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NPC Rieti vs Stella Azzurra Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-71
27-10 24-20 15-24 17-17
Position#28
Record5-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#18
Record6-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game81.0
ItalySerie A2Round 25
Other2022-23
Meetings · NPC Rieti v Stella Azzurra
22 Mar 2023
NPC 83
STEL71
07 Apr 2021
NPC 84
STEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NPC Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stella Azzurra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NPC RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H04/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A08/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A17/01
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H22/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A05/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H12/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H26/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A05/03
Serie A2
Latina
#19
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A10/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
13-23
15-18
17-5
13-31
24-16
18-22
13-24
10-24
21-17
20-18
14-16
18-25
19-30
16-19
15-10
21-27
22-12
23-14
22-25
11-16
24-11
20-22
25-17
16-22
24-19
12-13
15-21
17-18
18-21
14-20
15-16
22-20
14-24
23-21
26-24
7-18
15-16
13-18
19-19
150.3Avg total
71.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.474.0141.4-6.723%
Season at home (11)69.875.3145.1-5.527%
Season away (11)64.972.8137.7-7.918%
Last 10 (10)71.678.7150.3-7.120%
Last 5 (5)70.075.2145.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.679.4149.0-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.355.9107.1-4.629%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H14/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H17/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H29/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A05/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H12/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A18/02
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A26/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H04/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-23
11-13
21-25
25-19
19-23
20-18
28-27
24-10
17-21
18-20
16-14
10-12
19-28
25-10
20-15
25-13
16-24
21-29
25-16
13-14
15-16
12-18
29-25
20-16
12-12
19-22
25-13
13-18
19-19
26-18
19-24
19-27
19-19
9-31
16-13
19-19
12-27
28-19
12-20
151.9Avg total
75.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.681.0155.6-6.327%
Season at home (11)78.479.5157.8-1.136%
Season away (11)70.982.5153.4-11.518%
Last 10 (10)75.376.6151.9-1.350%
Last 5 (5)71.278.0149.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.883.7155.5-11.910%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.878.3152.1-4.532%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
NPC RietiStella Azzurra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NPC RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H04/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A17/01
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H22/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H26/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/03
Serie A2
Latina
#19
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A10/03
Serie A2
76.4Avg total
35.2Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.439.974.4-5.525%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.639.976.5-3.436%-
Last 30 away (14)32.339.972.2-7.614%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.276.4-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.070.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.140.174.2-6.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.039.275.2-3.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H17/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A21/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H12/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A18/02
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H04/03
Serie A2
72.9Avg total
35.3Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.175.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.774.7-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.675.9-5.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.672.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.469.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.242.777.9-7.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.137.573.6-1.447%-
vs Weaker (1)47.035.082.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (NPC Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
NPC Rieti wins
2
Stella Azzurra wins
DateGameScore
17/01/23Stella Azzurra v NPC Rieti75-65
07/04/21NPC Rieti v Stella Azzurra84-73
06/01/21Stella Azzurra v NPC Rieti81-67
NPC Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23ALatina54-71
05/03/23ABasket Torino85-89
26/02/23HUrania Milano64-75
12/02/23HTrapani67-75
05/02/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-66
29/01/23HMonferrato88-78
22/01/23HCremona68-84
17/01/23AStella Azzurra65-75
08/01/23AAgrigento68-93
04/01/23HCantu77-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HCantu71-85
26/02/23ACremona63-90
18/02/23AUrania Milano77-79
12/02/23HAgrigento76-63
05/02/23ATrapani69-73
29/01/23HJuVi Cremona87-82
21/01/23AMonferrato74-65
17/01/23HNPC Rieti75-65
14/01/23HAssigeco Piacenza92-87
04/01/23ATreviglio69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NPC Rieti
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%27%18%
Points / game67.469.864.9
Allowed / game74.075.372.8
Point differential-6.7-5.5-7.9
Avg total141.4145.1137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Stella Azzurra
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeWWWWL36%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game74.678.470.9
Allowed / game81.079.582.5
Point differential-6.3-1.1-11.5
Avg total155.6157.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli2521484%76.969.8+7.1
3 Cantu2319483%81.269.6+11.7
4 Pistoia2419579%77.365.7+11.6
5 Cremona2418675%79.270.0+9.3
6 Treviglio2317674%78.372.7+5.6
7 Basket Torino2316770%82.779.7+2.9
8 Cento2013765%76.871.2+5.7
9 Udine25151060%74.573.5+1.0
10 Urania Milano23131057%78.179.1-1.0
11 Agrigento23121152%81.078.1+2.9
12 Assigeco Piacenza23121152%79.376.7+2.6
13 Rimini25131252%77.476.9+0.5
14 Cividale25131252%70.770.6+0.1
15 Fortitudo Bologna24111346%77.275.4+1.9
16 Pallacanestro Nardo25111444%81.682.9-1.3
17 Latina2391439%74.378.0-3.7
18 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
19 Trapani2391439%67.675.3-7.7
20 Chiusi2491538%71.574.0-2.6
21 Mantova2591636%74.377.1-2.8
22 Ravenna2591636%73.377.9-4.6
23 San Severo2591636%69.676.7-7.0
24 Monferrato2371630%74.278.2-4.0
25 Chieti Basket2571828%71.876.0-4.2
26 Stella Azzurra2261627%74.681.0-6.3
27 JuVi Cremona2361726%73.580.0-6.5
28 NPC Rieti2251723%67.474.0-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NPC Rieti2724151783
Stella Azzurra1020241771
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