838%69.276.0-6.8
23 Chieti Basket31112035%72.575.5-3.0
24 Monferrato29101934%76.178.6-2.5
25 Stella Azzurra29101934%76.980.8-3.9
26 Ravenna31102132%73.979.2-5.4
27 JuVi Cremona2992031%74.479.1-4.6
28 NPC Rieti2982128%67.774.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mantova1920222384
Stella Azzurra2023251785
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